Token Launches · resolved market
Will another coin be the next coin listed on Robinhood?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4c205d310d3de352bf40bb56c9da443e8fc4826cdebdaca41f81d15885bd468a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Token Launchesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $15,437
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $17,176
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,437 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 18 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Token Launches is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Token Launches | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5172…0581backed Yes | 6c | 1,999$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.94 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.25per pick | 9cpaid | +371.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed Yes | 19c | 1,100$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207 | 105 | 21.9%23 W · 82 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 18cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2cde…5b98backed Yes | 22c | 726$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.72 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +5.8wins | +0.32per pick | 12cpaid | +985.3%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x9055…756abacked Yes | 4c | 695.64$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.91 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -49%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb81…1cf3backed Yes | 23c | 694$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.62 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | +1.6wins | +0.09per pick | 14cpaid | +99.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Yes | 36c | 599.99$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.15 | 167 | 40.7%68 W · 99 L | -10.7wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0aba…eea1backed Yes | 65c | 475$307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306.5 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.21per pick | 38cpaid | -78.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd06f…d4a6backed Yes | 62c | 274.71$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.72 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0661…a72ebacked Yes | 65c | 166.37$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed No | 37c | 100$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63 | 134 | 24.6%33 W · 101 L | -14.8wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7853…36d8backed Yes | 69c | 97.81$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.59 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 38c | 66.24$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.95 | 212 | 40.6%86 W · 126 L | -9.2wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb14…5358backed Yes | 61c | 60$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.6 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -2.5wins | -0.23per pick | 59cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x88b0…b118backed No | 39c | 55$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.55 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +2.5wins | +0.21per pick | 54cpaid | +99.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb100…6461backed Yes | 57c | 51$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.07 | 51 | 37.3%19 W · 32 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcceb…f030backed Yes | 68c | 40$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.2 | 63 | 42.9%27 W · 36 L | -4.6wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9118…e9dabacked No | 38c | 40$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.8 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.19per pick | 33cpaid | -62.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8803…eb1dbacked No | 35c | 30$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.5 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Token Launches and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will another coin be the next coin listed on Robinhood?this page
- Will $APT be the next coin listed on Robinhood?No won
- Will $IP be the next coin listed on Robinhood?No won
- Will $PENGU be the next coin listed on Robinhood?Yes won
- Will $SPX be the next coin listed on Robinhood?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.