La Liga · resolved market
Athletic Club vs. Villarreal CF: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1d898ab39ad2057809d5c0f97a1c3ecc8fcc75e2144121b9013c86924b55db06
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $79,063
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $87,310
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $79,063 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 97 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1d2e…896dbacked Under | 53c | 15,087$7,996 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,091.06 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 47c | 9,469$4,450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,450.34 | 834 | 44.6%372 W · 462 L | +14.9wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa1…1ea8backed Under | 79c | 3,922$3,098 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$823.61 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +2.5wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Under | 70c | 3,004$2,104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$900.46 | 908 | 43.6%396 W · 512 L | -9.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8401…0fa1backed Over | 34c | 2,825$960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$960.4 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33bb…98b3backed Over | 26c | 1,964$504 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$503.66 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd66…fb6dbacked Over | 23c | 1,500$345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$344.93 | 108 | 20.4%22 W · 86 L | -9.6wins | -0.09per pick | 29cpaid | -47.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffd…7821backed Under | 73c | 1,406$1,027 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$378.91 | 132 | 51.5%68 W · 64 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd91a…211cbacked Over | 36c | 1,292$469 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$469.36 | 74 | 40.5%30 W · 44 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x83d9…651bbacked Under | 77c | 1,228$942 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$286.1 | 601 | 47.9%288 W · 313 L | +50.5wins | +0.08per pick | 40cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 20c | 1,130$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231.15 | 3,449 | 43%1,484 W · 1,965 L | +32.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x95ef…ff92backed Over | 24c | 1,005$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238.6 | 104 | 18.3%19 W · 85 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 18cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4155…fa41backed Over | 45c | 991.63$443 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$443.27 | 68 | 79.4%54 W · 14 L | +14.7wins | +0.22per pick | 58cpaid | +44%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0xb0cc…f354backed Over | 13c | 961.77$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.36 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6394…9749backed Over | 30c | 798.33$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.5 | 51 | 43.1%22 W · 29 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Over | 11c | 783.8$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.36 | 608 | 32.4%197 W · 411 L | -12.8wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Over | 47c | 771.84$363 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$362.77 | 403 | 57.1%230 W · 173 L | +7.6wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x116c…e162backed Under | 73c | 717.04$523 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.6 | 92 | 44.6%41 W · 51 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf07…e601backed Over | 16c | 655.28$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.11 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | +1.7wins | +0.09per pick | 31cpaid | +30.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 62c | 614.03$382 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232 | 1,798 | 51.4%924 W · 874 L | +6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Over | 13c | 592.7$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.07 | 839 | 39.8%334 W · 505 L | -21.0wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked Over | 47c | 537.35$253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252.55 | 224 | 46%103 W · 121 L | -8.0wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 68c | 502.81$342 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.63 | 1,655 | 43.8%725 W · 930 L | -22.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b5e…83f8backed Under | 69c | 490.7$339 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.12 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +15%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8873…09fcbacked Over | 47c | 475.24$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.36 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82de…1337backed Over | 41c | 429.55$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.76 | 227 | 58.1%132 W · 95 L | +9.3wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Over | 41c | 412.1$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.66 | 283 | 57.2%162 W · 121 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked Over | 41c | 412.1$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.66 | 234 | 56.4%132 W · 102 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Over | 27c | 349.88$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.47 | 482 | 51.2%247 W · 235 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa266…67f7backed Over | 28c | 334.88$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.77 | 119 | 29.4%35 W · 84 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b84…2f73backed Under | 72c | 273.11$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.47 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.09per pick | 65cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8544…3d33backed Under | 73c | 269.53$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.77 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 69cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Over | 47c | 258.98$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.72 | 357 | 59.4%212 W · 145 L | +10.3wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked Over | 47c | 258.98$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.72 | 239 | 57.7%138 W · 101 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed Over | 47c | 257.28$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.92 | 203 | 60.1%122 W · 81 L | +8.5wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xade2…8757backed Over | 47c | 257.28$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.92 | 91 | 64.8%59 W · 32 L | +7.9wins | +0.09per pick | 56cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2480…c148backed Under | 13c | 244.02$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.5 | 65 | 12.3%8 W · 57 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 13cpaid | +29.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x33e6…0244backed Over | 26c | 224.78$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.42 | 74 | 31.1%23 W · 51 L | +6.1wins | +0.08per pick | 23cpaid | +30.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8a92…6941backed Under | 15c | 205.69$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.94 | 55 | 38.2%21 W · 34 L | +3.1wins | +0.06per pick | 32cpaid | +1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 11c | 202.88$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.54 | 1,508 | 38.7%583 W · 925 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Over | 47c | 201.37$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.65 | 331 | 61.3%203 W · 128 L | +12.1wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1513…831abacked Under | 79c | 187.7$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.53 | 31 | 64.5%20 W · 11 L | +2.4wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbe7c…41c1backed Under | 57c | 170.91$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.49 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.24per pick | 59cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x823b…3655backed Over | 48c | 155.01$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.4 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd154…9c74backed Over | 33c | 146.32$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.84 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2104…82d7backed Under | 69c | 142.23$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.09 | 78 | 65.4%51 W · 27 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07f5…d680backed Over | 23c | 137.34$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.64 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.14per pick | 59cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b42…62afbacked Over | 14c | 123.16$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.56 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +3.1wins | +0.14per pick | 40cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1b44…d8debacked Over | 13c | 105.72$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.1 | 63 | 50.8%32 W · 31 L | +4.8wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf46b…c51dbacked Over | 45c | 103.19$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.22 | 195 | 55.9%109 W · 86 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3d12…cc43backed Over | 48c | 100.92$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.44 | 53 | 30.2%16 W · 37 L | -5.3wins | -0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdd03…df4abacked Over | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 80 | 28.8%23 W · 57 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Over | 24c | 96.42$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.61 | 596 | 55.4%330 W · 266 L | +31.1wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7511…582ebacked Over | 34c | 95.83$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.57 | 199 | 53.3%106 W · 93 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x811c…fd36backed Under | 74c | 93.12$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.21 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | -2.3wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1399…48c8backed Over | 25c | 89.62$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.4 | 124 | 70.2%87 W · 37 L | +30.3wins | +0.24per pick | 46cpaid | +70%equal weight | 73+0.20 edge/pick |
