TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Ligue 1 · resolved market

Spread: Stade Rennais FC 1901 (-1.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
FC Metzof Stade Rennais FC 1901, FC Metz
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$112,363

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $112,363 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 78 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x08c5…43edbacked FC Metz49c33,607$16,403 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17,203.932850%14 W · 14 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick53cpaid+2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Stade Rennais FC 190151c27,274$13,910 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,909.7137638.8%146 W · 230 L-13.6wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-13.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked FC Metz49c23,274$11,367 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,907.4221144.5%94 W · 117 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-9.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x76be…120ebacked Stade Rennais FC 190150c16,546$8,273 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,272.962040%8 W · 12 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick41cpaid+6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Stade Rennais FC 190151c12,000$6,120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,12012839.8%51 W · 77 L-9.8wins-0.08per pick47cpaid-18.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Stade Rennais FC 190150c8,591$4,286 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,286.221,91645.5%872 W · 1,044 L+13.7wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed Stade Rennais FC 190151c6,502$3,316 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,316.029747.4%46 W · 51 L-5.8wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-15%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8f12…70d4backed Stade Rennais FC 190152c4,169$2,168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,1681729.4%5 W · 12 L-4.2wins-0.25per pick54cpaid-45.7%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xb3d0…d2f0backed FC Metz50c4,076$2,038 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,038742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-14.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7f84…0982backed Stade Rennais FC 190151c2,951$1,505 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,505333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.18per pick52cpaid-35.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x351e…de8abacked FC Metz50c2,861$1,431 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,430.51464.3%9 W · 5 L+2.0wins+0.14per pick50cpaid+30%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x453d…86aabacked FC Metz50c2,774$1,387 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,3872100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed FC Metz49c2,500$1,225 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,27517043.5%74 W · 96 L-8.2wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-10.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc7fa…f6dfbacked Stade Rennais FC 190133c2,493$827 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$827.38540%2 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-5.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x09ad…819ebacked Stade Rennais FC 190151c1,961$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,000520%1 W · 4 L-1.6wins-0.32per pick52cpaid-71.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed FC Metz50c1,502$751 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7519458.5%55 W · 39 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Stade Rennais FC 190152c1,361$707 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$707.3387344.3%387 W · 486 L+1.6wins0.00per pick44cpaid+7.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3520…1fa0backed Stade Rennais FC 190141c1,214$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5001323.1%3 W · 10 L-2.1wins-0.16per pick39cpaid-49.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x84d7…298fbacked Stade Rennais FC 190127c1,207$322 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$322.55328.3%15 W · 38 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick29cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb8cb…8f46backed FC Metz50c1,000$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$500862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.09per pick54cpaid+14.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x78bc…2585backed Stade Rennais FC 190146c1,000$460 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$460742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-9.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa7f4…c48fbacked FC Metz48c921.97$443 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$479.432100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4844…32c9backed Stade Rennais FC 190152c865.38$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4503141.9%13 W · 18 L-1.2wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-12.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed FC Metz48c849.97$412 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$437.9829949.8%149 W · 150 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked FC Metz53c426.25$228 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$198.541,41540.8%577 W · 838 L+13.5wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-14.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked FC Metz50c412$206 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20615455.2%85 W · 69 L+6.9wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+10.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked FC Metz49c409.21$201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$208.79553.7%51 W · 44 L+0.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid+3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa163…db4cbacked Stade Rennais FC 190151c392.16$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+10.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbf2d…8452backed Stade Rennais FC 190140c376.65$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1501612.5%2 W · 14 L-3.8wins-0.24per pick36cpaid-66.8%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xcc00…79f8backed FC Metz50c280$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1401070%7 W · 3 L+1.9wins+0.19per pick51cpaid+36.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x20ad…a7c6backed Stade Rennais FC 190128c270.75$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.538434.5%29 W · 55 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-11.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x15d7…a861backed Stade Rennais FC 190138c263.16$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004632.6%15 W · 31 L-2.8wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-25.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked FC Metz49c250$123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.527049.6%134 W · 136 L+7.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+8.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed FC Metz49c250$123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.533148.6%161 W · 170 L+10.6wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2db1…45e5backed FC Metz49c244.23$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124.231973.7%14 W · 5 L+5.2wins+0.27per pick46cpaid+47.5%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0xa35f…b58fbacked Stade Rennais FC 190120c236$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.28333.7%28 W · 55 L+0.3wins0.00per pick33cpaid+2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x64ae…ead9backed Stade Rennais FC 190149c204.08$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1009641.7%40 W · 56 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-7.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Stade Rennais FC 190151c196.08$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1009450%47 W · 47 L+4.2wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+20.