Other European Leagues · resolved market
SC Cambuur-Leeuwarden vs. SBV Excelsior: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5c358b4bf01e43af51de78e88d2cc712a06b404186f3261069fdc4259f5bb318
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $51,030
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $59,475
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $51,030 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 53 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Over | 34c | 10,118$3,435 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,683.01 | 62 | 41.9%26 W · 36 L | +4.5wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Under | 43c | 6,426$2,742 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,742.32 | 2,001 | 36.5%730 W · 1,271 L | -25.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34a1…7622backed Under | 18c | 5,905$1,063 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,062.94 | 125 | 46.4%58 W · 67 L | +9.3wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 29c | 4,721$1,350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,349.77 | 2,012 | 35.5%714 W · 1,298 L | -27.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Under | 58c | 3,900$2,272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,271.59 | 877 | 45.2%396 W · 481 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb0b…3790backed Under | 1c | 3,613$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.13 | 77 | 31.2%24 W · 53 L | +10.1wins | +0.13per pick | 18cpaid | +229.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd871…6bbabacked Over | 32c | 2,500$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,699.95 | 63 | 42.9%27 W · 36 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 66c | 2,435$1,607 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,607.17 | 2,068 | 48.1%995 W · 1,073 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7236…ea53backed Over | 36c | 1,441$519 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$922.21 | 119 | 52.9%63 W · 56 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 76c | 1,330$1,015 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315.07 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Over | 77c | 1,160$897 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262.99 | 911 | 48%437 W · 474 L | +12.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 57c | 928.87$531 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$531.09 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1346…0448backed Under | 25c | 587.09$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.31 | 110 | 46.4%51 W · 59 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Under | 66c | 568$375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$374.88 | 660 | 47.6%314 W · 346 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeaac…d71dbacked Under | 66c | 404.04$267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266.67 | 183 | 44.3%81 W · 102 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Over | 37c | 400$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252 | 370 | 49.5%183 W · 187 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ba…a7c4backed Over | 34c | 341.97$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.7 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5213…6a35backed Under | 66c | 328.28$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.66 | 183 | 43.7%80 W · 103 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Under | 66c | 324.39$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.1 | 1,159 | 60.7%703 W · 456 L | +68.5wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…3335backed Over | 70c | 257.14$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.14 | 205 | 72.2%148 W · 57 L | +11.3wins | +0.05per pick | 67cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x633e…d305backed Over | 34c | 176.56$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.53 | 96 | 47.9%46 W · 50 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Under | 66c | 150$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 398 | 52.5%209 W · 189 L | +10.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b24…11efbacked Over | 77c | 140$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.2 | 16 | 75%12 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 70cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x882c…5d07backed Under | 40c | 140$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.25 | 256 | 41.4%106 W · 150 L | -13.1wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 66c | 137.99$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.07 | 2,543 | 52.4%1,333 W · 1,210 L | +18.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebc9…1ca3backed Over | 77c | 121.71$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.99 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 76cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadd8…53c9backed Under | 31c | 120.06$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.22 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f84…67efbacked Over | 77c | 100$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 240 | 30.4%73 W · 167 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb904…3ef8backed Over | 49c | 100$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.23 | 32 | 59.4%19 W · 13 L | +3.6wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Over | 74c | 81.77$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.45 | 212 | 47.2%100 W · 112 L | -5.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90a1…fb15backed Over | 34c | 58.82$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.82 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +2.4wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +28.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9075…cfe8backed Over | 77c | 57.86$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.31 | 398 | 50%199 W · 199 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked Under | 68c | 56$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.08 | 297 | 54.5%162 W · 135 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Over | 77c | 50$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.5 | 715 | 33.8%242 W · 473 L | -12.1wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Under | 66c | 49.02$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.35 | 280 | 49.6%139 W · 141 L | -8.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x87d3…a568backed Over | 34c | 44.12$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.12 | 14 | 78.6%11 W · 3 L | +3.1wins | +0.22per pick | 56cpaid | +43.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 34c | 43.28$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.56 | 1,434 | 37.7%540 W · 894 L | -3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d67…3667backed Under | 64c | 39.81$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.67 | 305 | 50.8%155 W · 150 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x147c…2540backed Under | 66c | 36$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.76 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcadf…b2e3backed Over | 66c | 30.3$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.3 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.10per pick | 56cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8bc1…eebebacked Under | 44c | 30$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.06 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f9e…3d5dbacked Over | 67c | 29.85$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.85 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -1.8wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed Under | 64c | 27.78$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.89 | 275 | 54.9%151 W · 124 L | +8.5wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe84f…b777backed Under | 64c | 26.53$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.11 | 339 | 59%200 W · 139 L | +18.4wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Over | 63c | 25$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.25 | 115 | 45.2%52 W · 63 L | -4.4wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Over | 59c | 25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.18 | 408 | 50.7%207 W · 201 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6dd…7af9backed Under | 61c | 24.51$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 115 | 37.4%43 W · 72 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x460c…b5b5backed Under | 59c | 23.17$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.68 | 75 | 64%48 W · 27 L | +6.3wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x25bd…30a1backed Under | 63c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -5.8wins | -0.28per pick | 61cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xa25a…04b7backed Under | 67c | 19.85$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.3 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.17per pick | 63cpaid | +33.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Over | 53c | 19.18$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.97 | 638 | 49.5%316 W · 322 L | +26.8wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8e52…2320backed Over | 69c | 16.03$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.03 | 69 | 71%49 W · 20 L | +10.6wins | +0.15per pick | 56cpaid | +40.2%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xe392…d868backed Under | 68c | 15.29$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.47 | 67 | 67.2%45 W · 22 L | +6.3wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- SC Cambuur-Leeuwarden vs. SBV Excelsior: O/U 3.5this page
- SC Cambuur-Leeuwarden vs. SBV Excelsior: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- SC Cambuur-Leeuwarden vs. SBV Excelsior: 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
- SC Cambuur-Leeuwarden vs. SBV Excelsior: 1st Half O/U 2.5Over won
- SC Cambuur-Leeuwarden vs. SBV Excelsior: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- SC Cambuur-Leeuwarden vs. SBV Excelsior: Both Teams to Score in First HalfNo won
- SC Cambuur-Leeuwarden vs. SBV Excelsior: O/U 0.5Over won
- SC Cambuur-Leeuwarden vs. SBV Excelsior: O/U 1.5Over won
- SC Cambuur-Leeuwarden vs. SBV Excelsior: O/U 2.5Over won
- SC Cambuur-Leeuwarden vs. SBV Excelsior: O/U 4.5Under won
- SC Cambuur-Leeuwarden vs. SBV Excelsior: O/U 5.5Under won
- SC Cambuur-Leeuwarden vs. SBV Excelsior: SBV Excelsior O/U 0.5Over won
- SC Cambuur-Leeuwarden vs. SBV Excelsior: SBV Excelsior O/U 1.5Over won
- Spread: SBV Excelsior (-2.5)SBV Excelsior won
- Spread: SC Cambuur-Leeuwarden (-1.5)SBV Excelsior won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.