La Liga · resolved market
RCD Mallorca vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1472ea9d925cacce64a423c4f6d9d7f4ecf2a3ea261b3a3bc1a0b70e848e207b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,847
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,845
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,847 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 46 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 53c | 4,918$2,586 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,331.86 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8b0…7b16backed Yes | 53c | 3,493$1,851 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,851.14 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaebf…e1cabacked Yes | 42c | 1,639$688 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$688.48 | 107 | 36.4%39 W · 68 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 47c | 1,031$485 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$545.95 | 3,449 | 43%1,484 W · 1,965 L | +32.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked No | 47c | 999.96$470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$529.98 | 91 | 47.3%43 W · 48 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 46c | 855.08$395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$460.51 | 2,343 | 48.5%1,137 W · 1,206 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc905…850bbacked Yes | 56c | 784.26$438 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$438.09 | 161 | 60.9%98 W · 63 L | +10.4wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x26ce…6da3backed Yes | 53c | 559.48$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296.53 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc385…8eb0backed Yes | 56c | 348.21$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.71 | 44 | 63.6%28 W · 16 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdabd…6adabacked Yes | 42c | 294.7$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.52 | 101 | 27.7%28 W · 73 L | -7.1wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x74bb…1759backed Yes | 44c | 219.64$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.64 | 32 | 21.9%7 W · 25 L | -2.8wins | -0.09per pick | 31cpaid | -41.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x63c5…1ecbbacked Yes | 51c | 194.12$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 95 | 58.9%56 W · 39 L | +10.8wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa23f…a64ebacked Yes | 53c | 193.86$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.75 | 83 | 55.4%46 W · 37 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Yes | 16c | 158.46$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.93 | 284 | 46.5%132 W · 152 L | -16.8wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 49c | 135.94$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.65 | 1,508 | 38.7%583 W · 925 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked No | 51c | 126.6$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.74 | 1,655 | 43.8%725 W · 930 L | -22.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f14…73a3backed No | 48c | 115.05$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.82 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | +17%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff89…9c06backed Yes | 53c | 109.93$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.31 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x578a…6f10backed Yes | 55c | 106.13$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.37 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5944…bd5bbacked Yes | 52c | 70$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.4 | 115 | 46.1%53 W · 62 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b5…1212backed Yes | 51c | 68.51$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.94 | 97 | 40.2%39 W · 58 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x983c…dd56backed Yes | 53c | 55.01$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.15 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | -3.6wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 48c | 55$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.39 | 1,566 | 51.6%808 W · 758 L | -8.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed No | 49c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.5 | 255 | 51.4%131 W · 124 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a3d…2068backed Yes | 55c | 47.77$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.27 | 130 | 50.8%66 W · 64 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33af…288abacked Yes | 31c | 46.38$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.38 | 160 | 40%64 W · 96 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f9e…4c57backed Yes | 49c | 45.9$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.49 | 47 | 19.1%9 W · 38 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 19cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c97…c20bbacked No | 50c | 42.68$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.34 | 75 | 54.7%41 W · 34 L | +5.0wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed No | 48c | 40.39$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.91 | 50 | 36%18 W · 32 L | -8.5wins | -0.17per pick | 53cpaid | -44.3%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…b1a2backed No | 50c | 39.15$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.75 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e64…6e0bbacked Yes | 51c | 38.06$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.41 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.25per pick | 58cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6835…1976backed No | 47c | 37.74$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 342 | 52%178 W · 164 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf18…af99backed Yes | 52c | 37.35$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.42 | 270 | 55.2%149 W · 121 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc83…215cbacked Yes | 53c | 36.67$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.44 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Yes | 34c | 36.44$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.39 | 1,419 | 45.6%647 W · 772 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc249…8a61backed No | 44c | 35.71$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 101 | 68.3%69 W · 32 L | +13.8wins | +0.14per pick | 55cpaid | +30.5%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xa2f9…7196backed Yes | 55c | 35.38$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.46 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x110d…cd01backed Yes | 52c | 30$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 131 | 57.3%75 W · 56 L | +11.6wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6b62…1924backed No | 48c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.6 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbea…e77bbacked No | 49c | 28.84$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.71 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -2.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6134…c8ccbacked Yes | 53c | 27.5$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.58 | 116 | 57.8%67 W · 49 L | +6.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3caa…b251backed Yes | 53c | 27.5$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.58 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +2.2wins | +0.22per pick | 48cpaid | +55.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x16fe…9496backed Yes | 51c | 26.2$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.28 | 209 | 47.4%99 W · 110 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38a5…37a5backed Yes | 56c | 26.08$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.6 | 53 | 54.7%29 W · 24 L | -5.4wins | -0.10per pick | 65cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdeb6…8f7fbacked Yes | 56c | 26.08$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.6 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +18%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed No | 47c | 23.58$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 644 | 57%367 W · 277 L | +27.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- RCD Mallorca vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- RCD Mallorca vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid: O/U 1.5Over won
- RCD Mallorca vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid: O/U 2.5Over won
- RCD Mallorca vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid: O/U 3.5Under won
- RCD Mallorca vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: RCD Mallorca (-1.5)RCD Mallorca won
- Spread: RCD Mallorca (-2.5)RCD Mallorca won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.