MLB · resolved market
Padres vs. Mets
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x07c1362df0c1dbe437594e50cf767e7bc753f0e18d28ab586623f61db2fb07b8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Metsof Padres, Mets
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $250,009
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $245,975
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $250,009 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 443 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Padres | 8c | 37,337$2,824 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,824.48 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x96e1…50aabacked Mets | 73c | 30,899$22,705 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,193.96 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Padres | 8c | 24,789$1,983 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,983.15 | 1,530 | 50.5%772 W · 758 L | +20.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3151…0977backed Padres | 5c | 21,066$1,053 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,053.29 | 153 | 53.6%82 W · 71 L | +9.1wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Padres | 25c | 16,753$4,162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,161.88 | 784 | 45.3%355 W · 429 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Padres | 13c | 10,000$1,257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,257.5 | 932 | 40.5%377 W · 555 L | +14.2wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5f2…0234backed Padres | 47c | 8,991$4,226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,225.92 | 269 | 49.4%133 W · 136 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea64…f2a2backed Padres | 25c | 6,995$1,765 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,764.85 | 387 | 51.9%201 W · 186 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Padres | 5c | 6,305$314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$313.82 | 1,510 | 39%589 W · 921 L | -16.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a61…b560backed Padres | 36c | 5,236$1,893 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,892.57 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Mets | 53c | 4,495$2,365 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,129.75 | 631 | 52.6%332 W · 299 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6c5…7becbacked Padres | 5c | 3,925$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.24 | 69 | 49.3%34 W · 35 L | +5.6wins | +0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Mets | 53c | 3,400$1,802 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,597.99 | 1,909 | 53.5%1,021 W · 888 L | +29.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Mets | 53c | 3,278$1,737 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,540.71 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Padres | 3c | 2,989$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 1,180 | 7.2%85 W · 1,095 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cbe…12bcbacked Mets | 53c | 2,808$1,488 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,319.76 | 1,132 | 48.9%553 W · 579 L | -16.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe38e…c29dbacked Padres | 47c | 2,503$1,176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,176.2 | 482 | 54.4%262 W · 220 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Padres | 5c | 2,475$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.13 | 477 | 45.7%218 W · 259 L | +7.6wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Mets | 52c | 2,339$1,216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,122.57 | 1,097 | 50.1%550 W · 547 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9244…b955backed Padres | 47c | 2,333$1,097 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,096.5 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3219…4f05backed Mets | 53c | 2,038$1,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$957.86 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +3.2wins | +0.11per pick | 43cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7f65…d7aebacked Padres | 5c | 2,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 959 | 30%288 W · 671 L | -24.4wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Mets | 51c | 1,827$932 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$895.09 | 731 | 49.4%361 W · 370 L | +23.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b9d…269dbacked Padres | 12c | 1,782$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.8 | 331 | 37.5%124 W · 207 L | -17.5wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -30%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1b0b…a747backed Padres | 49c | 1,616$792 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$791.64 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +2.6wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +41.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x519d…37a1backed Padres | 2c | 1,545$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.31 | 585 | 2.1%12 W · 573 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e6f…ffaabacked Padres | 48c | 1,515$727 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$727 | 54 | 51.9%28 W · 26 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Padres | 15c | 1,512$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.71 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x96bc…7fb4backed Padres | 47c | 1,400$658 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$658 | 163 | 49.1%80 W · 83 L | +12.1wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd1bc…9dc9backed Padres | 4c | 1,264$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 29 | 31%9 W · 20 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4103…9b9ebacked Padres | 48c | 1,174$563 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$563.34 | 308 | 42.9%132 W · 176 L | -10.3wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd39f…d494backed Padres | 50c | 1,066$533 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$533 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -4.0wins | -0.20per pick | 45cpaid | -52.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Mets | 52c | 1,025$533 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$491.98 | 1,029 | 51.2%527 W · 502 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8cd4…b11dbacked Padres | 10c | 1,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Padres | 48c | 1,000$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480 | 832 | 48%399 W · 433 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…0566backed Padres | 12c | 989.56$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.06 | 549 | 41%225 W · 324 L | -15.1wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5b…590dbacked Padres | 7c | 919.05$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.33 | 666 | 45.5%303 W · 363 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x328e…dc42backed Padres | 17c | 874.35$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.48 | 218 | 47.7%104 W · 114 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x284e…c695backed Padres | 48c | 833.33$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3ad…9d38backed Padres | 48c | 833.33$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 170 | 45.3%77 W · 93 L | -7.4wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd523…0aa4backed Padres | 49c | 816$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.84 | 1,293 | 46.6%603 W · 690 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Padres | 48c | 783.98$376 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$376.31 | 1,212 | 52.1%631 W · 581 L | +21.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdda3…d55fbacked Padres | 28c | 705.52$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 106 | 36.8%39 W · 67 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Padres | 7c | 703.16$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Padres | 49c | 692.31$339 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$339.23 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74cd…2319backed Padres | 3c | 679.87$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 224 | 2.7%6 W · 218 L | -10.6wins | -0.05per pick | 7cpaid | -64.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7f77…bd05backed Padres | 4c | 671.95$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x40ab…fbb5backed Padres | 47c | 640.7$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$301.13 | 166 | 54.8%91 W · 75 L | +10.4wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe128…243fbacked Padres | 4c | 519.