Mls · resolved market
Will Los Angeles FC win on 2025-10-08?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdd00a13c6b9d292dd086a20e7b7dbe1751600d18f339bd63a61c1405ae5bd3eb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $35,328
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $42,361
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $35,328 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 51 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Mls | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdc9f…905bbacked No | 36c | 6,755$2,434 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,433.54 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad28…770cbacked Yes | 69c | 4,961$3,423 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,538.06 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -10%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed No | 31c | 4,438$1,382 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,381.8 | 257 | 61.5%158 W · 99 L | +17.4wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xca53…2dffbacked Yes | 69c | 2,175$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$675.42 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +45%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Yes | 66c | 1,893$1,253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$640.18 | 161 | 37.9%61 W · 100 L | -6.9wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x39fd…5a3fbacked Yes | 67c | 1,000$670 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +2.0wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +68.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2619…9f4ebacked Yes | 64c | 900$573 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$327 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -2.2wins | -0.12per pick | 51cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 65c | 794.72$518 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.65 | 3,012 | 43.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L | -29.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42b5…0dd9backed No | 34c | 780.5$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265.37 | 49 | 18.4%9 W · 40 L | -3.6wins | -0.07per pick | 26cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7eda…4bb7backed Yes | 68c | 675.54$459 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.17 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4231…f63ebacked Yes | 65c | 634.74$416 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.09 | 132 | 57.6%76 W · 56 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Yes | 64c | 609.38$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.38 | 91 | 51.6%47 W · 44 L | -4.4wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed No | 29c | 607.25$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d03…369abacked Yes | 64c | 600$384 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2988…e46bbacked Yes | 68c | 587.72$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.72 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Yes | 66c | 500$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd612…0bc1backed Yes | 67c | 315.09$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.94 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +48.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b8e…5c3cbacked Yes | 75c | 300$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 18 | 72.2%13 W · 5 L | +2.8wins | +0.16per pick | 56cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0521…cc4abacked Yes | 68c | 294.12$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.12 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x211a…9613backed Yes | 67c | 200$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +2.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +73%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x45d1…7017backed No | 31c | 199.99$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 45 | 40%18 W · 27 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Yes | 65c | 195$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.25 | 206 | 48.5%100 W · 106 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52b6…b02ebacked Yes | 68c | 176.47$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.47 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +130.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Yes | 66c | 175.54$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.68 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Yes | 68c | 147.06$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.06 | 160 | 61.3%98 W · 62 L | +6.7wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Yes | 68c | 147.06$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.06 | 50 | 52%26 W · 24 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d0f…4faabacked No | 32c | 147.06$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.06 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2272…2e9cbacked No | 32c | 141.97$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.74 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 14c | 125$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.93 | 22 | 0%0 W · 22 L | -2.0wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x167c…a88bbacked Yes | 65c | 112$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.2 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.6wins | +0.14per pick | 45cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2361…e16ebacked No | 32c | 110$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.2 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Yes | 67c | 101.34$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.44 | 110 | 46.4%51 W · 59 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x41b7…f6babacked Yes | 66c | 100$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +31.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked No | 32c | 100$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 89 | 19.1%17 W · 72 L | -6.8wins | -0.08per pick | 27cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Yes | 65c | 80$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 105 | 33.3%35 W · 70 L | -10.3wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -43%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x83c5…e193backed Yes | 65c | 79.99$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x681d…4cbfbacked Yes | 67c | 74.88$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.88 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -3.0wins | -0.16per pick | 50cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8c4b…8ab7backed Yes | 67c | 70.13$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.14 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.27per pick | 48cpaid | +41.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3c87…70d5backed Yes | 67c | 59.7$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.7 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | +3.7wins | +0.11per pick | 42cpaid | +27.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd269…8055backed Yes | 68c | 58.82$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.82 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +30.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Yes | 61c | 40$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.6 | 413 | 39%161 W · 252 L | -8.1wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked No | 32c | 36.88$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.83 | 150 | 51.3%77 W · 73 L | +6.1wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcea0…3a54backed Yes | 67c | 29.85$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.85 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7231…8e0ebacked Yes | 67c | 29.85$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.85 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +48.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5543…4195backed Yes | 67c | 29.85$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.85 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.15per pick | 51cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x06a9…1a49backed Yes | 68c | 29.41$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.41 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e80…e401backed Yes | 66c | 25$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.5 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.35per pick | 66cpaid | +52.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdea5…9437backed Yes | 66c | 22.73$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.73 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a1b…7162backed Yes | 68c | 17.03$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.45 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe241…14c0backed Yes | 67c | 16.66$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.44 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +48.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa03…eea2backed Yes | 68c | 15$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.8 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.8wins | +0.23per pick | 52cpaid | +45.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Los Angeles FC win on 2025-10-08?this page
- Will Los Angeles FC vs. Toronto FC end in a draw?No won
- Will Toronto FC win on 2025-10-08?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.