Mls · resolved market
Spread: Charlotte FC (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x94593a8f0197624a919f3f8a545c6ae9c09345e0ae1e2f528b94e1a8dfbd6b2e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Charlotte FCof Charlotte FC, Columbus Crew
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,881
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,077
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,881 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 27 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Mls | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Columbus Crew | 36c | 1,278$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$460 | 40 | 42.5%17 W · 23 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Charlotte FC | 65c | 1,167$759 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$408.45 | 1,444 | 36.8%532 W · 912 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Charlotte FC | 34c | 1,077$365 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$712.86 | 993 | 40.1%398 W · 595 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Columbus Crew | 77c | 389.63$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.15 | 3,012 | 43.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L | -29.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Columbus Crew | 78c | 324.51$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.3 | 1,262 | 45.2%571 W · 691 L | -28.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Columbus Crew | 78c | 265.73$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.73 | 264 | 50%132 W · 132 L | -5.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Charlotte FC | 64c | 163.68$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.92 | 1,880 | 36.6%688 W · 1,192 L | -7.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5659…7a6bbacked Charlotte FC | 22c | 130.96$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.06 | 529 | 23.8%126 W · 403 L | -25.8wins | -0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -18%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb763…cce5backed Columbus Crew | 66c | 100$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Charlotte FC | 34c | 93.07$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.43 | 681 | 50.8%346 W · 335 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Charlotte FC | 36c | 65.2$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.03 | 967 | 56.8%549 W · 418 L | +73.1wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcc8e…944ebacked Columbus Crew | 78c | 64.1$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 56 | 76.8%43 W · 13 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 74cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Columbus Crew | 78c | 64$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.92 | 270 | 47%127 W · 143 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f41…5ffcbacked Columbus Crew | 52c | 62.5$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.34 | 27 | 63%17 W · 10 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa057…d092backed Columbus Crew | 36c | 50.27$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.1 | 43 | 44.2%19 W · 24 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked Columbus Crew | 77c | 47$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.19 | 184 | 56.5%104 W · 80 L | +5.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Columbus Crew | 77c | 35.27$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.17 | 1,301 | 51.2%666 W · 635 L | -19.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3654…1b78backed Columbus Crew | 77c | 31$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.87 | 102 | 57.8%59 W · 43 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Columbus Crew | 79c | 30$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.55 | 204 | 49%100 W · 104 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f20…5d31backed Columbus Crew | 36c | 29.89$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.76 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Columbus Crew | 74c | 25$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.5 | 443 | 50.6%224 W · 219 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3637…21a4backed Columbus Crew | 77c | 23$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.71 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.9wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x077c…5df1backed Columbus Crew | 79c | 20$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.8 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Columbus Crew | 66c | 19.7$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.97 | 820 | 44.5%365 W · 455 L | -16.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfeef…4b1fbacked Columbus Crew | 77c | 19.14$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.74 | 44 | 59.1%26 W · 18 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Columbus Crew | 77c | 16.88$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 915 | 53%485 W · 430 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked Columbus Crew | 78c | 13.92$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.93 | 198 | 52.5%104 W · 94 L | -8.5wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Charlotte FC (-1.5)this page
- Charlotte FC vs. Columbus Crew: 1st Half O/U 2.5Over won
- Charlotte FC vs. Columbus Crew: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Charlotte FC vs. Columbus Crew: O/U 0.5Over won
- Charlotte FC vs. Columbus Crew: O/U 1.5Over won
- Charlotte FC vs. Columbus Crew: O/U 2.5Over won
- Charlotte FC vs. Columbus Crew: O/U 3.5Over won
- Charlotte FC vs. Columbus Crew: O/U 4.5Under won
- Charlotte FC vs. Columbus Crew: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: Charlotte FC (-2.5)Columbus Crew won
- Spread: Columbus Crew (-1.5)Charlotte FC won
- Spread: Columbus Crew (-2.5)Charlotte FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.