Other European Leagues · resolved market
SC Cambuur-Leeuwarden vs. SBV Excelsior: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9d139d39961b4d2b1f2d77032d9ddb8513460e89a67e4fddb439a85d25715534
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $25,331
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $28,504
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $25,331 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 69 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Over | 55c | 6,053$3,358 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,694.92 | 62 | 41.9%26 W · 36 L | +4.5wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 50c | 4,115$2,046 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,045.87 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa7dc…21b9backed Over | 49c | 3,800$1,862 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,937.93 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Under | 45c | 2,742$1,234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,233.85 | 460 | 44.3%204 W · 256 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Over | 56c | 2,037$1,141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$896.28 | 211 | 51.7%109 W · 102 L | +7.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2970…e1c9backed Over | 56c | 1,790$1,002 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$787.6 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 44c | 1,704$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$749.76 | 1,711 | 48.3%827 W · 884 L | -18.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7236…ea53backed Under | 43c | 1,529$658 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$657.53 | 119 | 52.9%63 W · 56 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Over | 53c | 1,512$798 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$713.41 | 2,001 | 36.5%730 W · 1,271 L | -25.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 44c | 1,265$555 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$554.53 | 2,068 | 48.1%995 W · 1,073 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Under | 44c | 1,150$506 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$506 | 398 | 52.5%209 W · 189 L | +10.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ed…6fb8backed Over | 57c | 1,149$654 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$495.13 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -2.6wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x07e8…faaebacked Over | 57c | 1,098$622 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$476.03 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x65b5…aa71backed Over | 56c | 952.95$534 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$419.3 | 174 | 60.3%105 W · 69 L | -7.2wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd239…2083backed Under | 46c | 869.57$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.15per pick | 45cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Under | 44c | 852$375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$374.88 | 660 | 47.6%314 W · 346 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ba1…88c1backed Over | 56c | 625$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79fd…78cebacked Under | 39c | 503.31$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.29 | 64 | 45.3%29 W · 35 L | -6.5wins | -0.10per pick | 55cpaid | -11%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Under | 44c | 502.84$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.25 | 877 | 45.2%396 W · 481 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe75e…4b67backed Under | 44c | 400$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176 | 85 | 54.1%46 W · 39 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa54d…deb8backed Under | 54c | 388.89$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed Under | 47c | 363.35$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.4 | 275 | 54.9%151 W · 124 L | +8.5wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 44c | 358.85$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.89 | 911 | 48%437 W · 474 L | +12.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 56c | 334.11$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.01 | 1,434 | 37.7%540 W · 894 L | -3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Under | 44c | 297.34$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.83 | 1,467 | 48%704 W · 763 L | +3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Over | 56c | 272.21$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.77 | 734 | 40.1%294 W · 440 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 44c | 251.97$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.87 | 2,543 | 52.4%1,333 W · 1,210 L | +18.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d67…3667backed Under | 52c | 237.43$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.6 | 305 | 50.8%155 W · 150 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ef2…7f72backed Over | 56c | 204.48$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.97 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe84f…b777backed Under | 52c | 158.23$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.71 | 339 | 59%200 W · 139 L | +18.4wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked Under | 51c | 122$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.22 | 297 | 54.5%162 W · 135 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x460c…b5b5backed Under | 51c | 119.32$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.34 | 75 | 64%48 W · 27 L | +6.3wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdd59…2e2fbacked Under | 44c | 94$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.22 | 76 | 59.2%45 W · 31 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x056b…5a03backed Under | 44c | 81.56$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.89 | 91 | 26.4%24 W · 67 L | -10.2wins | -0.11per pick | 38cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x882c…5d07backed Under | 27c | 76.28$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.81 | 256 | 41.4%106 W · 150 L | -13.1wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over | 50c | 70$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 513 | 56.3%289 W · 224 L | +23.9wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd4f1…4d6ebacked Under | 44c | 57.5$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.3 