Asian League · resolved market
Will Dalian Yingbo FC vs. Shanghai Haigang FC end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa267cf508698c40e1dd2948b4a3fd923d1932aae1a97081623ff69699c53b3f4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,008
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,008 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 50 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 73c | 4,006$2,933 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,073.66 | 1,098 | 43.8%481 W · 617 L | -14.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 79c | 1,464$1,159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$304.51 | 626 | 52.6%329 W · 297 L | -9.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf16d…b7f9backed Yes | 25c | 1,191$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$301.81 | 52 | 40.4%21 W · 31 L | +3.9wins | +0.08per pick | 33cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3520…1fa0backed Yes | 27c | 1,111$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0438…9d98backed Yes | 30c | 1,000$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 59 | 49.2%29 W · 30 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x766b…e4ffbacked Yes | 24c | 994.43$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -49.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked No | 76c | 935.96$710 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.64 | 623 | 49.1%306 W · 317 L | -6.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…a7c6backed Yes | 26c | 803.74$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.74 | 194 | 36.6%71 W · 123 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 25c | 738.97$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.12 | 5,963 | 46%2,744 W · 3,219 L | +46.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed No | 78c | 641.54$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.54 | 33 | 63.6%21 W · 12 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 75c | 552.33$412 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.24 | 2,528 | 42.2%1,067 W · 1,461 L | +53.0wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes | 32c | 490.52$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.87 | 843 | 47.7%402 W · 441 L | +15.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44b6…98b4backed Yes | 35c | 465.67$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.75 | 40 | 35%14 W · 26 L | -3.4wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa0dc…586cbacked Yes | 27c | 370.37$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 140 | 37.1%52 W · 88 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86a6…1b3ebacked Yes | 27c | 293.96$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 48 | 54.2%26 W · 22 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb813…f0efbacked No | 66c | 230$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.2 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 64cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6daa…2c78backed Yes | 27c | 150$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.5 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.15per pick | 35cpaid | -47.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 25c | 136.29$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.71 | 2,456 | 37.9%931 W · 1,525 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 78c | 134$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.48 | 1,126 | 46.3%521 W · 605 L | -6.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1df5…1e18backed No | 79c | 120.11$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.2 | 73 | 50.7%37 W · 36 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +15%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 75c | 115.6$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.9 | 1,651 | 50.9%840 W · 811 L | +5.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0eca…c56abacked Yes | 20c | 112.27$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.99 | 95 | 49.5%47 W · 48 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd983…d92dbacked Yes | 29c | 103.45$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ac1…3afebacked Yes | 26c | 101.45$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +2.0wins | +0.13per pick | 56cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Yes | 24c | 100$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 267 | 49.4%132 W · 135 L | +7.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe032…410ebacked Yes | 33c | 100$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +2.5wins | +0.11per pick | 45cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x44b8…a2d7backed Yes | 22c | 90.91$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 118 | 41.5%49 W · 69 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1813…4dfebacked No | 68c | 88.1$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.19 | 125 | 51.2%64 W · 61 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Yes | 37c | 80.99$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.97 | 770 | 56.2%433 W · 337 L | +40.8wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd790…a24ebacked Yes | 27c | 74.07$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f1…23eebacked Yes | 23c | 70$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.8 | 73 | 38.4%28 W · 45 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6b8…4bdfbacked Yes | 17c | 67.65$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.32 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +2.9wins | +0.32per pick | 23cpaid | +131.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Yes | 20c | 65.38$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 464 | 22.6%105 W · 359 L | -22.6wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -23%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x866a…de80backed Yes | 23c | 65.22$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 59 | 20.3%12 W · 47 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Yes | 20c | 61.18$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.28 | 490 | 44.3%217 W · 273 L | -9.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6479…5e64backed Yes | 28c | 60.71$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 97 | 51.5%50 W · 47 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 77c | 60.6$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.64 | 899 | 55.1%495 W · 404 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 21c | 60.02$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.36 | 1,254 | 51.4%644 W · 610 L | +9.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaea0…0decbacked No | 76c | 60$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.34 | 109 | 44%48 W · 61 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c83…6f40backed Yes | 17c | 59.6$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 112 | 41.1%46 W · 66 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbe2…5981backed Yes | 22c | 58.22$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.04 | 44 | 43.2%19 W · 25 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x55ab…4f88backed No | 74c | 51.22$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.47 | 152 | 40.1%61 W · 91 L | -9.1wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ba…c5d8backed No | 76c | 40$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 139 | 51.1%71 W · 68 L | -4.2wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x723a…c574backed Yes | 31c | 33$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.23 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 75c | 28.67$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.09 | 531 | 48.8%259 W · 272 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e2a…a58dbacked No | 75c | 25.03$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.35 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked No | 79c | 24$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.12 | 729 | 44.2%322 W · 407 L | -29.8wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8dec…60c2backed No | 74c | 16.78$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.36 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x106e…28e5backed No | 74c | 13.95$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.6 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +41.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x70fb…d507backed No | 76c | 13.56$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.29 | 9 | 88.9%8 W · 1 L | +2.7wins | +0.30per pick | 59cpaid | +61.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Dalian Yingbo FC vs. Shanghai Haigang FC end in a draw?this page
- Will Dalian Yingbo FC win on 2026-03-20?Yes won
- Will Shanghai Haigang FC win on 2026-03-20?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.