Token Launches · resolved market
Will $PENGU be the next coin listed on Robinhood?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6c9cb4bb4e8254421afe9a5c023fb77640c46c023864e1ea4040fffd9844f27f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Token Launchesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $36,352
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $46,667
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $36,352 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 15 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Token Launches is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Token Launches | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0dfa…c0e3backed No | 0c | 5,000$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 22 | 0%0 W · 22 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c3d…5c6bbacked Yes | 52c | 2,881$1,484 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,396.94 | 56 | 23.2%13 W · 43 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -46.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5172…0581backed No | 12c | 2,000$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.25per pick | 9cpaid | +371.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc390…28bdbacked No | 1c | 1,415$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.56 | 57 | 5.3%3 W · 54 L | -4.2wins | -0.07per pick | 13cpaid | +48.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed No | 6c | 1,266$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.36 | 105 | 21.9%23 W · 82 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 18cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2cde…5b98backed No | 22c | 726$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.72 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +5.8wins | +0.32per pick | 12cpaid | +985.3%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xfb81…1cf3backed No | 23c | 694$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.62 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | +1.6wins | +0.09per pick | 14cpaid | +99.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb14…5358backed No | 75c | 399.99$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.14 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -2.5wins | -0.23per pick | 59cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7853…36d8backed No | 79c | 126.58$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed No | 54c | 63.27$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.41 | 134 | 24.6%33 W · 101 L | -14.8wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5635…6f44backed Yes | 80c | 56$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.24 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0a6…2ab9backed Yes | 25c | 40$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.37per pick | 38cpaid | +130.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8803…eb1dbacked No | 75c | 30$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcceb…f030backed No | 80c | 20$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 63 | 42.9%27 W · 36 L | -4.6wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd7a6…8e49backed No | 75c | 14.67$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 16 | 75%12 W · 4 L | +2.8wins | +0.18per pick | 57cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Token Launches and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will $PENGU be the next coin listed on Robinhood?this page
- Will $APT be the next coin listed on Robinhood?No won
- Will $IP be the next coin listed on Robinhood?No won
- Will $SPX be the next coin listed on Robinhood?No won
- Will another coin be the next coin listed on Robinhood?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.