Mls · resolved market
Charlotte FC vs. Columbus Crew: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xccd41a283496a11669a460393f882374f47764485806452e98cc690a62019189
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,321
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,654
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,321 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 35 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Mls | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 33c | 2,496$811 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$811.48 | 1,444 | 36.8%532 W · 912 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Yes | 61c | 2,154$1,323 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$831.23 | 355 | 50.4%179 W · 176 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Yes | 71c | 1,247$885 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$361.63 | 526 | 39.5%208 W · 318 L | -11.9wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 39c | 1,233$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$479.55 | 728 | 50.7%369 W · 359 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 39c | 1,062$412 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$411.73 | 702 | 49.7%349 W · 353 L | -7.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x65b5…aa71backed Yes | 61c | 999.96$610 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$389.98 | 140 | 62.1%87 W · 53 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6534…7cc7backed No | 41c | 340$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.12 | 201 | 33.3%67 W · 134 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Yes | 71c | 328.33$233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.22 | 362 | 47.2%171 W · 191 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 62c | 185.15$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.88 | 734 | 38.1%280 W · 454 L | -7.5wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Yes | 61c | 169.12$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.96 | 333 | 46.8%156 W · 177 L | -14.0wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked No | 38c | 166$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.08 | 99 | 44.4%44 W · 55 L | -5.6wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -19%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5659…7a6bbacked No | 39c | 150.28$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.34 | 529 | 23.8%126 W · 403 L | -25.8wins | -0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -18%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed No | 23c | 131.67$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.32 | 109 | 57.8%63 W · 46 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 60c | 127.65$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.06 | 3,012 | 43.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L | -29.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Yes | 62c | 125$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.5 | 328 | 48.8%160 W · 168 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Yes | 60c | 109.63$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.85 | 196 | 41.3%81 W · 115 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 59c | 107.96$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.25 | 1,270 | 48%610 W · 660 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 39c | 101.29$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.5 | 1,301 | 51.2%666 W · 635 L | -19.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d93…fdefbacked No | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 43 | 58.1%25 W · 18 L | +3.3wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked No | 39c | 89.99$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.8 | 204 | 49%100 W · 104 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Yes | 71c | 83$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.36 | 802 | 49.8%399 W · 403 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked No | 29c | 65.3$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.81 | 820 | 44.5%365 W · 455 L | -16.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Yes | 68c | 64$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.19 | 967 | 56.8%549 W · 418 L | +73.1wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Yes | 71c | 55$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.7 | 443 | 50.6%224 W · 219 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Yes | 60c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 685 | 50.5%346 W · 339 L | +10.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Yes | 60c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 915 | 53%485 W · 430 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Yes | 60c | 49.2$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.68 | 394 | 35.8%141 W · 253 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3da8…be26backed No | 39c | 45$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.55 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8056…9507backed Yes | 78c | 44.96$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.98 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +23%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c09…b9b3backed Yes | 77c | 39.01$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.03 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3fb4…d481backed Yes | 61c | 36.79$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.35 | 36 | 61.1%22 W · 14 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Yes | 60c | 27.08$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.83 | 681 | 50.8%346 W · 335 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Yes | 71c | 21.77$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.31 | 1,262 | 45.2%571 W · 691 L | -28.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f2b…ccedbacked Yes | 62c | 20.97$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.97 | 62 | 46.8%29 W · 33 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x54e8…5e6bbacked Yes | 60c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 44 | 70.5%31 W · 13 L | +4.3wins | +0.10per pick | 61cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Charlotte FC vs. Columbus Crew: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Charlotte FC vs. Columbus Crew: 1st Half O/U 2.5Over won
- Charlotte FC vs. Columbus Crew: O/U 0.5Over won
- Charlotte FC vs. Columbus Crew: O/U 1.5Over won
- Charlotte FC vs. Columbus Crew: O/U 2.5Over won
- Charlotte FC vs. Columbus Crew: O/U 3.5Over won
- Charlotte FC vs. Columbus Crew: O/U 4.5Under won
- Charlotte FC vs. Columbus Crew: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: Charlotte FC (-1.5)Charlotte FC won
- Spread: Charlotte FC (-2.5)Columbus Crew won
- Spread: Columbus Crew (-1.5)Charlotte FC won
- Spread: Columbus Crew (-2.5)Charlotte FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.