Mls · resolved market
Charlotte FC vs. Columbus Crew: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x66c11f5c292877b024531bc6445e4c9a1823f5776270b7653e5d543fd70be4c3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $30,174
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $31,276
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $30,174 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 41 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Mls | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x44c5…8d45backed Over | 71c | 17,810$12,719 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,091.15 | 92 | 39.1%36 W · 56 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 30c | 15,963$4,742 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,742.37 | 993 | 40.1%398 W · 595 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Under | 27c | 4,580$1,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,250.21 | 989 | 45.4%449 W · 540 L | -23.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed Over | 69c | 1,694$1,169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$525.26 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Over | 67c | 1,364$911 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$452.23 | 40 | 42.5%17 W · 23 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…307dbacked Over | 74c | 759.46$562 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.46 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.21per pick | 55cpaid | -52.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1346…0448backed Under | 18c | 500$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x551c…fe91backed Under | 37c | 382.3$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.75 | 258 | 51.2%132 W · 126 L | +16.2wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5659…7a6bbacked Over | 34c | 275.15$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.6 | 529 | 23.8%126 W · 403 L | -25.8wins | -0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -18%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 33c | 270.57$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.35 | 1,880 | 36.6%688 W · 1,192 L | -7.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x18aa…2287backed Over | 70c | 234.63$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.39 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 69cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6534…7cc7backed Under | 66c | 233.99$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.43 | 201 | 33.3%67 W · 134 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x834d…0c31backed Under | 34c | 233$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.22 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d93…b34dbacked Over | 60c | 200$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 100 | 43%43 W · 57 L | -6.1wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 41c | 195.09$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.69 | 820 | 44.5%365 W · 455 L | -16.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30f6…004fbacked Under | 39c | 189.74$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74 | 70 | 45.7%32 W · 38 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Over | 61c | 184.74$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.05 | 714 | 43.7%312 W · 402 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over | 71c | 171.23$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.09 | 1,262 | 45.2%571 W · 691 L | -28.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Over | 33c | 166$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.06 | 1,444 | 36.8%532 W · 912 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Over | 58c | 152.49$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.51 | 967 | 56.8%549 W · 418 L | +73.1wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x24ce…da46backed Under | 30c | 135.3$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.24 | 55 | 58.2%32 W · 23 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec56…1816backed Under | 25c | 125$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.05 | 164 | 37.2%61 W · 103 L | -11.4wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4a55…a82abacked Under | 14c | 107.14$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa797…dedebacked Over | 63c | 86$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.02 | 146 | 57.5%84 W · 62 L | +14.7wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xdcbb…07d9backed Over | 72c | 55.86$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.64 | 44 | 70.5%31 W · 13 L | +5.4wins | +0.12per pick | 58cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa057…d092backed Over | 67c | 50.88$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.79 | 43 | 44.2%19 W · 24 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f41…5ffcbacked Over | 64c | 43$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.51 | 27 | 63%17 W · 10 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ac5…f963backed Over | 67c | 35.86$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 128 | 48.4%62 W · 66 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc785…4ef2backed Under | 37c | 35.52$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.14 | 172 | 44.8%77 W · 95 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7113…dba4backed Over | 35c | 34.29$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.29 | 167 | 44.3%74 W · 93 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 66c | 33.73$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.22 | 3,012 | 43.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L | -29.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Under | 65c | 30$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 204 | 49%100 W · 104 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd5ad…cdfdbacked Under | 43c | 28.19$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f20…5d31backed Over | 67c | 23.52$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.76 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Over | 65c | 23$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.05 | 128 | 39.8%51 W · 77 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba5e…153bbacked Under | 65c | 22.86$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.97 | 73 | 39.7%29 W · 44 L | -6.3wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9ceb…4716backed Under | 66c | 22$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.52 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.11per pick | 75cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9900…5cc9backed Over | 77c | 21.46$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.94 | 69 | 44.9%31 W · 38 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 65c | 21$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.65 | 1,301 | 51.2%666 W · 635 L | -19.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Over | 73c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.07 | 307 | 35.2%108 W · 199 L | -32.1wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xb4cd…c041backed Over | 70c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.5 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Charlotte FC vs. Columbus Crew: O/U 3.5this page
- Charlotte FC vs. Columbus Crew: 1st Half O/U 2.5Over won
- Charlotte FC vs. Columbus Crew: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Charlotte FC vs. Columbus Crew: O/U 0.5Over won
- Charlotte FC vs. Columbus Crew: O/U 1.5Over won
- Charlotte FC vs. Columbus Crew: O/U 2.5Over won
- Charlotte FC vs. Columbus Crew: O/U 4.5Under won
- Charlotte FC vs. Columbus Crew: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: Charlotte FC (-1.5)Charlotte FC won
- Spread: Charlotte FC (-2.5)Columbus Crew won
- Spread: Columbus Crew (-1.5)Charlotte FC won
- Spread: Columbus Crew (-2.5)Charlotte FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.