Mls · resolved market
Charlotte FC vs. Columbus Crew: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3ef30ed21a21329b63e2e276014f1ef5cd550e9eb2a5c52494ad3602fff918a4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $22,074
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $25,737
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $22,074 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 50 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Mls | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4f42…8bbcbacked Over | 58c | 5,172$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,172.41 | 190 | 44.7%85 W · 105 L | +9.4wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 56c | 2,214$1,241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$972.34 | 3,012 | 43.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L | -29.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24ae…d35bbacked Under | 46c | 2,055$946 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$945.53 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7236…ea53backed Under | 44c | 1,998$879 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$879.15 | 172 | 58.1%100 W · 72 L | +6.2wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Under | 42c | 1,908$802 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$801.53 | 177 | 40.7%72 W · 105 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Over | 67c | 1,438$964 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$474.71 | 1,444 | 36.8%532 W · 912 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Under | 43c | 1,219$530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$530.04 | 728 | 50.7%369 W · 359 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Over | 79c | 1,208$952 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$256.27 | 989 | 45.4%449 W · 540 L | -23.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Under | 42c | 1,190$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.8 | 215 | 47.9%103 W · 112 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Under | 42c | 1,059$447 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$446.62 | 702 | 49.7%349 W · 353 L | -7.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67b0…89d3backed Under | 43c | 1,000$430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$430 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Over | 55c | 815.56$451 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$364.6 | 681 | 50.8%346 W · 335 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07e8…faaebacked Over | 58c | 507.83$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.29 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6534…7cc7backed Under | 44c | 342$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.99 | 201 | 33.3%67 W · 134 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f3a…e8fdbacked Under | 45c | 338.37$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.27 | 75 | 49.3%37 W · 38 L | +3.4wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb23c…61a7backed Over | 58c | 293.1$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.1 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.11per pick | 64cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over | 54c | 289.03$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.69 | 971 | 46.1%448 W · 523 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3388…61d7backed Under | 43c | 199.98$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.99 | 169 | 60.9%103 W · 66 L | +11.1wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Over | 54c | 197.76$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.39 | 99 | 44.4%44 W · 55 L | -5.6wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -19%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x56ac…d77ebacked Over | 56c | 183$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.52 | 63 | 49.2%31 W · 32 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 21c | 180.54$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.1 | 820 | 44.5%365 W · 455 L | -16.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 55c | 156.46$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.35 | 1,270 | 48%610 W · 660 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Over | 57c | 121.39$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.2 | 228 | 41.7%95 W · 133 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f03…8a0dbacked Under | 44c | 118.06$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.22 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Under | 43c | 112.29$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.15 | 1,262 | 45.2%571 W · 691 L | -28.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc5e8…6d91backed Under | 43c | 100$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d1…de26backed Over | 56c | 98.21$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.21 | 56 | 58.9%33 W · 23 L | +4.4wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +31.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x65b5…aa71backed Over | 56c | 70.3$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.93 | 140 | 62.1%87 W · 53 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb8b…37e0backed Over | 58c | 68.97$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.97 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Over | 73c | 64.3$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.57 | 967 | 56.8%549 W · 418 L | +73.1wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Under | 42c | 59.98$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.49 | 204 | 49%100 W · 104 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadd8…53c9backed Under | 46c | 50.04$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.02 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked Over | 66c | 49$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.52 | 198 | 52.5%104 W · 94 L | -8.5wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x88c5…4815backed Over | 56c | 44.67$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.8 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6db…3155backed Under | 45c | 43.65$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.64 | 169 | 48.5%82 W · 87 L | -7.6wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3654…1b78backed Over | 56c | 41$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.17 | 102 | 57.8%59 W · 43 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e90…4f65backed Over | 55c | 40.05$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.02 | 93 | 45.2%42 W · 51 L | -7.3wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3f41…5ffcbacked Over | 56c | 37$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.35 | 27 | 63%17 W · 10 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Over | 57c | 34.42$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.74 | 149 | 57.7%86 W · 63 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf27…f35fbacked Under | 46c | 32.61$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7113…dba4backed Over | 57c | 29.82$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.82 | 167 | 44.3%74 W · 93 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2326…b627backed Over | 57c | 27$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.61 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1399…48c8backed Over | 62c | 27$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.26 | 205 | 54.6%112 W · 93 L | +17.1wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6b…8a98backed Over | 56c | 26.8$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.79 | 178 | 58.4%104 W · 74 L | +6.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5659…7a6bbacked Under | 42c | 25.86$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.86 | 529 | 23.8%126 W · 403 L | -25.8wins | -0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -18%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3fb4…d481backed Over | 58c | 25.86$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.86 | 36 | 61.1%22 W · 14 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x263c…6540backed Over | 56c | 22.55$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.92 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.15per pick | 57cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xab95…6c79backed Over | 57c | 21.05$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.05 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54e8…5e6bbacked Over | 55c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 44 | 70.5%31 W · 13 L | +4.3wins | +0.10per pick | 61cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4702…2211backed Over | 57c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.6 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Charlotte FC vs. Columbus Crew: O/U 2.5this page
- Charlotte FC vs. Columbus Crew: 1st Half O/U 2.5Over won
- Charlotte FC vs. Columbus Crew: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Charlotte FC vs. Columbus Crew: O/U 0.5Over won
- Charlotte FC vs. Columbus Crew: O/U 1.5Over won
- Charlotte FC vs. Columbus Crew: O/U 3.5Over won
- Charlotte FC vs. Columbus Crew: O/U 4.5Under won
- Charlotte FC vs. Columbus Crew: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: Charlotte FC (-1.5)Charlotte FC won
- Spread: Charlotte FC (-2.5)Columbus Crew won
- Spread: Columbus Crew (-1.5)Charlotte FC won
- Spread: Columbus Crew (-2.5)Charlotte FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.