Ligue 1 · resolved market
Will Lille OSC vs. Toulouse FC end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfb4218cf6457720fbcdf16356e1ead4cc28f4d8574af7bfa4a56c1d859883aa7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $15,184
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,942
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,184 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 30 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf519…906bbacked Yes | 27c | 6,082$1,642 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,642.22 | 143 | 46.9%67 W · 76 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked No | 73c | 6,000$4,380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,620 | 133 | 48.9%65 W · 68 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcef7…e7d7backed No | 67c | 3,000$2,010 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$990 | 75 | 46.7%35 W · 40 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Yes | 39c | 1,724$668 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$667.98 | 215 | 60%129 W · 86 L | +15.7wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed No | 51c | 1,432$732 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$700.72 | 144 | 52.1%75 W · 69 L | +6.8wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Yes | 27c | 1,022$274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$274.14 | 202 | 32.7%66 W · 136 L | -10.9wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 29c | 969$282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282.26 | 1,916 | 45.5%872 W · 1,044 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Yes | 67c | 571.55$381 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$381.06 | 351 | 57%200 W · 151 L | +15.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x967d…ef6abacked Yes | 75c | 384.45$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.37per pick | 70cpaid | -56.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked No | 66c | 356$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.44 | 162 | 42%68 W · 94 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -16%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e2…c7fdbacked No | 26c | 268.99$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.01 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf2f…2f32backed Yes | 41c | 262$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.42 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 52c | 225.62$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.54 | 1,415 | 40.8%577 W · 838 L | +13.5wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf42a…8470backed Yes | 23c | 213.94$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.32 | 27 | 11.1%3 W · 24 L | -3.1wins | -0.11per pick | 23cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf575…e0ebbacked Yes | 34c | 205.56$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 29 | 31%9 W · 20 L | -2.4wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3c69…1624backed Yes | 73c | 197.53$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.88 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.5wins | -0.73per pick | 73cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0523…c48dbacked Yes | 38c | 197.37$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d24…a93fbacked No | 74c | 136$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.36 | 70 | 68.6%48 W · 22 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 68cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89d1…6448backed Yes | 34c | 117.65$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd82a…5fcfbacked No | 67c | 111.53$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37 | 55 | 54.5%30 W · 25 L | +4.3wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed No | 59c | 81$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.6 | 78 | 44.9%35 W · 43 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26ab…41c1backed Yes | 33c | 54.55$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.4wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9ac7…597ebacked Yes | 34c | 51.91$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.65 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2545…6edebacked Yes | 31c | 36.14$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed No | 45c | 33$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.19 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked No | 74c | 31.58$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.21 | 113 | 55.8%63 W · 50 L | +7.7wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +14%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x18ed…04cbbacked Yes | 35c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.5wins | -0.13per pick | 41cpaid | -48.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xab3b…a825backed No | 74c | 27.03$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.03 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 72cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3299…2d7bbacked Yes | 77c | 25.97$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.77per pick | 77cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc8fc…ca96backed No | 73c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.4 | 21 | 81%17 W · 4 L | +1.9wins | +0.09per pick | 72cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Lille OSC vs. Toulouse FC end in a draw?this page
- Will Lille OSC win on 2025-09-14?Yes won
- Will Toulouse FC win on 2025-09-14?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.