Europa Conference League · resolved market
FC Déifferdeng 03 vs. Ilves Tampere: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xaa26538f2f246e87d272ebe697374d318c8865694682ef8c5f98013389d50a91
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,000
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,294
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,000 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 27 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 33c | 859.13$282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282.01 | 2,990 | 42.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L | +9.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 64c | 570.11$365 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.58 | 2,167 | 37.6%815 W · 1,352 L | +5.7wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked No | 60c | 502.93$301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.03 | 1,033 | 46.1%476 W · 557 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 59c | 334.97$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.45 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed No | 57c | 256.99$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.51 | 374 | 46.8%175 W · 199 L | +27.1wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x14e3…810cbacked Yes | 44c | 227.27$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -3.1wins | -0.31per pick | 41cpaid | -71.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9b78…473dbacked Yes | 43c | 213.97$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.01 | 130 | 67.7%88 W · 42 L | +12.8wins | +0.10per pick | 58cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x38bd…b8f3backed Yes | 62c | 162.55$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.01 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe524…d34fbacked No | 37c | 158.73$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57bb…9302backed Yes | 63c | 158.73$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.8wins | -0.31per pick | 53cpaid | -43.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 38c | 155.88$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.94 | 1,573 | 55.7%876 W · 697 L | +25.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Yes | 43c | 141.88$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.45 | 334 | 46.7%156 W · 178 L | -14.5wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…c3bdbacked Yes | 47c | 121.73$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.9 | 59 | 33.9%20 W · 39 L | -8.6wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed No | 61c | 94.43$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.83 | 142 | 41.5%59 W · 83 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb69f…3c2bbacked Yes | 63c | 79.37$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 57 | 38.6%22 W · 35 L | -9.4wins | -0.16per pick | 55cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x66bf…07e8backed Yes | 26c | 69.23$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 102 | 38.2%39 W · 63 L | -5.7wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcdbd…d0dfbacked No | 66c | 42.07$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.46 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.4wins | +0.11per pick | 47cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 39c | 41.2$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.3 | 969 | 47.5%460 W · 509 L | +13.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8310…ac48backed Yes | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd60c…c118backed Yes | 61c | 32.79$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 42 | 57.1%24 W · 18 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 63cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 62c | 31.32$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.41 | 1,114 | 35.8%399 W · 715 L | -13.0wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb226…4163backed No | 42c | 27.19$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.77 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x42a1…a8e9backed Yes | 40c | 25.56$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.16 | 60 | 35%21 W · 39 L | -6.5wins | -0.11per pick | 46cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked No | 59c | 24.33$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.09 | 638 | 57.2%365 W · 273 L | +35.3wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f2…131dbacked Yes | 60c | 21.67$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b53…4722backed Yes | 65c | 18.37$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.94 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb1a1…ea66backed Yes | 61c | 17.7$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.27per pick | 52cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- FC Déifferdeng 03 vs. Ilves Tampere: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- FC Déifferdeng 03 vs. Ilves Tampere: FC Déifferdeng 03 O/U 1.5Under won
- FC Déifferdeng 03 vs. Ilves Tampere: O/U 0.5Under won
- FC Déifferdeng 03 vs. Ilves Tampere: O/U 1.5Under won
- FC Déifferdeng 03 vs. Ilves Tampere: O/U 2.5Under won
- FC Déifferdeng 03 vs. Ilves Tampere: O/U 3.5Under won
- Spread: FC Déifferdeng 03 (-1.5)Ilves Tampere won
- Spread: FC Déifferdeng 03 (-2.5)Ilves Tampere won
- Spread: Ilves Tampere (-1.5)FC Déifferdeng 03 won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.