Ligue 1 · resolved market
Will Lille OSC win on 2025-09-14?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3bcfd3d9c5e1d273dd799598d792eccb04e22b13f32954076fab860ebfe4cd76
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $15,373
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,871
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,373 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 63 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x571c…c16abacked Yes | 54c | 3,981$2,150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,831.48 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked No | 46c | 2,619$1,205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,204.52 | 113 | 55.8%63 W · 50 L | +7.7wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +14%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x328e…dc42backed No | 46c | 1,500$690 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$689.99 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed No | 71c | 1,004$709 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$709.3 | 215 | 60%129 W · 86 L | +15.7wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 52c | 890.55$466 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$424.26 | 231 | 53.2%123 W · 108 L | +16.2wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x700f…62d8backed Yes | 49c | 833.91$412 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$421.55 | 43 | 46.5%20 W · 23 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d0f…4faabacked Yes | 52c | 612.99$319 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294.24 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed61…9aa3backed Yes | 28c | 597.46$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$428.75 | 110 | 70%77 W · 33 L | +18.3wins | +0.17per pick | 53cpaid | +33.8%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Yes | 51c | 535.71$273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262.5 | 133 | 48.9%65 W · 68 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x48ee…83dabacked No | 49c | 500$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed Yes | 39c | 454.81$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.19 | 144 | 52.1%75 W · 69 L | +6.8wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x330b…69f1backed No | 47c | 425.53$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 63 | 49.2%31 W · 32 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 25c | 425$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$319 | 1,916 | 45.5%872 W · 1,044 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1bbc…f458backed No | 48c | 387$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.7 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | +2.3wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x27a9…8781backed Yes | 55c | 365.57$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.57 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0364…f19bbacked No | 55c | 340$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.15per pick | 29cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked No | 30c | 335$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.1 | 162 | 42%68 W · 94 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -16%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc71e…f450backed No | 48c | 300$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed No | 14c | 289.96$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.9 | 202 | 32.7%66 W · 136 L | -10.9wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xce2b…08fabacked Yes | 52c | 288.46$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.46 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4eb7…5984backed Yes | 53c | 279.99$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.49 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 58c | 248.12$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.19 | 1,415 | 40.8%577 W · 838 L | +13.5wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No | 48c | 248$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.04 | 232 | 60.8%141 W · 91 L | +15.1wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf142…57e7backed No | 47c | 213.06$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.1 | 146 | 54.1%79 W · 67 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +11%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b2b…4291backed Yes | 54c | 186.57$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.57 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed No | 59c | 169.58$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -2.8wins | -0.23per pick | 57cpaid | -48.8%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8c76…477abacked Yes | 49c | 167.95$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.65 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -2.3wins | -0.11per pick | 41cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed No | 37c | 159$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.23 | 78 | 44.9%35 W · 43 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf31…2931backed Yes | 55c | 150$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.5 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.13per pick | 68cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe2d0…a4d3backed Yes | 52c | 142.92$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.92 | 7 | 100%7 W · 0 L | +2.6wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +62.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf42a…8470backed Yes | 14c | 142.86$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.86 | 27 | 11.1%3 W · 24 L | -3.1wins | -0.11per pick | 23cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5693…71fdbacked Yes | 21c | 142.86$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.86 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x48e3…c148backed No | 44c | 138.57$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.97 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 32cpaid | -48.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda35…ff0ebacked Yes | 41c | 114.59$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.61 | 46 | 45.7%21 W · 25 L | -3.9wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x89d1…6448backed Yes | 53c | 113.21$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.21 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd410…3a1bbacked Yes | 52c | 110$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.5 | 43 | 65.1%28 W · 15 L | +4.3wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1037…413fbacked No | 47c | 102.06$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.97 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86f8…1655backed Yes | 52c | 100$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.8wins | +0.20per pick | 57cpaid | +43.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Yes | 54c | 92.59$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.59 | 42 | 47.6%20 W · 22 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26ab…41c1backed Yes | 54c | 92.59$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.59 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.4wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe68a…5e25backed No | 51c | 87$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.37 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | +2.5wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +33.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5e10…70f4backed No | 51c | 85.95$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.88 | 90 | 51.1%46 W · 44 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed No | 49c | 85.71$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 39 | 61.5%24 W · 15 L | +5.3wins | +0.14per pick | 48cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Yes | 52c | 84$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.32 | 91 | 56%51 W · 40 L | +5.8wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed No | 48c | 82$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.36 | 208 | 60.6%126 W · 82 L | +12.4wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd316…bca3backed Yes | 56c | 80.36$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.36 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…7f7bbacked Yes | 52c | 76.92$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.92 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc9d1…2b9ebacked Yes | 54c | 76.13$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.02 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.6wins | +0.13per pick | 49cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Yes | 57c | 61.3$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.1 | 150 | 71.3%107 W · 43 L | +10.5wins | +0.07per pick | 64cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x22d1…45afbacked Yes | 55c | 54.18$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.38 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe5e1…7edabacked No | 49c | 50.84$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.91 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd82a…5fcfbacked Yes | 52c | 50.01$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 55 | 54.5%30 W · 25 L | +4.3wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x00f7…4476backed No | 46c | 50$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcef7…e7d7backed Yes | 37c | 50$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.5 | 75 | 46.7%35 W · 40 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x994f…2f7dbacked Yes | 52c | 50$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.9 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -3.6wins | -0.24per pick | 64cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x11d7…52e1backed No | 49c | 48.94$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.98 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Yes | 55c | 45.45$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.45 | 50 | 42%21 W · 29 L | -4.6wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x23b7…32a7backed Yes | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.36 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d43…438abacked Yes | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.71 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | -3.4wins | -0.11per pick | 56cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2d04…7102backed No | 48c | 25$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e2…c7fdbacked No | 46c | 25$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e59…c102backed Yes | 53c | 20.75$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.75 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc48d…8a40backed Yes | 52c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 20 | 80%16 W · 4 L | +3.0wins | +0.15per pick | 65cpaid | +24%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Lille OSC win on 2025-09-14?this page
- Will Lille OSC vs. Toulouse FC end in a draw?No won
- Will Toulouse FC win on 2025-09-14?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.