Ligue 1 · resolved market
Will AS Monaco FC win on 2025-09-13?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x20c5a1b368deed210dbf2d89d416c51cffda8905dfd8175dec980fccb3577e26
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $25,927
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $28,480
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $25,927 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 60 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 61c | 7,546$4,598 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,947.94 | 1,916 | 45.5%872 W · 1,044 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2635…5408backed No | 39c | 7,286$2,842 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,841.51 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | +1.7wins | +0.08per pick | 32cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x571c…c16abacked Yes | 62c | 2,591$1,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$990.63 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed No | 41c | 2,287$939 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$939.01 | 144 | 52.1%75 W · 69 L | +6.8wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed No | 43c | 1,458$630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$629.65 | 48 | 39.6%19 W · 29 L | -4.1wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xed61…9aa3backed Yes | 45c | 1,380$615 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$764.91 | 110 | 70%77 W · 33 L | +18.3wins | +0.17per pick | 53cpaid | +33.8%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b3…f830backed No | 44c | 880.91$391 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$391.41 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0565…789abacked Yes | 70c | 745.78$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.78 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 33c | 718.94$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.56 | 1,415 | 40.8%577 W · 838 L | +13.5wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x48e3…c148backed No | 39c | 599.99$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 32cpaid | -48.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60e6…9e8abacked No | 37c | 599.93$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.98 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -2.8wins | -0.13per pick | 42cpaid | -48.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x79cc…8026backed Yes | 59c | 572$335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237 | 51 | 56.9%29 W · 22 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed No | 40c | 500$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 46 | 28.3%13 W · 33 L | -4.7wins | -0.10per pick | 38cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x45d1…7017backed No | 37c | 499.99$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185 | 45 | 51.1%23 W · 22 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6231…3f29backed No | 38c | 499.99$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c69…9e30backed Yes | 63c | 317.89$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.62 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefaf…26a1backed Yes | 64c | 289.06$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.81 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbea5…489ebacked Yes | 54c | 255.28$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.43 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +64%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked No | 40c | 250$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 42 | 47.6%20 W · 22 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdfc1…818dbacked Yes | 61c | 235$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.65 | 43 | 41.9%18 W · 25 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5cff…83c4backed Yes | 63c | 209$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.33 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 64cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed No | 22c | 193.78$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.39 | 202 | 32.7%66 W · 136 L | -10.9wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x994f…2f7dbacked Yes | 65c | 180.51$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.51 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -3.6wins | -0.24per pick | 64cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked No | 38c | 177.49$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.45 | 113 | 55.8%63 W · 50 L | +7.7wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +14%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5e10…70f4backed No | 36c | 161.97$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.26 | 90 | 51.1%46 W · 44 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x89d1…6448backed Yes | 62c | 161.29$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.29 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcef7…e7d7backed Yes | 71c | 160$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.4 | 75 | 46.7%35 W · 40 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed No | 17c | 158.65$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.67 | 215 | 60%129 W · 86 L | +15.7wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9b2b…4291backed Yes | 54c | 150.26$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.12 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked No | 15c | 150$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 162 | 42%68 W · 94 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -16%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc48d…8a40backed Yes | 59c | 140$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.1 | 20 | 80%16 W · 4 L | +3.0wins | +0.15per pick | 65cpaid | +24%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2f1a…7c47backed Yes | 62c | 130$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.7 | 68 | 50%34 W · 34 L | -3.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c6d…8371backed Yes | 60c | 114.46$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.78 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd316…bca3backed Yes | 63c | 111.11$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.11 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed No | 18c | 107$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.77 | 78 | 44.9%35 W · 43 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a51…4cc0backed Yes | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.17 | 37 | 40.5%15 W · 22 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf10f…004dbacked Yes | 61c | 100$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39 | 39 | 66.7%26 W · 13 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a50…ff53backed Yes | 61c | 100$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2798…3d88backed Yes | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1677…1126backed No | 37c | 99.99$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 120 | 50.8%61 W · 59 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe5ba…960fbacked Yes | 63c | 79.37$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.37 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16ce…b3dcbacked Yes | 63c | 79.37$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.37 | 39 | 69.2%27 W · 12 L | +4.1wins | +0.10per pick | 59cpaid | +33.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8b21…41fabacked No | 37c | 76.98$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.48 | 75 | 29.3%22 W · 53 L | -14.8wins | -0.20per pick | 49cpaid | -48.2%equal weight | 34-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x0c35…c311backed Yes | 61c | 65.57$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.57 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.25per pick | 55cpaid | +31.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed No | 39c | 64.1$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 50 | 42%21 W · 29 L | -4.6wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0364…f19bbacked No | 37c | 62.44$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.1 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.15per pick | 29cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed No | 38c | 53$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.14 | 229 | 27.5%63 W · 166 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd82a…5fcfbacked No | 39c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 55 | 54.5%30 W · 25 L | +4.3wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1bbc…f458backed No | 41c | 46.02$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.87 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | +2.3wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…e358backed Yes | 54c | 44.44$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.44 | 57 | 35.1%20 W · 37 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d43…438abacked Yes | 62c | 32.26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.26 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | -3.4wins | -0.11per pick | 56cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4417…8d57backed Yes | 63c | 31.75$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.75 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e2d…2d55backed Yes | 63c | 31.75$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.75 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf2b…50ffbacked Yes | 63c | 31.75$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.75 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8594…9803backed Yes | 63c | 31.75$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.75 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1690…4bf8backed Yes | 49c | 30.97$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.77 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ac8…77cdbacked Yes | 64c | 30$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.8 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2276…307bbacked Yes | 54c | 27.78$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.78 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77ad…be51backed Yes | 56c | 24.87$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.87 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -40.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb1f5…1688backed Yes | 59c | 23.73$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.73 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +62.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will AS Monaco FC win on 2025-09-13?this page
- Will AJ Auxerre vs. AS Monaco FC end in a draw?No won
- Will AJ Auxerre win on 2025-09-13?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.