La Liga · resolved market
Spread: RCD Mallorca (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x67bcd64613f956d001c936929ca2a1de737db0cc8994400a6442bd69ee8ac826
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- RCD Mallorcaof RCD Mallorca, Rayo Vallecano de Madrid
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,722
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,884
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,722 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 15 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked RCD Mallorca | 63c | 1,254$784 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$470.11 | 3,449 | 43%1,484 W · 1,965 L | +32.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3520…1fa0backed Rayo Vallecano de Madrid | 38c | 760.11$289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288.84 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | +2.1wins | +0.08per pick | 32cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x40b4…1483backed RCD Mallorca | 15c | 641.31$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$546.43 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +2.3wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd9f9…0eaabacked Rayo Vallecano de Madrid | 37c | 546.24$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.06 | 19 | 5.3%1 W · 18 L | -3.0wins | -0.16per pick | 21cpaid | -74.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Rayo Vallecano de Madrid | 80c | 476.57$381 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380.99 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4af7…2381backed RCD Mallorca | 19c | 250.37$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.8 | 48 | 45.8%22 W · 26 L | +4.5wins | +0.09per pick | 36cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed RCD Mallorca | 18c | 190.36$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.39 | 908 | 43.6%396 W · 512 L | -9.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99be…3622backed RCD Mallorca | 15c | 109.45$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.03 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +66%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4be6…b010backed Rayo Vallecano de Madrid | 37c | 96.45$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.64 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2334…69b6backed Rayo Vallecano de Madrid | 46c | 79.78$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.59 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +105%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1df5…1e18backed RCD Mallorca | 73c | 61.1$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.24 | 62 | 59.7%37 W · 25 L | +8.4wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Rayo Vallecano de Madrid | 47c | 58.84$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.65 | 923 | 45.5%420 W · 503 L | -30.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc866…8c6dbacked RCD Mallorca | 46c | 43.96$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.52 | 40 | 57.5%23 W · 17 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb0b…3790backed Rayo Vallecano de Madrid | 46c | 25.01$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 68 | 39.7%27 W · 41 L | +12.9wins | +0.19per pick | 21cpaid | +118.1%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked RCD Mallorca | 62c | 20.41$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.76 | 1,655 | 43.8%725 W · 930 L | -22.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: RCD Mallorca (-1.5)this page
- RCD Mallorca vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- RCD Mallorca vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid: O/U 1.5Over won
- RCD Mallorca vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid: O/U 2.5Over won
- RCD Mallorca vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid: O/U 3.5Under won
- RCD Mallorca vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: RCD Mallorca (-2.5)RCD Mallorca won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.