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x083c…65f2backed Under | 45c | 56$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.2 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6dd…7af9backed Under | 50c | 53.75$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.85 | 115 | 37.4%43 W · 72 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x20bf…2be9backed Over | 47c | 53.3$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.3 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Under | 44c | 52.94$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.3 | 370 | 49.5%183 W · 187 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfeef…4b1fbacked Under | 51c | 48.78$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.88 | 99 | 68.7%68 W · 31 L | +6.6wins | +0.07per pick | 62cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7285…3273backed Over | 55c | 45.98$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.69 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed Under | 44c | 45$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 49 | 61.2%30 W · 19 L | +3.4wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd8d9…1059backed Over | 47c | 43.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.11 | 87 | 58.6%51 W · 36 L | +4.0wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 80c | 40.71$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.33 | 2,640 | 35.7%942 W · 1,698 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ef1…4a76backed Over | 56c | 40$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.6 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e50…c665backed Under | 47c | 38.52$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.2 | 46 | 52.2%24 W · 22 L | +3.9wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4993…553fbacked Under | 54c | 38.37$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.72 | 54 | 70.4%38 W · 16 L | +4.8wins | +0.09per pick | 61cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Under | 50c | 37.43$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.58 | 351 | 63.5%223 W · 128 L | +13.8wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd8fa…581fbacked Under | 51c | 37.19$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.99 | 98 | 66.3%65 W · 33 L | +12.0wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe660…514fbacked Over | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.71 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe392…d868backed Under | 51c | 33.32$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.09 | 67 | 67.2%45 W · 22 L | +6.3wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc75b…3ea7backed Under | 45c | 30.36$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.66 | 218 | 54.1%118 W · 100 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba00…527bbacked Under | 45c | 30.13$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.56 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf83b…167dbacked Over | 55c | 29.99$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.49 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfdae…6ad2backed Over | 70c | 28.66$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.66 | 220 | 62.3%137 W · 83 L | -5.3wins | -0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a60…7b81backed Under | 45c | 28.02$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.61 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7dde…30b1backed Under | 45c | 28.02$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.61 | 27 | 66.7%18 W · 9 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f2…131dbacked Under | 45c | 26.67$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 41 | 61%25 W · 16 L | +2.5wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9eeb…a72cbacked Under | 45c | 25.93$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.67 | 34 | 64.7%22 W · 12 L | +4.5wins | +0.13per pick | 52cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc846…c413backed Over | 57c | 25$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.75 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 30cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a7e…dd3cbacked Over | 56c | 25$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +45.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x013f…ca85backed Under | 48c | 22.87$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.07 | 31 | 61.3%19 W · 12 L | +2.2wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x490f…a02dbacked Over | 56c | 21.43$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.43 | 38 | 36.8%14 W · 24 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3fb4…d481backed Over | 56c | 20.09$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.84 | 62 | 41.9%26 W · 36 L | -7.9wins | -0.13per pick | 55cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c6…7b39backed Under | 52c | 19.92$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.36 | 91 | 35.2%32 W · 59 L | -6.9wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0d5f…1171backed Under | 53c | 19.66$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.42 | 145 | 61.4%89 W · 56 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Over | 78c | 13.77$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.03 | 219 | 53.4%117 W · 102 L | +11.8wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- SC Cambuur-Leeuwarden vs. SBV Excelsior: O/U 2.5this page
- SC Cambuur-Leeuwarden vs. SBV Excelsior: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- SC Cambuur-Leeuwarden vs. SBV Excelsior: 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
- SC Cambuur-Leeuwarden vs. SBV Excelsior: 1st Half O/U 2.5Over won
- SC Cambuur-Leeuwarden vs. SBV Excelsior: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- SC Cambuur-Leeuwarden vs. SBV Excelsior: Both Teams to Score in First HalfNo won
- SC Cambuur-Leeuwarden vs. SBV Excelsior: O/U 0.5Over won
- SC Cambuur-Leeuwarden vs. SBV Excelsior: O/U 1.5Over won
- SC Cambuur-Leeuwarden vs. SBV Excelsior: O/U 3.5Over won
- SC Cambuur-Leeuwarden vs. SBV Excelsior: O/U 4.5Under won
- SC Cambuur-Leeuwarden vs. SBV Excelsior: O/U 5.5Under won
- SC Cambuur-Leeuwarden vs. SBV Excelsior: SBV Excelsior O/U 0.5Over won
- SC Cambuur-Leeuwarden vs. SBV Excelsior: SBV Excelsior O/U 1.5Over won
- Spread: SBV Excelsior (-2.5)SBV Excelsior won
- Spread: SC Cambuur-Leeuwarden (-1.5)SBV Excelsior won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.