Serie A · resolved market
Will Pisa SC win on 2025-09-14?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x64e6f6cc76fbc7b0769d2c06d3cbe44bed0b34af76fda105127c950f7fb5f7a4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,512
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,275
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,512 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 22 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf519…906bbacked No | 68c | 5,000$3,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,600 | 210 | 58.6%123 W · 87 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d0f…4faabacked Yes | 32c | 4,950$1,584 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,584 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 26c | 2,627$689 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$689.28 | 2,538 | 45.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked No | 66c | 1,212$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$412.08 | 333 | 57.4%191 W · 142 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16cb…2704backed No | 66c | 499$329 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.66 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Yes | 33c | 380.13$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.72 | 246 | 57.3%141 W · 105 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 33c | 323.8$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.5 | 447 | 53.5%239 W · 208 L | +17.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9b48…58a6backed No | 67c | 300$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x330b…69f1backed No | 67c | 298.51$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.51 | 129 | 50.4%65 W · 64 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Yes | 33c | 154.87$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.8 | 147 | 42.9%63 W · 84 L | -6.0wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc76…7842backed No | 67c | 150$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.5 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked No | 67c | 74.58$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.58 | 55 | 60%33 W · 22 L | +3.6wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd82a…5fcfbacked Yes | 32c | 50$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 89 | 58.4%52 W · 37 L | +3.9wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked No | 64c | 37.97$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.67 | 175 | 43.4%76 W · 99 L | -6.1wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed No | 67c | 37.31$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.31 | 60 | 53.3%32 W · 28 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x50d6…04babacked No | 69c | 36.23$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.23 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 68cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe5e1…7edabacked No | 67c | 33.39$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.02 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b9b…bc4abacked Yes | 35c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 69 | 46.4%32 W · 37 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b3…f830backed No | 68c | 29.41$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.41 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -3.3wins | -0.22per pick | 48cpaid | -58.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x328e…dc42backed No | 65c | 28.57$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1bbc…f458backed No | 67c | 18$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.94 | 38 | 36.8%14 W · 24 L | -5.9wins | -0.16per pick | 52cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9dee…8031backed No | 69c | 17.39$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.39 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Pisa SC win on 2025-09-14?this page
- Will Pisa SC vs. Udinese end in a draw?No won
- Will Udinese win on 2025-09-14?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.