Ligue 1 · resolved market
Stade Rennais FC 1901 vs. FC Metz: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5915faaabf5f279e0566f1d30d0e8f690af45804689f0352d07b0494df19ea93
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,207
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,207 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 47 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x84d7…298fbacked Yes | 38c | 1,212$454 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$454.41 | 53 | 28.3%15 W · 38 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca38…720fbacked No | 61c | 765.85$465 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$301.3 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 55c | 763.15$417 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$345.99 | 1,415 | 40.8%577 W · 838 L | +13.5wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34a9…d343backed Yes | 44c | 455.06$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201 | 25 | 24%6 W · 19 L | -4.5wins | -0.18per pick | 42cpaid | -47.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed No | 51c | 366$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.34 | 97 | 47.4%46 W · 51 L | -5.8wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -15%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 49c | 348.41$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.59 | 873 | 44.3%387 W · 486 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 66c | 238.97$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.8 | 1,916 | 45.5%872 W · 1,044 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked No | 51c | 215.4$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.77 | 593 | 48.4%287 W · 306 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64ae…ead9backed Yes | 47c | 214.43$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 96 | 41.7%40 W · 56 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa163…db4cbacked Yes | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfada…d6a5backed No | 51c | 190$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.1 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa475…121cbacked Yes | 49c | 189.27$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.74 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdea4…d909backed No | 51c | 183$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.67 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb1b…a4d3backed Yes | 49c | 180.68$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.53 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c6d…7b04backed No | 51c | 179.99$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97cd…37b5backed No | 51c | 179$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.71 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4a3…a121backed Yes | 49c | 172.25$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8dbd…4d1ebacked Yes | 49c | 167.55$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c33…9a7cbacked No | 51c | 166$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.34 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x341c…b6adbacked No | 51c | 159.99$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked No | 72c | 155.51$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.54 | 124 | 48.4%60 W · 64 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f10…bae3backed Yes | 49c | 151.86$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.41 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8d3…7926backed Yes | 49c | 148.81$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.92 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x309c…3e95backed Yes | 49c | 148.34$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.69 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebbf…c7f6backed Yes | 49c | 148.19$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.61 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a9a…3a85backed No | 51c | 148$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.52 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5cdc…6ab1backed Yes | 49c | 147.75$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x986e…005fbacked No | 51c | 146$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.54 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb55e…4da0backed Yes | 49c | 142.44$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb425…e813backed No | 51c | 142$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.58 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc28…0563backed Yes | 49c | 140.32$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.76 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x074f…158ebacked Yes | 49c | 131.13$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7978…9b46backed No | 51c | 130$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.7 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51e1…14e5backed No | 51c | 123$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.27 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa849…bfefbacked No | 51c | 123$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.27 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf2d…185ebacked No | 51c | 121.98$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.77 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc2…1fb3backed Yes | 49c | 121.79$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.68 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x63c5…1ecbbacked No | 51c | 121.1$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.07 | 65 | 49.2%32 W · 33 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf1d…44fdbacked Yes | 49c | 120.66$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0b2…a832backed No | 51c | 119.09$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.35 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf3d…fd74backed Yes | 35c | 105.25$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.84 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -3.0wins | -0.17per pick | 56cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…a7c6backed Yes | 29c | 75.19$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.94 | 84 | 34.5%29 W · 55 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 53c | 68.12$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.71 | 452 | 33.6%152 W · 300 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x92da…82fabacked Yes | 35c | 50$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd714…8240backed No | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.46 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +31%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a95…5e45backed Yes | 50c | 31.54$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.77 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b62…1924backed Yes | 48c | 29.99$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Stade Rennais FC 1901 vs. FC Metz: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Spread: Stade Rennais FC 1901 (-1.5)FC Metz won
- Spread: Stade Rennais FC 1901 (-2.5)FC Metz won
- Stade Rennais FC 1901 vs. FC Metz: O/U 1.5Under won
- Stade Rennais FC 1901 vs. FC Metz: O/U 2.5Under won
- Stade Rennais FC 1901 vs. FC Metz: O/U 3.5Under won
- Stade Rennais FC 1901 vs. FC Metz: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.