MLB · resolved market
Phillies vs. Dodgers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcee108a01ab54eb821c6b7e2fd9735b7357eb859926b2b3158ac7367f2c19d9d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Dodgersof Phillies, Dodgers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $780,261
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $911,166
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $780,261 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 218 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7435…a620backed Dodgers | 59c | 163,097$96,658 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66,439.08 | 286 | 46.5%133 W · 153 L | -15.5wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Phillies | 42c | 110,674$46,483 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46,483.13 | 1,328 | 51.4%682 W · 646 L | +25.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Phillies | 14c | 102,378$13,919 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,918.89 | 1,381 | 48.1%664 W · 717 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xafba…e61bbacked Dodgers | 58c | 46,080$26,726 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,353.6 | 132 | 46.2%61 W · 71 L | -8.1wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xea64…f2a2backed Phillies | 40c | 44,216$17,714 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,713.93 | 387 | 51.9%201 W · 186 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe38e…c29dbacked Phillies | 42c | 30,000$12,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,599.8 | 482 | 54.4%262 W · 220 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa983…46a3backed Dodgers | 68c | 29,746$20,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,446.36 | 113 | 45.1%51 W · 62 L | -16.4wins | -0.14per pick | 60cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xf5f2…0234backed Dodgers | 58c | 20,087$11,650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,436.34 | 269 | 49.4%133 W · 136 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f09…4632backed Phillies | 42c | 19,382$8,140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,140.44 | 254 | 53.5%136 W · 118 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Phillies | 41c | 17,981$7,372 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,372.11 | 1,591 | 50.3%801 W · 790 L | +68.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbde3…4a49backed Dodgers | 57c | 15,000$8,550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,449.96 | 146 | 48.6%71 W · 75 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88a1…ad45backed Dodgers | 58c | 13,278$7,701 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,577 | 263 | 55.5%146 W · 117 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x683a…274ebacked Phillies | 6c | 12,300$738 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$738 | 45 | 44.4%20 W · 25 L | +5.9wins | +0.13per pick | 31cpaid | +42.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4dbe…af34backed Phillies | 42c | 10,000$4,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,199.99 | 564 | 51.1%288 W · 276 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Phillies | 16c | 6,747$1,101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,101.28 | 932 | 40.5%377 W · 555 L | +14.2wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1bbc…f458backed Phillies | 38c | 6,054$2,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,299.8 | 207 | 47.8%99 W · 108 L | -11.6wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x328e…dc42backed Phillies | 40c | 5,151$2,065 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,065.03 | 218 | 47.7%104 W · 114 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9244…b955backed Phillies | 43c | 5,007$2,153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,153 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x245b…00c5backed Dodgers | 57c | 5,000$2,850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,149.99 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -2.1wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x823c…0425backed Phillies | 24c | 4,976$1,190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,190 | 38 | 65.8%25 W · 13 L | +4.8wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x31b0…8c4cbacked Dodgers | 59c | 4,929$2,908 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,021.09 | 115 | 54.8%63 W · 52 L | +8.4wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7256…30c9backed Dodgers | 58c | 4,426$2,557 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,868.24 | 59 | 45.8%27 W · 32 L | -4.7wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1467…4372backed Phillies | 43c | 4,302$1,850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,850 | 130 | 45.4%59 W · 71 L | -5.0wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -11%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Phillies | 15c | 4,100$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 927 | 54.9%509 W · 418 L | -19.1wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f65…d7aebacked Phillies | 12c | 3,838$476 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$475.6 | 959 | 30%288 W · 671 L | -24.4wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x811e…8733backed Phillies | 36c | 3,819$1,369 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,368.98 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +2.4wins | +0.13per pick | 48cpaid | +43%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc624…106abacked Dodgers | 57c | 3,806$2,169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,636.58 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +1.8wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Phillies | 29c | 3,694$1,081 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,080.59 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd523…0aa4backed Phillies | 28c | 2,662$755 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$754.66 | 1,293 | 46.6%603 W · 690 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cbe…12bcbacked Phillies | 43c | 2,515$1,081 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,081.45 | 1,132 | 48.9%553 W · 579 L | -16.