MLB · resolved market
Padres vs. Mets
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x54939dc3121ddf454e7201efb8f101c99007522799e6418f91d9fc371c27fc39
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Padresof Padres, Mets
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $906,735
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $911,077
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $906,735 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 158 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf29b…dd4cbacked Padres | 46c | 463,826$212,860 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250,965.85 | 380 | 43.4%165 W · 215 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Mets | 54c | 347,700$187,442 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187,442.38 | 1,328 | 51.4%682 W · 646 L | +25.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ce8…4527backed Mets | 54c | 78,475$42,377 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42,376.61 | 444 | 56.5%251 W · 193 L | +21.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x033b…2f6bbacked Mets | 1c | 64,238$642 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$642.38 | 27 | 25.9%7 W · 20 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f09…4632backed Mets | 55c | 34,008$18,704 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,704.4 | 254 | 53.5%136 W · 118 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Mets | 24c | 31,474$7,539 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,539.16 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3745…cf3bbacked Mets | 55c | 28,000$15,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,400 | 380 | 47.6%181 W · 199 L | -8.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5f2…0234backed Padres | 46c | 25,000$11,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,500 | 269 | 49.4%133 W · 136 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea64…f2a2backed Mets | 13c | 23,878$3,043 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,042.75 | 387 | 51.9%201 W · 186 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Mets | 54c | 22,000$11,880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,880 | 550 | 53.6%295 W · 255 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa983…46a3backed Padres | 76c | 21,030$16,062 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,967.57 | 113 | 45.1%51 W · 62 L | -16.4wins | -0.14per pick | 60cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xe38e…c29dbacked Mets | 55c | 17,446$9,595 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,595.32 | 482 | 54.4%262 W · 220 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Padres | 74c | 15,519$11,508 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,011.05 | 1,530 | 50.5%772 W · 758 L | +20.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x439b…2c9abacked Padres | 47c | 13,914$6,542 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,372.2 | 91 | 35.2%32 W · 59 L | -12.0wins | -0.13per pick | 48cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Padres | 55c | 13,313$7,290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,023.23 | 1,381 | 48.1%664 W · 717 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb230…4193backed Padres | 45c | 10,000$4,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,500 | 111 | 50.5%56 W · 55 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x095a…2400backed Mets | 55c | 6,034$3,319 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,318.7 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.6wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Mets | 21c | 5,652$1,185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,185.5 | 9,819 | 46.4%4,557 W · 5,262 L | +39.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Padres | 69c | 5,021$3,469 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,552.12 | 784 | 45.3%355 W · 429 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Mets | 52c | 4,559$2,371 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,370.79 | 1,358 | 50.8%690 W · 668 L | +13.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e2…c7fdbacked Mets | 23c | 4,177$949 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$948.93 | 150 | 33.3%50 W · 100 L | -10.8wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7ba5…aaf1backed Padres | 50c | 3,836$1,918 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,917.82 | 540 | 48.3%261 W · 279 L | -12.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Mets | 55c | 3,764$2,070 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,070.2 | 1,922 | 53.4%1,027 W · 895 L | +28.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x328e…dc42backed Mets | 45c | 3,249$1,473 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,473.47 | 218 | 47.7%104 W · 114 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f65…d7aebacked Mets | 53c | 3,100$1,650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,650 | 959 | 30%288 W · 671 L | -24.4wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…0566backed Mets | 22c | 2,691$595 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$595.39 | 549 | 41%225 W · 324 L | -15.1wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Padres | 45c | 2,500$1,125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,375 | 932 | 40.5%377 W · 555 L | +14.2wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4dbe…af34backed Padres | 45c | 2,500$1,125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,375 | 564 | 51.1%288 W · 276 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x811e…8733backed Padres | 46c | 2,500$1,150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,350 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +2.4wins | +0.13per pick | 48cpaid | +43%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1b5e…83f8backed Mets | 52c | 2,500$1,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,300 | 147 | 47.6%70 W · 77 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Padres | 47c | 2,308$1,081 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,226.75 | 731 | 49.4%361 W · 370 L | +23.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc25…1f7fbacked Mets | 52c | 2,284$1,188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,187.81 | 439 | 49.4%217 W · 222 L | +13.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9244…b955backed Padres | 45c | 2,220$999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,221 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31b0…8c4cbacked Padres | 48c | 2,083$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,083.33 | 115 | 54.8%63 W · 52 L | +8.4wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb853…0d33backed Mets | 55c | 1,818$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 630 | 52.7%332 W · 298 L | +13.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xacad…bceabacked Padres | 64c | 1,596$1,020 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$576.14 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Padres | 48c | 1,528$736 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$792.49 | 1,097 | 50.1%550 W · 547 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca21…b07cbacked Padres | 58c | 1,416$821 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$595.4 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -2.1wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa468…816ebacked Padres | 47c | 1,378$650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$728.27 | 93 | 49.5%46 W · 47 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Padres | 75c | 1,336$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$336.57 | 6,123 | 55.4%3,390 W · 2,733 L | +346.0wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Padres | 47c | 1,200$559 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$641 | 959 | 50.1%480 W · 479 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc624…106abacked Mets | 55c | 1,200$660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$660 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +1.8wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Mets | 30c | 1,132$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$339.76 | 6,305 | 48.2%3,042 W · 3,263 L | +181.6wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Mets | 53c | 1,128$592 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$592.5 | 631 | 52.6%332 W · 299 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6349…bc60backed Padres | 48c | 1,045$502 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$543.37 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.9wins | +0.27per pick | 44cpaid | +103.