Europa Conference League · resolved market
FC Déifferdeng 03 vs. Ilves Tampere: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf863fcccf1e93da8b621d51d55a108a6db9ce1811fbfe5ca0e3140d3a490cdf4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $15,442
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,712
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,442 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 57 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Under | 34c | 2,401$823 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,578.19 | 1,033 | 46.1%476 W · 557 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 65c | 2,272$1,466 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$805.42 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 49c | 1,382$675 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$707.38 | 2,167 | 37.6%815 W · 1,352 L | +5.7wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3520…1fa0backed Over | 53c | 1,317$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.18per pick | 35cpaid | -51%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Over | 45c | 1,148$514 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$514.5 | 2,473 | 33.9%839 W · 1,634 L | -95.0wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -25%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 50c | 911.92$453 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$452.87 | 2,990 | 42.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L | +9.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa2e8…0153backed Over | 74c | 685.08$507 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$506.96 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 69cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 44c | 458.39$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.65 | 638 | 57.2%365 W · 273 L | +35.3wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 32c | 447.32$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.15 | 1,604 | 38.9%624 W · 980 L | -17.7wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Under | 19c | 374.12$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$303 | 969 | 47.5%460 W · 509 L | +13.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa1…dba8backed Over | 35c | 337.86$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.22 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | -2.6wins | -0.07per pick | 56cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1a9e…a24bbacked Over | 38c | 284.6$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.89 | 156 | 28.2%44 W · 112 L | -15.7wins | -0.10per pick | 38cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Over | 40c | 270.77$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.31 | 568 | 49.6%282 W · 286 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0da…7f11backed Over | 63c | 256.59$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.65 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.31per pick | 64cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 52c | 230$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.16 | 2,333 | 41.7%972 W · 1,361 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e2…d5b2backed Over | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb0b…3790backed Under | 13c | 197.26$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.61 | 90 | 21.1%19 W · 71 L | +8.7wins | +0.10per pick | 11cpaid | +71.2%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x490f…a02dbacked Over | 32c | 164.44$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.62 | 36 | 25%9 W · 27 L | -4.1wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -46.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc464…5139backed Over | 41c | 151.22$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 44 | 38.6%17 W · 27 L | -5.4wins | -0.12per pick | 51cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed Under | 45c | 128.43$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.78 | 53 | 50.9%27 W · 26 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x349e…867bbacked Under | 45c | 115.49$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.05 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -3.9wins | -0.20per pick | 47cpaid | -59.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 20c | 108$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.4 | 1,573 | 55.7%876 W · 697 L | +25.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5981…3934backed Over | 40c | 107$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.8 | 83 | 33.7%28 W · 55 L | -6.8wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x90b3…8b6dbacked Over | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Under | 20c | 100$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.4 | 476 | 49.4%235 W · 241 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2126…aeebbacked Over | 40c | 100$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 50 | 48%24 W · 26 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf66e…14b7backed Under | 45c | 92$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.65 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1155…2315backed Over | 50c | 85$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.5 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | -3.9wins | -0.12per pick | 69cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4061…dde5backed Over | 26c | 83.46$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.45 | 63 | 28.6%18 W · 45 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66bf…07e8backed Over | 40c | 72.5$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 102 | 38.2%39 W · 63 L | -5.7wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x42a1…a8e9backed Over | 34c | 70$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.1 | 60 | 35%21 W · 39 L | -6.5wins | -0.11per pick | 46cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1fa3…95c6backed Under | 17c | 70$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.1 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.37per pick | 13cpaid | +194.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef18…4d70backed Over | 59c | 67.4$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.77 | 178 | 55.6%99 W · 79 L | +14.6wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Under | 41c | 65$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.33 | 783 | 44.8%351 W · 432 L | +13.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…c3bdbacked Over | 43c | 64.34$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.92 | 59 | 33.9%20 W · 39 L | -8.6wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Over | 34c | 60$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.66 | 334 | 46.7%156 W · 178 L | -14.5wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6c3f…e6a2backed Under | 61c | 55$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.22 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a81…a86bbacked Over | 59c | 50.93$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 147 | 67.3%99 W · 48 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 68cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc593…ea8cbacked Under | 45c | 50$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.75 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -26%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd68e…8048backed Over | 80c | 50$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 59 | 71.2%42 W · 17 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 73cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Over | 21c | 50$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 278 | 46.4%129 W · 149 L | -12.6wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -19%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xac1a…8689backed Under | 45c | 45$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.75 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -2.5wins | -0.11per pick | 43cpaid | -46.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6701…d7d2backed Under | 45c | 43.13$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.84 | 57 | 47.4%27 W · 30 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Under | 67c | 39.62$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.23 | 852 | 60.9%519 W · 333 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0eca…c56abacked Under | 43c | 37$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.17 | 46 | 54.3%25 W · 21 L | +3.0wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2bf3…4f00backed Under | 50c | 36.76$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.38 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.15per pick | 45cpaid | -50.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa529…677ebacked Over | 57c | 30.86$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.6 | 33 | 81.8%27 W · 6 L | +3.8wins | +0.11per pick | 70cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7dde…30b1backed Under | 74c | 30.3$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.01 | 43 | 62.8%27 W · 16 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ed3…274cbacked Over | 41c | 28.76$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.79 | 48 | 66.7%32 W · 16 L | +5.8wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +22%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9565…ec9abacked Under | 77c | 28.3$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.46 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked Over | 38c | 27.51$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.37 | 31 | 0%0 W · 31 L | -11.5wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 27-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x1fa8…0b19backed Under | 69c | 26.28$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.09 | 33 | 63.6%21 W · 12 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb556…b5e5backed Over | 40c | 25.4$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.16 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd60c…c118backed Over | 79c | 25.32$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 42 | 57.1%24 W · 18 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 63cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfdae…6ad2backed Over | 40c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 206 | 60.2%124 W · 82 L | -15.2wins | -0.07per pick | 68cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x09da…50bcbacked Under | 46c | 22.85$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.42 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.17per pick | 51cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a1…30d1backed Over | 59c | 18.13$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.76 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +2.7wins | +0.14per pick | 54cpaid | +35.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- FC Déifferdeng 03 vs. Ilves Tampere: O/U 1.5this page
- FC Déifferdeng 03 vs. Ilves Tampere: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- FC Déifferdeng 03 vs. Ilves Tampere: FC Déifferdeng 03 O/U 1.5Under won
- FC Déifferdeng 03 vs. Ilves Tampere: O/U 0.5Under won
- FC Déifferdeng 03 vs. Ilves Tampere: O/U 2.5Under won
- FC Déifferdeng 03 vs. Ilves Tampere: O/U 3.5Under won
- Spread: FC Déifferdeng 03 (-1.5)Ilves Tampere won
- Spread: FC Déifferdeng 03 (-2.5)Ilves Tampere won
- Spread: Ilves Tampere (-1.5)FC Déifferdeng 03 won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.