Ligue 1 · resolved market
Angers SCO vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xab575ff3e12649aed231fb0f1a9ab8e0e7cac5543dce4d4b0c557700405a6717
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $16,700
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $22,714
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,700 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 42 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xee19…555ebacked Over | 63c | 3,880$2,444 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,435.58 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d1…cdc9backed Under | 37c | 3,729$1,380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,379.87 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +50.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 35c | 2,037$722 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$721.95 | 331 | 45%149 W · 182 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 35c | 969.68$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$339.69 | 873 | 44.3%387 W · 486 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 65c | 931.51$605 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$326.03 | 243 | 49.4%120 W · 123 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2fcb…78cfbacked Under | 36c | 902.87$328 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$327.53 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 66c | 844.74$556 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288.82 | 1,415 | 40.8%577 W · 838 L | +13.5wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 73c | 339.27$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.04 | 452 | 33.6%152 W · 300 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 63c | 272.61$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.58 | 1,916 | 45.5%872 W · 1,044 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea32…8870backed Over | 63c | 260$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.2 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.19per pick | 56cpaid | +30%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf870…415dbacked Over | 78c | 203.48$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.77 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 35c | 198.43$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.86 | 525 | 50.1%263 W · 262 L | +8.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +10%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ab8…e32fbacked Over | 78c | 177.11$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.96 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d62…5409backed Over | 64c | 152.88$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.04 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -1.8wins | -0.11per pick | 64cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfa23…7afabacked Over | 64c | 152.88$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.04 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.17per pick | 57cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 74c | 132.55$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.98 | 593 | 48.4%287 W · 306 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xffe7…471dbacked Over | 65c | 120.49$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.17 | 109 | 64.2%70 W · 39 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4009…f2b4backed Over | 64c | 115.93$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.73 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +145.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1b44…d8debacked Over | 61c | 100$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +1.9wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xff38…1d79backed Over | 64c | 76.44$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.52 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1440…8cf8backed Over | 65c | 73.43$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.7 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -45.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Under | 35c | 59.81$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.92 | 263 | 54%142 W · 121 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3880…ab7dbacked Over | 64c | 53.51$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.26 | 82 | 54.9%45 W · 37 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a8c…1991backed Over | 65c | 48.95$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.13 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcfff…3d0ebacked Over | 74c | 48.34$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.48 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f61…f56fbacked Over | 69c | 48.12$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.14 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.19per pick | 61cpaid | +43%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5af3…1534backed Over | 64c | 45.86$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.51 | 45 | 51.1%23 W · 22 L | -4.0wins | -0.09per pick | 60cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf689…3e3fbacked Under | 37c | 40.38$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.94 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -2.7wins | -0.12per pick | 53cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x120e…6850backed Over | 65c | 39.16$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.71 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 71cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b78…473dbacked Over | 64c | 38.33$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.74 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f28…d173backed Over | 60c | 33.19$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.19 | 24 | 75%18 W · 6 L | +3.6wins | +0.15per pick | 60cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe697…708fbacked Over | 62c | 31.47$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.93 | 70 | 58.6%41 W · 29 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Over | 75c | 30.44$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.61 | 228 | 54.4%124 W · 104 L | +10.7wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b1…30b2backed Over | 65c | 28.49$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.97 | 53 | 54.7%29 W · 24 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35d1…1f70backed Over | 62c | 25.41$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.65 | 60 | 65%39 W · 21 L | +3.7wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x033c…b4afbacked Over | 64c | 24.25$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.73 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x695f…1b67backed Over | 66c | 23.75$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.07 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 65cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a91…7ebabacked Over | 64c | 22.93$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.26 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -4.0wins | -0.16per pick | 62cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4e67…a39bbacked Over | 63c | 20.07$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.43 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45c0…7a69backed Over | 66c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.8 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x099f…c1e1backed Over | 63c | 19.67$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.28 | 86 | 43%37 W · 49 L | -7.3wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -21%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9ac5…c7acbacked Over | 74c | 14.72$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.86 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 70cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Angers SCO vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: O/U 2.5this page
- Angers SCO vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Angers SCO vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Angers SCO vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Angers SCO vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Paris Saint-Germain FC (-1.5)Paris Saint-Germain FC won
- Spread: Paris Saint-Germain FC (-2.5)Paris Saint-Germain FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.