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Phillies | 10c | 2,445$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.89 | 1,180 | 7.2%85 W · 1,095 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Phillies | 43c | 2,415$1,039 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,038.62 | 390 | 41%160 W · 230 L | -22.2wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf267…0a4cbacked Phillies | 41c | 2,400$981 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$981 | 130 | 52.3%68 W · 62 L | +5.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfdf…8e02backed Phillies | 4c | 2,400$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 159 | 42.1%67 W · 92 L | -7.0wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d5c…0182backed Phillies | 43c | 2,284$982 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$982.12 | 208 | 50%104 W · 104 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a32…6d7ebacked Phillies | 41c | 2,220$905 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$905.2 | 96 | 51%49 W · 47 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Phillies | 42c | 2,162$899 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$898.87 | 731 | 49.4%361 W · 370 L | +23.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa468…816ebacked Phillies | 20c | 2,099$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$419.89 | 93 | 49.5%46 W · 47 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x55d8…b384backed Phillies | 16c | 1,955$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315 | 577 | 44.7%258 W · 319 L | -6.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Dodgers | 58c | 1,900$1,102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$798 | 1,909 | 53.5%1,021 W · 888 L | +29.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26e9…4a51backed Phillies | 24c | 1,586$388 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$387.93 | 109 | 40.4%44 W · 65 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -13%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…0566backed Phillies | 39c | 1,537$598 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$597.96 | 549 | 41%225 W · 324 L | -15.1wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa39a…1246backed Dodgers | 58c | 1,380$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$579.42 | 282 | 58.5%165 W · 117 L | +11.7wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7dce…38ecbacked Dodgers | 58c | 1,332$772 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$559.27 | 132 | 49.2%65 W · 67 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Phillies | 41c | 1,290$529 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$529.01 | 733 | 52.4%384 W · 349 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Phillies | 22c | 1,192$262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262.03 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd178…6703backed Dodgers | 58c | 1,163$674 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$488.34 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.15per pick | 56cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8868…ec0dbacked Phillies | 43c | 1,144$492 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$492 | 74 | 43.2%32 W · 42 L | -4.1wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc4…f44fbacked Dodgers | 57c | 1,100$627 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$473 | 301 | 51.5%155 W · 146 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d4…a077backed Phillies | 41c | 1,001$410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$410.41 | 508 | 43.3%220 W · 288 L | +21.8wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa270…42c9backed Phillies | 42c | 1,000$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420 | 401 | 52.4%210 W · 191 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b86…0669backed Phillies | 42c | 1,000$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420 | 75 | 48%36 W · 39 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Phillies | 43c | 1,000$430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$430 | 832 | 48%399 W · 433 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd86d…ca8bbacked Phillies | 9c | 958.33$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Dodgers | 58c | 954$551 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$403.08 | 631 | 52.6%332 W · 299 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb853…0d33backed Phillies | 42c | 949.31$399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$398.71 | 630 | 52.7%332 W · 298 L | +13.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3ad…9d38backed Phillies | 43c | 926.89$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 170 | 45.3%77 W · 93 L | -7.4wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e2…c7fdbacked Phillies | 22c | 891.17$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.53 | 150 | 33.3%50 W · 100 L | -10.8wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3bc8…9073backed Phillies | 44c | 882.75$388 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$388.41 | 45 | 64.4%29 W · 16 L | +3.6wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbf6…513abacked Phillies | 41c | 840$343 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$343.35 | 94 | 50%47 W · 47 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc0d…8bcabacked Phillies | 18c | 832.12$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.35 | 193 | 48.7%94 W · 99 L | +15.6wins | +0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +16%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x41e3…1962backed Phillies | 19c | 750.41$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141 | 575 | 45.9%264 W · 311 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8485…c13ebacked Phillies | 44c | 731.25$322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$321.75 | 165 | 52.1%86 W · 79 L | +12.5wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb852…bfaebacked Phillies | 41c | 700$287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$287 | 240 | 40.8%98 W · 142 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8613…59f0backed Dodgers | 58c | 689.66$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$289.66 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ea1…56f2backed Phillies | 41c | 686$281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$281.26 | 124 | 36.3%45 W · 79 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1037…413fbacked Phillies | 43c | 685.77$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294.88 | 140 | 55.7%78 W · 62 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcdc2…8b96backed Phillies | 43c | 648.84$279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0adb…7693backed Phillies | 16c | 624.99$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 85 | 7.1%6 W · 79 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 10cpaid | -80.