Ligue 1 · resolved market
Spread: Paris Saint-Germain FC (-2.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xed368644d5dfe5abcb77f2f9cfde7fc66e33a8e02e13fac770206f3a27f3ab47
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Paris Saint-Germain FCof Paris Saint-Germain FC, Angers SCO
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,720
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,803
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,720 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 24 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4844…32c9backed Paris Saint-Germain FC | 35c | 831.01$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$542.77 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe11…18cfbacked Angers SCO | 65c | 500$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$325 | 66 | 54.5%36 W · 30 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba8d…009dbacked Angers SCO | 14c | 335$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.98 | 61 | 32.8%20 W · 41 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b45…db25backed Paris Saint-Germain FC | 36c | 328.46$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.61 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +122.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa4f9…9419backed Angers SCO | 65c | 301.06$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.86 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.14per pick | 57cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb5…9bf1backed Angers SCO | 64c | 264.97$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.58 | 272 | 44.9%122 W · 150 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Paris Saint-Germain FC | 30c | 205.59$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.68 | 1,415 | 40.8%577 W · 838 L | +13.5wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Angers SCO | 23c | 178.69$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.09 | 452 | 33.6%152 W · 300 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5555…823bbacked Angers SCO | 68c | 143.24$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.09 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 75cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Paris Saint-Germain FC | 33c | 136.31$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.79 | 464 | 50.4%234 W · 230 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1df5…1e18backed Paris Saint-Germain FC | 66c | 109.83$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.34 | 33 | 60.6%20 W · 13 L | +4.1wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Angers SCO | 48c | 103.03$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.3 | 1,916 | 45.5%872 W · 1,044 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x775c…e84dbacked Angers SCO | 27c | 99.8$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.25 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.23per pick | 52cpaid | +26%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3ee7…f36ebacked Angers SCO | 59c | 82.66$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.77 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 65cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47fb…0c7bbacked Angers SCO | 65c | 65.29$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.44 | 60 | 51.7%31 W · 29 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9708…5a37backed Paris Saint-Germain FC | 63c | 51.22$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.95 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x227c…b8c3backed Paris Saint-Germain FC | 34c | 48.73$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.16 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Paris Saint-Germain FC | 33c | 44.44$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.77 | 263 | 54%142 W · 121 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Angers SCO | 67c | 43.56$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.19 | 91 | 52.7%48 W · 43 L | -5.9wins | -0.07per pick | 59cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xee19…555ebacked Angers SCO | 66c | 40.84$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.95 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0338backed Angers SCO | 68c | 39.38$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.78 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.68per pick | 68cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7bb…2753backed Angers SCO | 67c | 36.57$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.51 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8289…6bbbbacked Paris Saint-Germain FC | 53c | 31.17$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.64 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1cc…28a0backed Angers SCO | 69c | 28.45$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.63 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.8wins | -0.17per pick | 62cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Paris Saint-Germain FC (-2.5)this page
- Angers SCO vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Angers SCO vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Angers SCO vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Angers SCO vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Angers SCO vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Paris Saint-Germain FC (-1.5)Paris Saint-Germain FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.