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3abf…b143backed Stade Rennais FC 190151c185.44$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.1817251.2%88 W · 84 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+8.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6835…1976backed FC Metz49c180$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.811250.9%57 W · 55 L+3.8wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-1.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x14ec…0923backed Stade Rennais FC 190151c147.06$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75475%3 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.21per pick54cpaid+36.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Stade Rennais FC 190138c145.68$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.5959348.4%287 W · 306 L+8.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-6.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5b20…99e9backed FC Metz50c140$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$702050%10 W · 10 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x50e9…5efebacked Stade Rennais FC 190151c125$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.757353.4%39 W · 34 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4a4b…bbcabacked Stade Rennais FC 190150c120$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6024051.7%124 W · 116 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaaad…c739backed Stade Rennais FC 190151c117.65$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$601353.8%7 W · 6 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick55cpaid+3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe74d…53c9backed Stade Rennais FC 190117c111.09$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.0710%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf38c…d9f2backed Stade Rennais FC 190146c106.5$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.476245.2%28 W · 34 L-3.0wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-7.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8142…f311backed Stade Rennais FC 190150c100$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$505352.8%28 W · 25 L+3.6wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+17.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1813…4dfebacked Stade Rennais FC 190143c99.33$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.6311753.8%63 W · 54 L+6.3wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+16.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x277e…259ebacked Stade Rennais FC 190151c98.04$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50742.9%3 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.14per pick57cpaid-25.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc16f…0f4fbacked FC Metz50c92.38$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.199752.6%51 W · 46 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Stade Rennais FC 190137c81.64$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.5617817.4%31 W · 147 L-16.2wins-0.09per pick27cpaid-34.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x3d12…cc43backed Stade Rennais FC 190137c81.08$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301855.6%10 W · 8 L+2.2wins+0.12per pick43cpaid+24.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x18ed…04cbbacked Stade Rennais FC 190148c80$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.41127.3%3 W · 8 L-1.5wins-0.13per pick41cpaid-48.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0e41…36f2backed Stade Rennais FC 190150c80$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$409355.9%52 W · 41 L0.0wins0.00per pick56cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x16ea…9400backed FC Metz48c79.4$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.2110248%49 W · 53 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6882…6f08backed Stade Rennais FC 190151c78.43$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$403151.6%16 W · 15 L-4.8wins-0.16per pick67cpaid-29.2%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xd714…8240backed Stade Rennais FC 190148c74.85$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.1wins+0.14per pick49cpaid+31%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4293…792fbacked Stade Rennais FC 190151c64.71$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+18.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbaa2…1973backed Stade Rennais FC 190152c63.46$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$337632.9%25 W · 51 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-13.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8a3d…316cbacked FC Metz51c61.18$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.985151%26 W · 25 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9b89…99e2backed FC Metz50c56.84$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.5214247.9%68 W · 74 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+5.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9787…37dfbacked Stade Rennais FC 190139c56.41$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$222138.1%8 W · 13 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-6.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1966…da9ebacked FC Metz50c50$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$253154.8%17 W · 14 L+3.2wins+0.10per pick45cpaid+22.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x4d5f…91fdbacked Stade Rennais FC 190136c50$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$181650%8 W · 8 L+1.8wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+26.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xdc86…7e77backed Stade Rennais FC 190137c49.2$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.27766.2%51 W · 26 L+10.7wins+0.14per pick52cpaid+27.9%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x04b4…8d0bbacked FC Metz53c41.79$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.611764.7%11 W · 6 L+1.4wins+0.08per pick57cpaid+21.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xbe8c…664cbacked Stade Rennais FC 190149c40.82$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202040%8 W · 12 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-16.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8d27…676ebacked FC Metz57c40.78$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.531266.7%8 W · 4 L+2.0wins+0.16per pick50cpaid+42%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8948…7e5ebacked Stade Rennais FC 190151c39.22$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202835.7%10 W · 18 L-4.3wins-0.15per pick51cpaid-25%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x8d1c…0e0cbacked FC Metz50c33.36$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.683100%3 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+77.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Stade Rennais FC 190149c30$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.718360.7%111 W · 72 L+7.7wins+0.04per pick56cpaid-1.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2f31…e2b6backed Stade Rennais FC 190150c28.06$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$143363.6%21 W · 12 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick62cpaid+11.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7f2d…fbf5backed FC Metz75c26.96$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.875050%25 W · 25 L-0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid-3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x48b9…abe2backed Stade Rennais FC 190151c25$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.75540%2 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-22.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe6fb…ee11backed FC Metz49c23.79$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.133672.2%26 W · 10 L+4.8wins+0.13per pick59cpaid+25.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xbd38…93b1backed FC Metz52c22.93$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.93250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.13per pick37cpaid-4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.