Ligue 1 · resolved market
Stade Rennais FC 1901 vs. FC Metz: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0ea54d8e90e69b79dacf925e8a5a4107e95c1a07b49f5dd317b62a7106739f9c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $80,240
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $80,240 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 51 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 5c | 11,204$579 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$578.69 | 1,415 | 40.8%577 W · 838 L | +13.5wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31c1…7047backed Over | 63c | 3,168$2,001 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000.52 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 8c | 2,632$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.18 | 593 | 48.4%287 W · 306 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd871…6bbabacked Over | 55c | 1,660$913 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$913 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 37c | 1,505$561 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$943.54 | 873 | 44.3%387 W · 486 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6d1…62eabacked Under | 37c | 1,069$398 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$670.92 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84d7…298fbacked Over | 31c | 1,032$319 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$318.66 | 53 | 28.3%15 W · 38 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 53c | 1,025$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$485.52 | 626 | 48.6%304 W · 322 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 56c | 1,010$564 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$445.65 | 1,916 | 45.5%872 W · 1,044 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Over | 62c | 845.33$522 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$522.44 | 69 | 52.2%36 W · 33 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…c208backed Over | 54c | 740.74$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | +2.0wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3520…1fa0backed Over | 32c | 725$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -2.1wins | -0.16per pick | 39cpaid | -49.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xacb4…7595backed Under | 47c | 645.54$301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$344.49 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 65cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 57c | 564.69$322 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242.95 | 376 | 38.8%146 W · 230 L | -13.6wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc1d4…8e51backed Over | 43c | 562.81$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.01 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.8wins | +0.25per pick | 46cpaid | +45%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa35f…b58fbacked Over | 36c | 554.47$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.65 | 83 | 33.7%28 W · 55 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd092…342abacked Over | 58c | 533.98$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$309.71 | 54 | 61.1%33 W · 21 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cc9…f0b3backed Over | 32c | 312.5$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 36cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Under | 36c | 300$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192 | 299 | 49.8%149 W · 150 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2961…cfcfbacked Over | 62c | 258.06$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 98 | 46.9%46 W · 52 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ae…4df8backed Over | 62c | 229.73$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.43 | 44 | 59.1%26 W · 18 L | +3.5wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +23%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 38c | 198$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.76 | 211 | 44.5%94 W · 117 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea78…a74ebacked Under | 38c | 185$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.7 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6d1…21c7backed Over | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.32per pick | 52cpaid | -59.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfdf4…40fabacked Over | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -1.6wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x34a9…d343backed Over | 60c | 166.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 25 | 24%6 W · 19 L | -4.5wins | -0.18per pick | 42cpaid | -47.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x134c…eeefbacked Over | 50c | 149.76$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.88 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +46%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58fe…dc22backed Over | 63c | 128.96$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.24 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.2wins | -0.37per pick | 53cpaid | -76.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x49ca…5944backed Under | 58c | 103.45$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.45 | 48 | 64.6%31 W · 17 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 67cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d30…077dbacked Over | 40c | 100.07$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 21 | 71.4%15 W · 6 L | +4.7wins | +0.22per pick | 49cpaid | +63.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xb897…fc48backed Over | 55c | 100$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 44 | 31.8%14 W · 30 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Under | 38c | 99$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.38 | 94 | 50%47 W · 47 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0189…cab8backed Over | 64c | 96.88$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb9…c65dbacked Over | 61c | 81.97$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a0c…0852backed Over | 62c | 80.65$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…a7c6backed Under | 47c | 78.3$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.73 | 84 | 34.5%29 W · 55 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb409…10b2backed Over | 57c | 70.18$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.20per pick | 55cpaid | +36.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e41…36f2backed Over | 59c | 68$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.12 | 93 | 55.9%52 W · 41 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x38c4…7c65backed Over | 57c | 68$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.42 | 52 | 61.5%32 W · 20 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 67cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Under | 40c | 67.09$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.25 | 76 | 48.7%37 W · 39 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6c5…20d0backed Under | 38c | 65.13$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.12 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +3.3wins | +0.23per pick | 41cpaid | +42.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5390…5707backed Over | 63c | 65.08$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Under | 36c | 64.51$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.29 | 380 | 56.6%215 W · 165 L | +11.1wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc2b0…e756backed Over | 27c | 59.99$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.2 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -1.3wins | -0.10per pick | 33cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc86…7e77backed Under | 64c | 37.43$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.55 | 77 | 66.2%51 W · 26 L | +10.7wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +27.9%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x04b4…8d0bbacked Under | 71c | 34.64$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.91 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +1.4wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1828…6946backed Over | 63c | 31.75$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5af3…1534backed Over | 63c | 31.75$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 45 | 51.1%23 W · 22 L | -4.0wins | -0.09per pick | 60cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3bcd…1a94backed Over | 63c | 31.75$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29b0…3f3cbacked Under | 37c | 30.54$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.24 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc32…00bfbacked Over | 53c | 28.3$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Stade Rennais FC 1901 vs. FC Metz: O/U 2.5this page
- Spread: Stade Rennais FC 1901 (-1.5)FC Metz won
- Spread: Stade Rennais FC 1901 (-2.5)FC Metz won
- Stade Rennais FC 1901 vs. FC Metz: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Stade Rennais FC 1901 vs. FC Metz: O/U 1.5Under won
- Stade Rennais FC 1901 vs. FC Metz: O/U 3.5Under won
- Stade Rennais FC 1901 vs. FC Metz: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.