Other European Leagues · resolved market
SC Cambuur-Leeuwarden vs. SBV Excelsior: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf38077fb74830dd9ad54f55552a48fc0ba66bf96588f1aa47545709c9f1c01ca
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,728
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,814
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,728 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 29 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x00da…d262backed No | 39c | 1,308$511 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$797.23 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +28%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x65b5…aa71backed Yes | 61c | 800.94$489 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$489.02 | 174 | 60.3%105 W · 69 L | -7.2wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Yes | 61c | 688$421 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$421.03 | 211 | 51.7%109 W · 102 L | +7.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 39c | 582.23$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$358.04 | 2,068 | 48.1%995 W · 1,073 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 42c | 515.51$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$301.09 | 2,640 | 35.7%942 W · 1,698 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x647f…fc4ebacked Yes | 62c | 396.83$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.26 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 43c | 376$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.33 | 2,012 | 35.5%714 W · 1,298 L | -27.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd147…ecbdbacked Yes | 55c | 300$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165 | 91 | 38.5%35 W · 56 L | +4.4wins | +0.05per pick | 34cpaid | +33.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 57c | 259.82$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.03 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Yes | 61c | 208.68$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.29 | 660 | 47.6%314 W · 346 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Yes | 61c | 177.89$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.64 | 734 | 40.1%294 W · 440 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 61c | 145.79$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.16 | 1,434 | 37.7%540 W · 894 L | -3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Yes | 56c | 122.32$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.12 | 237 | 47.7%113 W · 124 L | -7.2wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Yes | 61c | 95.13$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.98 | 370 | 49.5%183 W · 187 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1bec…8d52backed Yes | 61c | 77$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.97 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c5c…91fcbacked Yes | 58c | 70.24$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.74 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39c6…0ac1backed No | 40c | 67.5$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.5 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.23per pick | 43cpaid | +54.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Yes | 60c | 59$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.4 | 272 | 46.3%126 W · 146 L | -14.4wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Yes | 63c | 52.91$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.12 | 2,543 | 52.4%1,333 W · 1,210 L | +18.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…b70cbacked Yes | 61c | 48.39$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.52 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Yes | 49c | 47.99$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.32 | 212 | 47.2%100 W · 112 L | -5.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked No | 36c | 40.17$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.71 | 460 | 44.3%204 W · 256 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b04…6477backed No | 73c | 27.4$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.4 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.16per pick | 59cpaid | +10%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37d6…664fbacked No | 40c | 25.33$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.2 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf88b…0ed2backed Yes | 61c | 23$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.03 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -3.1wins | -0.31per pick | 61cpaid | -55.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe9e7…3491backed Yes | 61c | 22.1$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.48 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.30per pick | 64cpaid | -50.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xced8…01fdbacked Yes | 62c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.4 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.3wins | -0.29per pick | 54cpaid | -60.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x237f…e76ebacked Yes | 63c | 19.02$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.06 | 37 | 59.5%22 W · 15 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d67…3667backed Yes | 64c | 17.44$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.16 | 305 | 50.8%155 W · 150 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- SC Cambuur-Leeuwarden vs. SBV Excelsior: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- SC Cambuur-Leeuwarden vs. SBV Excelsior: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- SC Cambuur-Leeuwarden vs. SBV Excelsior: 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
- SC Cambuur-Leeuwarden vs. SBV Excelsior: 1st Half O/U 2.5Over won
- SC Cambuur-Leeuwarden vs. SBV Excelsior: Both Teams to Score in First HalfNo won
- SC Cambuur-Leeuwarden vs. SBV Excelsior: O/U 0.5Over won
- SC Cambuur-Leeuwarden vs. SBV Excelsior: O/U 1.5Over won
- SC Cambuur-Leeuwarden vs. SBV Excelsior: O/U 2.5Over won
- SC Cambuur-Leeuwarden vs. SBV Excelsior: O/U 3.5Over won
- SC Cambuur-Leeuwarden vs. SBV Excelsior: O/U 4.5Under won
- SC Cambuur-Leeuwarden vs. SBV Excelsior: O/U 5.5Under won
- SC Cambuur-Leeuwarden vs. SBV Excelsior: SBV Excelsior O/U 0.5Over won
- SC Cambuur-Leeuwarden vs. SBV Excelsior: SBV Excelsior O/U 1.5Over won
- Spread: SBV Excelsior (-2.5)SBV Excelsior won
- Spread: SC Cambuur-Leeuwarden (-1.5)SBV Excelsior won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.