Europa Conference League · resolved market
FC Déifferdeng 03 vs. Ilves Tampere: O/U 0.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x373aa3a81b0327d4dbb17a72cfc4e51670c785a7b28b61b6af60f11803c00090
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $22,909
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $23,884
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $22,909 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 31 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 56c | 3,190$1,792 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,791.95 | 2,999 | 42.4%1,273 W · 1,726 L | +7.7wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 45c | 2,993$1,335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,657.6 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 15c | 2,529$373 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,156.66 | 2,175 | 37.6%817 W · 1,358 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 56c | 1,589$893 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$892.5 | 1,611 | 38.8%625 W · 986 L | -19.0wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe08c…e03cbacked Over | 37c | 1,127$415 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$414.83 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2461…f240backed Over | 25c | 1,100$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +2.7wins | +0.18per pick | 35cpaid | +30.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Under | 41c | 945.46$385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$559.99 | 1,037 | 46.1%478 W · 559 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 47c | 877.89$410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$468.06 | 2,344 | 41.6%976 W · 1,368 L | +25.6wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3520…1fa0backed Over | 57c | 877.19$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.18per pick | 35cpaid | -51%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Under | 26c | 668.03$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$493.27 | 2,478 | 33.9%840 W · 1,638 L | -95.6wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Under | 43c | 363.74$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.97 | 978 | 46.2%452 W · 526 L | -3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6cd…286bbacked Under | 60c | 300$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 67cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e48…b8dcbacked Under | 50c | 286.68$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.34 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a9e…a24bbacked Over | 39c | 264.97$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.77 | 156 | 28.2%44 W · 112 L | -15.7wins | -0.10per pick | 38cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf740…bbdabacked Over | 29c | 180.55$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b99…8f62backed Over | 39c | 177.81$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | -3.7wins | -0.12per pick | 49cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed Under | 15c | 177.6$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.96 | 155 | 44.5%69 W · 86 L | +6.1wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Under | 48c | 170.97$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.54 | 852 | 60.9%519 W · 333 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa178…11a2backed Over | 45c | 166.67$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 176 | 47.7%84 W · 92 L | -6.2wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc464…5139backed Over | 28c | 132.32$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 44 | 38.6%17 W · 27 L | -5.4wins | -0.12per pick | 51cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xad31…1c1dbacked Over | 51c | 129.41$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2126…aeebbacked Over | 74c | 100$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74 | 50 | 48%24 W · 26 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x66bf…07e8backed Over | 34c | 85.29$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 102 | 38.2%39 W · 63 L | -5.7wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Over | 14c | 80.98$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.62 | 571 | 49.6%283 W · 288 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b0c…d43abacked Over | 47c | 50$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 56cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked Over | 28c | 42.47$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.77 | 31 | 0%0 W · 31 L | -11.5wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 27-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0xfdae…6ad2backed Over | 75c | 40$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 208 | 60.1%125 W · 83 L | -15.5wins | -0.07per pick | 68cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4061…dde5backed Over | 44c | 33.94$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 63 | 28.6%18 W · 45 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x961c…9d72backed Under | 73c | 27.2$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.21 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1fa8…0b19backed Over | 58c | 25.51$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.79 | 33 | 63.6%21 W · 12 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c3f…e6a2backed Over | 55c | 22.19$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.24 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- FC Déifferdeng 03 vs. Ilves Tampere: O/U 0.5this page
- FC Déifferdeng 03 vs. Ilves Tampere: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- FC Déifferdeng 03 vs. Ilves Tampere: FC Déifferdeng 03 O/U 1.5Under won
- FC Déifferdeng 03 vs. Ilves Tampere: O/U 1.5Under won
- FC Déifferdeng 03 vs. Ilves Tampere: O/U 2.5Under won
- FC Déifferdeng 03 vs. Ilves Tampere: O/U 3.5Under won
- Spread: FC Déifferdeng 03 (-1.5)Ilves Tampere won
- Spread: FC Déifferdeng 03 (-2.5)Ilves Tampere won
- Spread: Ilves Tampere (-1.5)FC Déifferdeng 03 won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.