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Phillies | 43c | 600$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6c5…7becbacked Phillies | 43c | 600$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255.32 | 69 | 49.3%34 W · 35 L | +5.6wins | +0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1961…ed4fbacked Phillies | 12c | 599.99$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe68a…5e25backed Phillies | 43c | 599$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257.57 | 266 | 50.8%135 W · 131 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed Phillies | 5c | 586.41$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1,213 | 40.5%491 W · 722 L | -32.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa3e…e822backed Phillies | 43c | 581.4$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +1.8wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd28e…aae3backed Phillies | 41c | 573$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234.93 | 444 | 43%191 W · 253 L | +21.1wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3d64…01fabacked Phillies | 41c | 517.79$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.29 | 513 | 47%241 W · 272 L | +32.0wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Phillies | 42c | 500$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 1,360 | 44.3%602 W · 758 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd5bd…2182backed Phillies | 26c | 500$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 30 | 20%6 W · 24 L | -3.0wins | -0.10per pick | 30cpaid | -42%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Phillies | 43c | 499.99$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215 | 1,010 | 51.2%517 W · 493 L | +36.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x81e4…6f22backed Dodgers | 57c | 499.99$285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.99 | 99 | 47.5%47 W · 52 L | -5.5wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa550…3885backed Phillies | 42c | 490.19$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.86 | 52 | 38.5%20 W · 32 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x460a…d738backed Phillies | 43c | 465.12$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 563 | 51%287 W · 276 L | +15.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b28…66f0backed Dodgers | 57c | 464.91$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.91 | 104 | 51%53 W · 51 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf8b5…41b3backed Phillies | 22c | 463.64$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 61 | 31.1%19 W · 42 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc81…0ababacked Phillies | 44c | 454.55$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 260 | 55%143 W · 117 L | +21.2wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x98a7…d3fdbacked Phillies | 38c | 409.97$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.79 | 16 | 75%12 W · 4 L | +2.7wins | +0.17per pick | 58cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdfd1…9f05backed Phillies | 23c | 400$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.6 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x73b8…aa92backed Phillies | 12c | 383.38$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 356 | 52.5%187 W · 169 L | +10.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbbde…a050backed Phillies | 42c | 357.14$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 67 | 47.8%32 W · 35 L | +4.9wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x15a6…466fbacked Dodgers | 59c | 355.93$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.93 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +2.3wins | +0.38per pick | 46cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf575…e0ebbacked Phillies | 29c | 344.79$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.99 | 42 | 42.9%18 W · 24 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x11d7…52e1backed Phillies | 43c | 342.88$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.44 | 809 | 55.5%449 W · 360 L | +12.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c59…ad51backed Dodgers | 58c | 342.85$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.85 | 215 | 45.6%98 W · 117 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d28…932abacked Dodgers | 58c | 331$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.52 | 255 | 48.6%124 W · 131 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1201…a74dbacked Dodgers | 58c | 310.34$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.34 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +2.3wins | +0.14per pick | 54cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9023…54bbbacked Dodgers | 59c | 305.7$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.7 | 32 | 71.9%23 W · 9 L | +5.5wins | +0.17per pick | 55cpaid | +32.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa2a8…8466backed Dodgers | 56c | 305$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.2 | 47 | 61.7%29 W · 18 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed Phillies | 42c | 300$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126 | 667 | 51.9%346 W · 321 L | +30.0wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe063…8a04backed Phillies | 5c | 300$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 50 | 28%14 W · 36 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Phillies vs. Dodgersthis page
- Philadelphia Phillies vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 8.5Under won
- Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-1.5)Los Angeles Dodgers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.