Asian League · resolved market
Kashima Antlers vs. FC Machida Zelvia: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1241063da8c4da4480159498fd2be6f07b19ed7847d9260edc2150328a4435f5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $21,389
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $22,772
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $21,389 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 78 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 62c | 7,934$4,932 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,002.51 | 5,963 | 46%2,744 W · 3,219 L | +46.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7402…8020backed Over | 44c | 4,000$1,760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,759.99 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7299…31f3backed Over | 45c | 2,108$955 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$955 | 67 | 37.3%25 W · 42 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabce…2f87backed Over | 36c | 2,000$720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$719.97 | 260 | 52.7%137 W · 123 L | +10.8wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +13%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x76e4…febcbacked Over | 38c | 1,316$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 40 | 35%14 W · 26 L | -3.3wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 59c | 1,078$641 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$437.29 | 2,528 | 42.2%1,067 W · 1,461 L | +53.0wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Under | 62c | 920.69$571 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$349.86 | 1,116 | 49.5%552 W · 564 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc29…383bbacked Under | 43c | 857$368 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$488.57 | 94 | 41.5%39 W · 55 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 53c | 516.77$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$241.88 | 1,522 | 54.9%835 W · 687 L | +5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf8d9…d7f5backed Over | 19c | 500$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97 | 56 | 12.5%7 W · 49 L | -6.4wins | -0.11per pick | 24cpaid | -54%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7e52…00f5backed Over | 21c | 450$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.5 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 40c | 444.53$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.3 | 1,357 | 45.5%617 W · 740 L | +14.5wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 57c | 362.99$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.09 | 1,749 | 50.7%887 W · 862 L | +30.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad18…0b4fbacked Over | 32c | 269.9$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.37 | 38 | 36.8%14 W · 24 L | -3.0wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc37…bac6backed Under | 65c | 255.4$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.66 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea3d…2e9dbacked Under | 61c | 245.9$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.9 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7479…e171backed Under | 70c | 230.95$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.5 | 65 | 56.9%37 W · 28 L | +4.0wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9aa5…e01bbacked Over | 38c | 223.68$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85 | 54 | 42.6%23 W · 31 L | +3.4wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +33.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc6df…e2aabacked Over | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe619…6342backed Under | 64c | 203.13$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.13 | 129 | 41.1%53 W · 76 L | -5.5wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9b97…6084backed Under | 64c | 199.99$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72 | 136 | 31.6%43 W · 93 L | -13.8wins | -0.10per pick | 42cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5fc3…0670backed Over | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 64 | 18.8%12 W · 52 L | -9.6wins | -0.15per pick | 34cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xd88d…f708backed Over | 39c | 190.72$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.22 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +1.5wins | +0.11per pick | 35cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc75b…3ea7backed Under | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.57 | 282 | 53.5%151 W · 131 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33af…288abacked Over | 38c | 145.11$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 387 | 37.5%145 W · 242 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 58c | 140.46$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.99 | 1,991 | 54.1%1,078 W · 913 L | +29.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 57c | 138.36$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.5 | 1,651 | 50.9%840 W · 811 L | +5.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x941e…7863backed Over | 38c | 131.64$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x70dc…1317backed Over | 57c | 120.54$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.24 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x70b2…92d6backed Over | 18c | 111.11$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 38 | 31.6%12 W · 26 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf472…fd6ebacked Over | 46c | 110.83$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.6 | 91 | 41.8%38 W · 53 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4cc7…b90dbacked Over | 37c | 108.11$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 61 | 39.3%24 W · 37 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +33.