| 0xf26f…8f93backed Under | 12c | 88.45$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.77 | 96 | 11.5%11 W · 85 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 13cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96b0…76dfbacked Over | 31c | 84.39$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.36 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 32cpaid | -64.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf497…5ce0backed Over | 39c | 81.49$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.78 | 387 | 48.1%186 W · 201 L | +17.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2559…053bbacked Under | 73c | 80.56$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.75 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 68cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd8d7…406dbacked Under | 54c | 78.97$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.93 | 52 | 55.8%29 W · 23 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1792…118abacked Over | 38c | 78.8$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.04 | 180 | 62.2%112 W · 68 L | +8.6wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d20…f812backed Over | 31c | 76.13$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.6 | 308 | 42.9%132 W · 176 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f76…9798backed Under | 69c | 71.12$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.05 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6538…06a3backed Under | 79c | 70.28$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.76 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 31cpaid | +49.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc155…dc0fbacked Under | 75c | 65.67$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.42 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -2.1wins | -0.21per pick | 61cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcbef…0c11backed Under | 76c | 64.84$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.56 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.13per pick | 73cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd60c…2b06backed Over | 29c | 60.92$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.65 | 175 | 62.9%110 W · 65 L | +32.1wins | +0.18per pick | 45cpaid | +64.6%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0xc629…5e51backed Over | 33c | 58.17$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.2 | 105 | 47.6%50 W · 55 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xded4…1e6dbacked Under | 69c | 58.09$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.01 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61e1…17dabacked Under | 73c | 53.62$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.26 | 9 | 88.9%8 W · 1 L | +1.8wins | +0.20per pick | 68cpaid | +73.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8948…7e5ebacked Under | 55c | 53.07$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.88 | 49 | 73.5%36 W · 13 L | +9.4wins | +0.19per pick | 54cpaid | +35.7%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked Over | 31c | 51.59$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.12 | 69 | 50.7%35 W · 34 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Under | 66c | 50.97$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.17 | 444 | 24.1%107 W · 337 L | -50.1wins | -0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -47.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Under | 56c | 50$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 202 | 52%105 W · 97 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x551c…fe91backed Over | 24c | 47.28$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.35 | 225 | 53.8%121 W · 104 L | +18.6wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x976a…e8ecbacked Over | 24c | 46.17$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.08 | 141 | 40.4%57 W · 84 L | -5.8wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x278f…5c17backed Over | 45c | 45.49$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.46 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -2.0wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3486…49eebacked Over | 48c | 40.37$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.38 | 265 | 45.3%120 W · 145 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc036…30d4backed Under | 79c | 39.6$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.5 | 93 | 57%53 W · 40 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa93…a0c9backed Under | 66c | 39.01$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.26 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +33.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefa8…924ebacked Over | 35c | 36.87$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.99 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 64c | 34$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.09 | 923 | 45.5%420 W · 503 L | -30.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e35…ee1abacked Under | 75c | 32.83$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.21 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -3.1wins | -0.18per pick | 71cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Under | 76c | 29.46$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.01 | 744 | 57.5%428 W · 316 L | +22.4wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0ffe…9150backed Under | 75c | 29.17$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.31 | 52 | 51.9%27 W · 25 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x99c4…f247backed Over | 38c | 28.88$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.84 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.8wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfa1c…0144backed Under | 70c | 28.06$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.42 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad50…6c25backed Under | 80c | 26.84$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.37 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66fc…2720backed Under | 63c | 25.5$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.48 | 39 | 66.7%26 W · 13 L | +4.6wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x464d…d99bbacked Under | 72c | 20.59$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.84 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb5c4…2853backed Under | 73c | 20.22$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.46 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Under | 62c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.7 | 201 | 42.8%86 W · 115 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02f4…4effbacked Under | 70c | 19.54$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.86 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -3.1wins | -0.12per pick | 58cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0e29…e340backed Under | 70c | 17.06$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.12 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Under | 63c | 16.54$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.07 | 373 | 48.3%180 W · 193 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f1d…7132backed Under | 72c | 16.39$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.59 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +34.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Athletic Club vs. Villarreal CF: O/U 3.5this page
- Athletic Club vs. Villarreal CF: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Athletic Club vs. Villarreal CF: O/U 1.5Over won
- Athletic Club vs. Villarreal CF: O/U 2.5Over won
- Athletic Club vs. Villarreal CF: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Athletic Club (-1.5)Villarreal CF won
- Spread: Villarreal CF (-1.5)Athletic Club won
- Spread: Villarreal CF (-2.5)Athletic Club won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.