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd523…0aa4backed Padres | 48c | 1,041$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$541.32 | 1,293 | 46.6%603 W · 690 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c6f…014ebacked Mets | 55c | 1,000$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550 | 74 | 48.6%36 W · 38 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x226b…cad6backed Mets | 10c | 1,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 110 | 40.9%45 W · 65 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fec…fc7bbacked Mets | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 102 | 2.9%3 W · 99 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 7cpaid | -60%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5bf6…5200backed Padres | 46c | 1,000$460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$540 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e08…9726backed Mets | 55c | 1,000$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Padres | 48c | 1,000$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520 | 832 | 48%399 W · 433 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Mets | 7c | 990.82$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.99 | 1,180 | 7.2%85 W · 1,095 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Padres | 47c | 972$457 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$515.16 | 1,212 | 52.1%631 W · 581 L | +21.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked Mets | 11c | 933$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.68 | 876 | 2.9%25 W · 851 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Mets | 23c | 909$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.68 | 477 | 45.7%218 W · 259 L | +7.6wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3ad…9d38backed Padres | 48c | 834.9$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$434.9 | 170 | 45.3%77 W · 93 L | -7.4wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba9e…97c0backed Mets | 55c | 796.58$438 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$438.12 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeefb…d354backed Padres | 46c | 790.78$364 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$427.02 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.3wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe128…243fbacked Mets | 18c | 759.39$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.19 | 53 | 39.6%21 W · 32 L | +3.6wins | +0.07per pick | 33cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Mets | 37c | 736.35$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$273.28 | 764 | 56%428 W · 336 L | +32.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b9d…269dbacked Mets | 26c | 705.08$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.7 | 331 | 37.5%124 W · 207 L | -17.5wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -30%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9f25…8ca8backed Padres | 46c | 652.17$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$352.17 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.6wins | -0.11per pick | 54cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0adb…7693backed Mets | 16c | 625$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 85 | 7.1%6 W · 79 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 10cpaid | -80.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2359…f72bbacked Padres | 52c | 600$312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -2.5wins | -0.16per pick | 53cpaid | -32%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Padres | 47c | 599.99$282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$317.99 | 3,303 | 46.3%1,528 W · 1,775 L | +22.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef75…5d78backed Mets | 29c | 599.7$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.08 | 1,358 | 45.9%624 W · 734 L | +41.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1467…4372backed Padres | 46c | 543.48$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$293.48 | 130 | 45.4%59 W · 71 L | -5.0wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -11%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Mets | 48c | 543$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260.4 | 12,328 | 46.4%5,726 W · 6,602 L | -66.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5bd…2182backed Mets | 15c | 528.88$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.06 | 30 | 20%6 W · 24 L | -3.0wins | -0.10per pick | 30cpaid | -42%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3d64…01fabacked Padres | 48c | 517.79$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.25 | 513 | 47%241 W · 272 L | +32.0wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb6c5…7becbacked Padres | 46c | 500$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270 | 69 | 49.3%34 W · 35 L | +5.6wins | +0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Padres | 47c | 500$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265 | 1,360 | 44.3%602 W · 758 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Padres | 47c | 500$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265 | 1,012 | 51.2%518 W · 494 L | +37.0wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcc81…0ababacked Padres | 50c | 400$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 260 | 55%143 W · 117 L | +21.2wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf235…366dbacked Padres | 46c | 384.5$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.63 | 1,086 | 46.2%502 W · 584 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Mets | 32c | 367.43$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.63 | 4,187 | 50.2%2,102 W · 2,085 L | +94.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7dce…38ecbacked Mets | 55c | 346.83$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 132 | 49.2%65 W · 67 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x489f…ce2ebacked Padres | 50c | 340$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +2.0wins | +0.33per pick | 50cpaid | +68.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Mets | 54c | 334.03$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.38 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1961…ed4fbacked Mets | 6c | 333.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed Padres | 46c | 300$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162 | 667 | 51.9%346 W · 321 L | +30.0wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa3ba…d03cbacked Padres | 46c | 285.52$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.18 | 29 | 65.5%19 W · 10 L | +4.6wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +36.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6162…f49bbacked Mets | 55c | 285.45$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x41e3…1962backed Mets | 25c | 239.82$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 575 | 45.9%264 W · 311 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3989…27b1backed Padres | 46c | 230$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.2 | 187 | 49.2%92 W · 95 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3ec…e987backed Padres | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.39 | 623 | 46.2%288 W · 335 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Padres | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.39 | 2,033 | 52.4%1,066 W · 967 L | -35.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Padres | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.39 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfe…4341backed Padres | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.39 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -2.0wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf36…94e8backed Mets | 55c | 200$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 149 | 49%73 W · 76 L | -7.0wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x26e9…4a51backed Padres | 48c | 200$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104 | 109 | 40.4%44 W · 65 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -13%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3df4…57dfbacked Padres | 46c | 186.65$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.79 | 313 | 47.9%150 W · 163 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Mets | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,250 | 52.2%653 W · 597 L | -5.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd7d5…af7fbacked Mets | 6c | 174.02$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.02 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b51…54bebacked Padres | 47c | 171.17$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.72 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +125.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcacb…a28fbacked Mets | 53c | 166.97$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.49 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5b…f102backed Padres | 48c | 156.25$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.25 | 1,302 | 56.7%738 W · 564 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e9c…95a1backed Padres | 48c | 156.25$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.25 | 401 | 44.1%177 W · 224 L | -17.0wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cbe…12bcbacked Mets | 53c | 142.86$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.72 | 1,132 | 48.9%553 W · 579 L | -16.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Padres vs. Metsthis page
- NRFI: San Diego Padres vs. New York MetsNo won
- San Diego Padres vs. New York Mets: O/U 7.5Over won
- Spread: New York Mets (-1.5)San Diego Padres won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.