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Over | 39c | 107.51$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.93 | 899 | 55.1%495 W · 404 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaad3…d0d2backed Under | 50c | 104$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 81 | 46.9%38 W · 43 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 24c | 103.63$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.82 | 1,319 | 56.7%748 W · 571 L | +64.8wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked Under | 62c | 102.99$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.14 | 95 | 30.5%29 W · 66 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02bc…1fd2backed Under | 57c | 100$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43 | 341 | 50.7%173 W · 168 L | +18.7wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Over | 43c | 100$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 297 | 45.1%134 W · 163 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaaf5…e71cbacked Over | 52c | 100$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2fcb…78cfbacked Under | 64c | 100$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 60 | 60%36 W · 24 L | +5.8wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbe77…8166backed Over | 33c | 99.99$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 32cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x942d…896cbacked Over | 63c | 99.99$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.82 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 68cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ddc…e874backed Over | 28c | 99.72$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.48 | 108 | 43.5%47 W · 61 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1440…8cf8backed Over | 33c | 90$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.9 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc10d…e679backed Over | 36c | 89.97$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.39 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.17per pick | 43cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Under | 64c | 85$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.6 | 158 | 50%79 W · 79 L | -14.3wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5a6b…68a0backed Over | 49c | 81.63$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf46b…c51dbacked Under | 63c | 79.17$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.17 | 325 | 60.3%196 W · 129 L | +20.0wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x15bb…3bc7backed Over | 64c | 77.07$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.28 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.33per pick | 67cpaid | -49.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x88a2…68a0backed Over | 42c | 74.5$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.29 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | -3.8wins | -0.17per pick | 43cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b5…1212backed Over | 41c | 70.85$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 257 | 42%108 W · 149 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1e0…041bbacked Under | 61c | 65.45$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.53 | 182 | 56%102 W · 80 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf39d…a5e9backed Over | 48c | 62.2$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9531…18ffbacked Over | 65c | 60$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 67 | 38.8%26 W · 41 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x582a…a781backed Over | 42c | 59.52$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 62cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44b8…a2d7backed Over | 39c | 51.28$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 118 | 41.5%49 W · 69 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Over | 39c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 61 | 47.5%29 W · 32 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 59c | 46.3$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.98 | 1,766 | 50.2%887 W · 879 L | +31.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d49…7cc0backed Under | 63c | 43.59$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.31 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e5b…bb9abacked Over | 36c | 41.67$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 78 | 56.4%44 W · 34 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 62c | 41.45$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.81 | 1,235 | 49.9%616 W · 619 L | +9.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5012…4d3ebacked Under | 71c | 38.61$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.38 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35d1…1f70backed Under | 60c | 33.54$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.57 | 208 | 60.1%125 W · 83 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd7f9…29a9backed Under | 60c | 30.24$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.11 | 154 | 70.8%109 W · 45 L | +16.1wins | +0.10per pick | 60cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1f34…c995backed Under | 37c | 30$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.9 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.63per pick | 37cpaid | +170.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e73…3f4ebacked Under | 65c | 29.21$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.17 | 159 | 71.1%113 W · 46 L | +15.5wins | +0.10per pick | 61cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3d62…49c5backed Over | 45c | 25$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.25 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.31per pick | 51cpaid | -70.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4ba4…8eb0backed Over | 49c | 23.25$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.49 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Under | 64c | 22.81$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.21 | 390 | 58.2%227 W · 163 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2698…2941backed Under | 49c | 21.48$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.01 | 39 | 61.5%24 W · 15 L | +3.2wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4b5c…dba2backed Over | 59c | 20.34$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0356…5273backed Under | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +85.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Under | 75c | 19.44$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.8 | 324 | 57.1%185 W · 139 L | +12.7wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f50…cf07backed Under | 75c | 17.33$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.33 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Under | 60c | 16.72$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.69 | 478 | 60.3%288 W · 190 L | +15.2wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked Under | 60c | 16.72$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.69 | 345 | 58.6%202 W · 143 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x76a4…6f3abacked Under | 66c | 16.59$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.72 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3bcd…ac63backed Under | 61c | 16.48$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.39 | 30 | 83.3%25 W · 5 L | +6.0wins | +0.20per pick | 63cpaid | +30.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Kashima Antlers vs. FC Machida Zelvia: O/U 2.5this page
- Kashima Antlers vs. FC Machida Zelvia: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Kashima Antlers vs. FC Machida Zelvia: O/U 1.5Over won
- Kashima Antlers vs. FC Machida Zelvia: O/U 3.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.