Serie A · resolved market
Will Udinese win on 2025-09-14?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4e54ff71f95dfcf11fb0a79cf62f5590dec6f5610ef6cc6d7c7729776cfce05d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $39,230
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $40,474
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $39,230 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 53 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Yes | 35c | 21,936$7,657 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,278.87 | 109 | 52.3%57 W · 52 L | +8.0wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xea64…f2a2backed No | 65c | 20,810$13,526 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,526.36 | 59 | 55.9%33 W · 26 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -10%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 36c | 9,431$3,349 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,082.21 | 2,538 | 45.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked No | 65c | 8,545$5,549 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,548.98 | 175 | 43.4%76 W · 99 L | -6.1wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b6d…dbbbbacked No | 66c | 1,592$1,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,050.28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 40c | 1,026$413 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$412.74 | 1,981 | 39.8%788 W · 1,193 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed No | 6c | 560$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.4 | 200 | 33%66 W · 134 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0565…789abacked Yes | 74c | 457.06$337 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.07 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 70cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20b9…9110backed Yes | 77c | 456.18$351 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.92 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49c4…bf77backed Yes | 36c | 422.22$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.22 | 137 | 52.6%72 W · 65 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdfc1…818dbacked Yes | 35c | 420$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$271.61 | 56 | 35.7%20 W · 36 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked No | 64c | 409.96$262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262.37 | 447 | 53.5%239 W · 208 L | +17.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x328e…dc42backed No | 65c | 370.27$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.68 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1037…413fbacked No | 65c | 339.39$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.72 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -3.7wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf575…e0ebbacked Yes | 38c | 306.64$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.05 | 43 | 30.2%13 W · 30 L | -2.8wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf16c…57d6backed Yes | 37c | 300$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No | 65c | 297.71$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.9 | 285 | 56.1%160 W · 125 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4021…956abacked Yes | 36c | 281.56$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.56 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | -2.1wins | -0.09per pick | 35cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6278…57e6backed Yes | 36c | 277.78$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.78 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe505…fadbbacked No | 28c | 266.4$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 41 | 31.7%13 W · 28 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked No | 63c | 261.49$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.58 | 85 | 58.8%50 W · 35 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe066…9ebbbacked No | 66c | 243$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.38 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc9d1…2b9ebacked Yes | 38c | 194.74$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.74 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +3.5wins | +0.24per pick | 36cpaid | +115.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf142…57e7backed No | 64c | 173.23$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.86 | 225 | 51.6%116 W · 109 L | +5.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35fd…582dbacked Yes | 36c | 166.67$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.67 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | +51.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe5e1…7edabacked No | 66c | 160.96$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.38 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x11d7…52e1backed No | 65c | 160.68$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.44 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | -5.4wins | -0.15per pick | 55cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2798…3d88backed Yes | 38c | 131.58$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.58 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.62per pick | 38cpaid | +163.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed No | 13c | 123.26$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.58 | 201 | 43.8%88 W · 113 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed No | 65c | 113.7$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.67 | 284 | 58.1%165 W · 119 L | +12.6wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0364…f19bbacked No | 28c | 102.22$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.62 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.15per pick | 25cpaid | +30.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed No | 17c | 100$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 45 | 22.2%10 W · 35 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -47%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…e358backed Yes | 35c | 100$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65 | 121 | 34.7%42 W · 79 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd82a…5fcfbacked No | 64c | 100$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.5 | 89 | 58.4%52 W · 37 L | +3.9wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x15e3…009fbacked Yes | 35c | 100$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65 | 52 | 51.9%27 W · 25 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1bbc…f458backed No | 65c | 95$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.19 | 38 | 36.8%14 W · 24 L | -5.9wins | -0.16per pick | 52cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb90c…9a6abacked Yes | 35c | 85.71$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.71 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.17per pick | 45cpaid | +64.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d04…7102backed No | 66c | 83.33$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4aa4…17c0backed No | 63c | 76.46$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.13 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 63cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Yes | 35c | 74$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.1 | 138 | 40.6%56 W · 82 L | -8.2wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x85cc…4895backed Yes | 35c | 71.43$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.43 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +2.2wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x99f9…004dbacked Yes | 36c | 69.44$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.44 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed No | 40c | 67.18$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.12 | 43 | 46.5%20 W · 23 L | -3.3wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0942…0155backed Yes | 35c | 57.14$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.14 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +2.2wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +127.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x56e6…45e9backed No | 66c | 52.91$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.92 | 58 | 39.7%23 W · 35 L | -8.9wins | -0.15per pick | 55cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x00f7…4476backed No | 65c | 50$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.5 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +2.2wins | +0.20per pick | 53cpaid | +49.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x484f…28cbbacked No | 65c | 42.7$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.76 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -2.8wins | -0.15per pick | 54cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcf0f…addabacked Yes | 35c | 40$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.65per pick | 35cpaid | +185.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29e7…612abacked Yes | 74c | 34.38$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.94 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcef7…e7d7backed Yes | 53c | 33$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.51 | 84 | 57.1%48 W · 36 L | +7.1wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x994f…2f7dbacked Yes | 46c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.3 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.11per pick | 66cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3635…17c8backed No | 66c | 27$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.77 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x273a…6d54backed Yes | 79c | 25.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.32 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Udinese win on 2025-09-14?this page
- Will Pisa SC vs. Udinese end in a draw?No won
- Will Pisa SC win on 2025-09-14?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.