Premier League · resolved market
Norwich City FC vs. Sheffield United FC: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xba711c58b124a57cb01af2e1a70eb28665a9f2a9f8a70e3d64da10e3b44ce148
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $30,213
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $30,213 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 56 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Over | 51c | 5,000$2,550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,449.86 | 506 | 44.3%224 W · 282 L | -14.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c84…a8edbacked Under | 49c | 4,082$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 102 | 46.1%47 W · 55 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 51c | 3,842$1,964 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,964.22 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32e5…8b41backed Over | 52c | 1,861$968 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$893.27 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f09…9312backed Over | 44c | 1,749$764 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$984.95 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +2.0wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +32.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8d7f…3ef5backed Under | 49c | 612.24$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1966…da9ebacked Under | 50c | 500.93$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 125 | 49.6%62 W · 63 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26d0…a77abacked Under | 48c | 500$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -31%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd829…d60ebacked Over | 52c | 442.31$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.31 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 54c | 430.72$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233.36 | 1,409 | 44.5%627 W · 782 L | -6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c06…8478backed Under | 49c | 271.02$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.8 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.18per pick | 53cpaid | +33.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 58c | 231.45$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.21 | 741 | 56.8%421 W · 320 L | +46.0wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +11%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7725…3d5ebacked Under | 47c | 212.34$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb96e…b3a2backed Under | 48c | 206.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3fb4…d481backed Over | 52c | 201$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.48 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50e9…5efebacked Over | 52c | 200$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 278 | 46.4%129 W · 149 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5f…7b99backed Under | 48c | 200$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 75 | 50.7%38 W · 37 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0189…cab8backed Over | 55c | 200$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 57 | 57.9%33 W · 24 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf800…bdbabacked Over | 52c | 199.99$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 191 | 45%86 W · 105 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Under | 50c | 190.28$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.97 | 317 | 47.6%151 W · 166 L | -14.7wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 63c | 189.15$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.01 | 2,212 | 49.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeba1…44dfbacked Over | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.68 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.9wins | +0.21per pick | 46cpaid | +33.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 48c | 174.6$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.55 | 2,550 | 47.8%1,218 W · 1,332 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6619…703ebacked Over | 54c | 150$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69 | 321 | 64.5%207 W · 114 L | -9.1wins | -0.03per pick | 67cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4cd9…a643backed Under | 49c | 146.16$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.45 | 114 | 50.9%58 W · 56 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 45c | 125$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.25 | 1,074 | 45%483 W · 591 L | -20.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc91…0fdbbacked Over | 55c | 109.09$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.09 | 182 | 65.9%120 W · 62 L | +7.9wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Over | 42c | 100$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58 | 596 | 45.5%271 W · 325 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb85e…e18dbacked Over | 28c | 85.71$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.71 | 60 | 36.7%22 W · 38 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9075…cfe8backed Over | 59c | 84.75$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.75 | 255 | 50.2%128 W · 127 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1f3…d99cbacked Under | 48c | 68.71$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.98 | 59 | 47.5%28 W · 31 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa60b…c728backed Over | 50c | 61.65$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.83 | 375 | 54.9%206 W · 169 L | +14.1wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3880…ab7dbacked Over | 43c | 58.14$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.14 | 286 | 54.2%155 W · 131 L | -11.3wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4d58…2073backed Under | 47c | 53.95$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.36 | 351 | 57.8%203 W · 148 L | +18.1wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf059…6dd9backed Under | 49c | 53.06$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 65 | 67.7%44 W · 21 L | +12.6wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +41%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xdcf7…bcbebacked Over | 50c | 51.58$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.79 | 290 | 57.9%168 W · 122 L | +14.1wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3c95…9078backed Over | 52c | 51.37$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.66 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4244…03a6backed Under | 49c | 51.02$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -2.0wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x550d…f1ffbacked Under | 54c | 49.71$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 20 | 70%14 W · 6 L | +2.1wins | +0.10per pick | 60cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Under | 45c | 48.38$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.77 | 1,224 | 42.3%518 W · 706 L | -27.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5aad…4d6ebacked Over | 54c | 46.3$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.3 | 93 | 39.8%37 W · 56 L | -8.1wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Over | 43c | 45$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.75 | 827 | 63%521 W · 306 L | +113.2wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +41.9%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xc323…a9cabacked Under | 47c | 45$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.15 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 67cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6835…1976backed Over | 53c | 45$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.15 | 518 | 47.3%245 W · 273 L | +11.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41ed…1da9backed Under | 48c | 43.28$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.77 | 379 | 58%220 W · 159 L | +24.9wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x44b8…a2d7backed Over | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.74 | 210 | 43.8%92 W · 118 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4796…79fcbacked Under | 51c | 36.09$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.23 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x216b…fe46backed Over | 56c | 34.75$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.31 | 138 | 42.8%59 W · 79 L | -7.1wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6afd…5cb1backed Over | 50c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 229 | 58.1%133 W · 96 L | +8.0wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c0…7fc1backed Over | 47c | 26.98$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.38 | 201 | 43.8%88 W · 113 L | -11.3wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Under | 49c | 26.1$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.79 | 240 | 44.2%106 W · 134 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa97e…7753backed Over | 50c | 25$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 255 | 53.7%137 W · 118 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea2e…d695backed Over | 50c | 25$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 228 | 58.8%134 W · 94 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbaec…f856backed Under | 58c | 24.75$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.26 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | -6.1wins | -0.32per pick | 53cpaid | -70%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x8929…733ebacked Over | 51c | 20.42$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.01 | 56 | 23.2%13 W · 43 L | -7.5wins | -0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -56%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5b…08bbbacked Under | 49c | 20.42$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.01 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Norwich City FC vs. Sheffield United FC: O/U 2.5this page
- Norwich City FC vs. Sheffield United FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Norwich City FC vs. Sheffield United FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Norwich City FC vs. Sheffield United FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Norwich City FC vs. Sheffield United FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Norwich City FC (-1.5)Sheffield United FC won
- Spread: Norwich City FC (-2.5)Sheffield United FC won
- Spread: Sheffield United FC (-1.5)Norwich City FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.