Ligue 1 · resolved market
Angers SCO vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: O/U 4.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa83b4521f4df887640a61731421283d1f4750795dafc4ea35898f03ac6fa749d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $24,287
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $31,244
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $24,287 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 48 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x22ac…7409backed Under | 72c | 1,866$1,346 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$519.83 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.10per pick | 73cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x95ef…ff92backed Over | 26c | 1,377$357 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$357.4 | 20 | 5%1 W · 19 L | -3.0wins | -0.15per pick | 20cpaid | -84.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 71c | 826.31$586 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$239.84 | 331 | 45%149 W · 182 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc249…8a61backed Over | 19c | 500$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95 | 45 | 44.4%20 W · 25 L | -2.6wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 26c | 488.62$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.24 | 1,916 | 45.5%872 W · 1,044 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 13c | 436.23$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.41 | 1,415 | 40.8%577 W · 838 L | +13.5wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe550…4ebbbacked Over | 24c | 397.67$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.44 | 99 | 20.2%20 W · 79 L | -10.4wins | -0.11per pick | 31cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x87c8…9cfbbacked Under | 77c | 395.67$305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.9 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 73cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3cf…493bbacked Under | 68c | 393.06$269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.85 | 19 | 78.9%15 W · 4 L | +1.7wins | +0.09per pick | 70cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9531…18ffbacked Over | 41c | 343.49$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.83 | 28 | 25%7 W · 21 L | -4.6wins | -0.16per pick | 41cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x57bf…0169backed Over | 28c | 328.05$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.85 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.22per pick | 50cpaid | -51.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 24c | 316.49$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.41 | 593 | 48.4%287 W · 306 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba8d…009dbacked Over | 21c | 299.82$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.51 | 61 | 32.8%20 W · 41 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 77c | 263.83$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.43 | 452 | 33.6%152 W · 300 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64ae…ead9backed Over | 23c | 237.96$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.33 | 96 | 41.7%40 W · 56 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x369a…09a5backed Under | 75c | 181.68$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.42 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +55.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5f22…2935backed Under | 57c | 170.91$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.49 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Over | 23c | 160.99$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.68 | 90 | 46.7%42 W · 48 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa84d…bebdbacked Over | 45c | 128.93$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.02 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.22per pick | 42cpaid | -64.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3ee7…f36ebacked Under | 79c | 124.99$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.25 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 65cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5555…823bbacked Under | 80c | 122.44$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.64 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 75cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e46…60d6backed Under | 76c | 107.81$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.87 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -3.6wins | -0.17per pick | 60cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x234b…f36dbacked Over | 22c | 103.03$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.67 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe497…2b89backed Under | 77c | 102.46$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.57 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.6wins | -0.14per pick | 51cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1c73…dd8fbacked Under | 79c | 99.99$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 75cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x811c…fd36backed Under | 69c | 99.56$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.86 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +1.9wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Over | 27c | 90.57$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.03 | 263 | 46.4%122 W · 141 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a5a…3427backed Under | 78c | 89.73$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.14 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +32.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Over | 21c | 89.2$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.46 | 164 | 48.8%80 W · 84 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4c9…a454backed Over | 44c | 75.16$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.07 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.2wins | -0.28per pick | 53cpaid | -54%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa5a8…e71abacked Under | 76c | 64.84$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.56 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf92e…d539backed Under | 79c | 64.58$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.56 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -2.2wins | -0.37per pick | 70cpaid | -56.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8e4a…f43dbacked Over | 18c | 61.21$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.26 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +3.0wins | +0.14per pick | 34cpaid | +96.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked Over | 19c | 55.54$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.68 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +3.4wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | +51.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 26c | 55.07$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.27 | 240 | 52.9%127 W · 113 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31c8…9487backed Over | 29c | 54.46$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.63 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b40…cf5fbacked Under | 74c | 50$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b44…d8debacked Over | 20c | 49.43$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.11 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +1.9wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Under | 80c | 49.4$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.88 | 260 | 46.2%120 W · 140 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x125c…f50abacked Over | 44c | 43.93$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.33 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f28…d173backed Under | 78c | 37$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.14 | 24 | 75%18 W · 6 L | +3.6wins | +0.15per pick | 60cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xade7…9d34backed Under | 67c | 30.62$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.09 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +2.0wins | +0.10per pick | 58cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x491c…b765backed Under | 78c | 19.74$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.34 | 29 | 69%20 W · 9 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 67cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ed1…d1a5backed Under | 80c | 18.96$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.79 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.19per pick | 69cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1ed5…2aa3backed Under | 67c | 17.56$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.79 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Under | 75c | 16.05$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.03 | 351 | 57%200 W · 151 L | +15.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f3…f727backed Under | 73c | 14.81$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.98 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -2.0wins | -0.11per pick | 56cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Under | 77c | 13$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.99 | 156 | 49.4%77 W · 79 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Angers SCO vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: O/U 4.5this page
- Angers SCO vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Angers SCO vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Angers SCO vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Angers SCO vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Spread: Paris Saint-Germain FC (-1.5)Paris Saint-Germain FC won
- Spread: Paris Saint-Germain FC (-2.5)Paris Saint-Germain FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.