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 53 | 39.6%21 W · 32 L | +3.6wins | +0.07per pick | 33cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3d64…01fabacked Padres | 48c | 514.73$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.07 | 513 | 47%241 W · 272 L | +32.0wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xeb1e…88d5backed Padres | 35c | 507.76$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.26 | 70 | 58.6%41 W · 29 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Padres | 47c | 500$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235 | 1,360 | 44.3%602 W · 758 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x445e…9be0backed Padres | 47c | 499.97$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234.98 | 71 | 47.9%34 W · 37 L | -5.1wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfe…4341backed Padres | 24c | 430.56$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -2.0wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcc81…0ababacked Padres | 48c | 416.67$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 260 | 55%143 W · 117 L | +21.2wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked Mets | 52c | 410.99$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.28 | 277 | 51.3%142 W · 135 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b28…66f0backed Mets | 51c | 389.74$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.74 | 104 | 51%53 W · 51 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf235…366dbacked Padres | 48c | 331.52$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.13 | 1,078 | 46.3%499 W · 579 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e4a…eee7backed Padres | 48c | 270.83$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 308 | 44.2%136 W · 172 L | -10.4wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8255…035ebacked Padres | 7c | 260.69$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.25 | 28 | 14.3%4 W · 24 L | -6.7wins | -0.24per pick | 38cpaid | -74.8%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x9d5f…84bfbacked Mets | 53c | 224.6$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.56 | 1,051 | 50.4%530 W · 521 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3ec…e987backed Padres | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 613 | 46.3%284 W · 329 L | +7.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Padres | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2,033 | 52.4%1,066 W · 967 L | -35.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e43…17b6backed Padres | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcec6…47c1backed Padres | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 64 | 40.6%26 W · 38 L | -10.5wins | -0.16per pick | 57cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x9533…6d5fbacked Padres | 49c | 200$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 52 | 63.5%33 W · 19 L | +7.9wins | +0.15per pick | 48cpaid | +32.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x38f7…7f8dbacked Padres | 49c | 200$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 54 | 55.6%30 W · 24 L | +3.6wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb033…fb4fbacked Padres | 49c | 200$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 54 | 48.1%26 W · 28 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfe5…3c80backed Padres | 49c | 200$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 53 | 43.4%23 W · 30 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9df5…2390backed Padres | 49c | 200$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 54 | 48.1%26 W · 28 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x245f…b6d7backed Mets | 51c | 200$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98 | 54 | 44.4%24 W · 30 L | -4.4wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc805…e5dbbacked Mets | 51c | 200$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98 | 53 | 43.4%23 W · 30 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdcff…0e58backed Mets | 51c | 200$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98 | 50 | 48%24 W · 26 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee0f…f1dcbacked Mets | 51c | 200$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98 | 55 | 43.6%24 W · 31 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef60…c2a7backed Padres | 49c | 200$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 53 | 50.9%27 W · 26 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac3…fd57backed Padres | 49c | 200$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x70db…ba79backed Padres | 49c | 200$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 52 | 53.8%28 W · 24 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd18…1e0bbacked Padres | 49c | 200$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 51 | 43.1%22 W · 29 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xacad…8443backed Padres | 49c | 200$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 54 | 48.1%26 W · 28 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x473f…7be5backed Padres | 49c | 200$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 54 | 51.9%28 W · 26 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ed2…1bfabacked Padres | 49c | 200$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 53 | 39.6%21 W · 32 L | -6.4wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -23%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0819…daa2backed Padres | 49c | 200$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 52 | 53.8%28 W · 24 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfea7…28aabacked Mets | 51c | 200$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98 | 53 | 45.3%24 W · 29 L | -3.0wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5bbe…798bbacked Mets | 51c | 200$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98 | 50 | 38%19 W · 31 L | -6.1wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4767…3838backed Mets | 51c | 200$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98 | 52 | 48.1%25 W · 27 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6679…ceb7backed Padres | 49c | 200$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 51 | 41.2%21 W · 30 L | -5.8wins | -0.11per pick | 52cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb35d…27b8backed Mets | 51c | 200$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98 | 53 | 50.9%27 W · 26 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2bc2…bfcfbacked Padres | 49c | 200$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 52 | 46.2%24 W · 28 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a04…dbe9backed Mets | 51c | 200$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98 | 53 | 54.7%29 W · 24 L | +2.8wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ceb…489fbacked Padres | 49c | 200$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 50 | 44%22 W · 28 L | -4.2wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x618f…9e04backed Padres | 49c | 200$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 52 | 53.8%28 W · 24 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb2c0…10b0backed Padres | 49c | 200$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 50 | 40%20 W · 30 L | -5.3wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -19%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2855…8cb6backed Padres | 49c | 200$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 52 | 44.2%23 W · 29 L | -3.4wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5274…4ce8backed Mets | 51c | 200$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98 | 52 | 55.8%29 W · 23 L | +2.7wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x02cc…dc16backed Padres | 49c | 200$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 51 | 52.9%27 W · 24 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a2a…9b5dbacked Mets | 51c | 200$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98 | 50 | 58%29 W · 21 L | +5.1wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xde56…935dbacked Mets | 51c | 200$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98 | 53 | 47.2%25 W · 28 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb61a…d19cbacked Padres | 49c | 200$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 53 | 43.4%23 W · 30 L | -3.0wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b46…f029backed Mets | 51c | 200$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98 | 54 | 51.9%28 W · 26 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf650…dcbfbacked Padres | 49c | 200$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 55 | 56.4%31 W · 24 L | +3.2wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.