Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Florida vs. Houston combine for 142+ points?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7ad215c49409368727b2e01dc12bb9d43027020bc9e44e322d4272ad063ffd7b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $73,001
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $73,196
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $73,001 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 18 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x97db…8513backed No | 53c | 34,522$18,297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,225.34 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe2f0…2147backed Yes | 47c | 34,522$16,225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,225.34 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd44c…ab91backed No | 55c | 2,040$1,122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$918.4 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9a0…88eebacked Yes | 45c | 2,004$902 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$901.59 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Yes | 49c | 1,000$485 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$485.04 | 391 | 44.5%174 W · 217 L | -16.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4344…caefbacked No | 51c | 304.17$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.04 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5113…f0babacked Yes | 49c | 300$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.8wins | -0.35per pick | 55cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5902…59fabacked No | 52c | 300$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +3.0wins | +0.14per pick | 38cpaid | +35.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9320…95ddbacked No | 52c | 300$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17e5…3d19backed No | 51c | 200$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed No | 52c | 177.5$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.2 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x41f9…84e6backed No | 54c | 170$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79 | 206 | 42.7%88 W · 118 L | -5.6wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3989…27b1backed Yes | 48c | 160.42$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77 | 87 | 37.9%33 W · 54 L | -12.1wins | -0.14per pick | 52cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x9d45…b661backed Yes | 46c | 150$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69 | 102 | 36.3%37 W · 65 L | +4.0wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72fe…e2cebacked No | 51c | 55$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.95 | 55 | 70.9%39 W · 16 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 68cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0af8…9454backed Yes | 47c | 52.92$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 105 | 58.1%61 W · 44 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x076c…4e7bbacked Yes | 46c | 49.71$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.06 | 41 | 31.7%13 W · 28 L | -5.4wins | -0.13per pick | 45cpaid | -43.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf386…1158backed Yes | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.