Boxing · resolved market
Trevvy vs. Oblivion
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x65f3b9b7ef6a6538c5771e0015121dc74d917ea7a9e0d2c642e8a1dbecd78018
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Oblivionof Trevvy, Oblivion
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Boxingevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $24,179
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $29,027
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $24,179 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 24 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Boxing is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Boxing | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd1ac…08d5backed Trevvy | 12c | 3,338$410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$409.91 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | +5.2wins | +0.21per pick | 43cpaid | +67.9%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5172…0581backed Trevvy | 4c | 3,000$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2cde…5b98backed Trevvy | 11c | 1,310$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.66 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c51…087cbacked Trevvy | 70c | 654.92$459 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$459.49 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.70per pick | 70cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf4ae…52edbacked Trevvy | 73c | 567.4$416 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$415.55 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.73per pick | 73cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfbe7…9563backed Trevvy | 11c | 360$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.6 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5fc8…7681backed Trevvy | 77c | 260.02$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.15 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfeb8…a050backed Oblivion | 39c | 244.36$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.88 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +115.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a3…fc02backed Trevvy | 72c | 222$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.84 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Trevvy | 70c | 219$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.82 | 48 | 39.6%19 W · 29 L | -2.9wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -34%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Trevvy | 70c | 200$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc412…592dbacked Trevvy | 10c | 200$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6cf1…3c6bbacked Trevvy | 75c | 120$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.67per pick | 67cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x500c…d0c0backed Oblivion | 25c | 99.81$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.81 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.67per pick | 33cpaid | +224.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd713…4662backed Trevvy | 34c | 93.74$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.27 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe99c…b00cbacked Trevvy | 65c | 83.46$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7df6…ac3bbacked Oblivion | 50c | 80$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.22 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x17e5…3d19backed Trevvy | 72c | 60$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0159…c184backed Trevvy | 73c | 50$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.73per pick | 73cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf612…5700backed Trevvy | 72c | 33$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.76 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.15per pick | 47cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e9e…c4efbacked Trevvy | 71c | 33$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.43 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d95…67a7backed Trevvy | 69c | 28.93$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.69per pick | 69cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf112…21ebbacked Oblivion | 77c | 19.89$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.49 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +55.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x09d2…d4aabacked Trevvy | 72c | 16.06$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.56 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.72per pick | 72cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Boxing and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.