Premier League · resolved market
Norwich City FC vs. Sheffield United FC: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa4c0d1d6bbb5299bf29b1d98d7fb466027c01512cfae74b16a0b970c055f06f5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,582
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,582 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 37 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 43c | 1,399$597 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$596.89 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4306…618abacked Yes | 56c | 535.71$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.71 | 90 | 53.3%48 W · 42 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbdfc…a589backed Yes | 59c | 526.44$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.44 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Yes | 54c | 466.42$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.42 | 236 | 32.2%76 W · 160 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 42c | 307.02$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.48 | 2,550 | 47.8%1,218 W · 1,332 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8929…733ebacked No | 41c | 296.88$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.38 | 56 | 23.2%13 W · 43 L | -7.5wins | -0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -56%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 41c | 288.68$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.69 | 1,409 | 44.5%627 W · 782 L | -6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe035…6ba4backed No | 42c | 271.4$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6203…5544backed No | 41c | 262.71$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.71 | 41 | 56.1%23 W · 18 L | +3.2wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1c86…15c0backed Yes | 59c | 254.24$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.24 | 263 | 44.9%118 W · 145 L | -10.9wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0866…a1d5backed Yes | 60c | 247.77$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.11 | 91 | 56%51 W · 40 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | 0%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9493…7988backed Yes | 58c | 199.99$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 208 | 40.9%85 W · 123 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4244…03a6backed No | 43c | 139.53$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -2.0wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Yes | 57c | 108.61$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.7 | 964 | 43.7%421 W · 543 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5903…bc30backed Yes | 60c | 100$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | -5.2wins | -0.16per pick | 64cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 40c | 100$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1,074 | 45%483 W · 591 L | -20.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26d0…a77abacked No | 42c | 92.59$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.89 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -31%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7418…251fbacked Yes | 63c | 92.11$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.92 | 93 | 73.1%68 W · 25 L | +17.6wins | +0.19per pick | 54cpaid | +51.7%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x5aad…4d6ebacked Yes | 53c | 83.02$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.02 | 93 | 39.8%37 W · 56 L | -8.1wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf800…bdbabacked Yes | 56c | 67.4$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.66 | 191 | 45%86 W · 105 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 26c | 65.79$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.79 | 660 | 31.2%206 W · 454 L | -13.0wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0079…b852backed Yes | 65c | 60$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 57 | 57.9%33 W · 24 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…a7c6backed No | 32c | 51.5$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.48 | 223 | 35.4%79 W · 144 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5944…bd5bbacked Yes | 58c | 50$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 201 | 44.3%89 W · 112 L | -9.5wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 40c | 46.38$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.72 | 1,264 | 33.7%426 W · 838 L | +13.1wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f14…c845backed No | 44c | 45.45$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 65 | 50.8%33 W · 32 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb71…434dbacked Yes | 73c | 45.31$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.31 | 22 | 72.7%16 W · 6 L | +2.4wins | +0.11per pick | 62cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbaec…f856backed No | 43c | 43.33$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.71 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | -6.1wins | -0.32per pick | 53cpaid | -70%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xc7bb…2753backed Yes | 58c | 43.1$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.1 | 98 | 58.2%57 W · 41 L | +6.2wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf788…6f86backed Yes | 71c | 35.21$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.21 | 129 | 68.2%88 W · 41 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 68cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed No | 43c | 33$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.19 | 240 | 44.2%106 W · 134 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16fe…9496backed Yes | 57c | 31.58$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.58 | 296 | 44.6%132 W · 164 L | -8.3wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb76…7ffebacked No | 41c | 30$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.3 | 171 | 38.6%66 W · 105 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x170c…7fe3backed Yes | 60c | 30$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 172 | 55.2%95 W · 77 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1813…4dfebacked No | 43c | 26.26$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.38 | 365 | 54.5%199 W · 166 L | +13.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x858e…a4abbacked Yes | 58c | 25.86$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.86 | 110 | 48.2%53 W · 57 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee45…e055backed Yes | 58c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 82 | 58.5%48 W · 34 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Norwich City FC vs. Sheffield United FC: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Norwich City FC vs. Sheffield United FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Norwich City FC vs. Sheffield United FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Norwich City FC vs. Sheffield United FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Norwich City FC vs. Sheffield United FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Norwich City FC (-1.5)Sheffield United FC won
- Spread: Norwich City FC (-2.5)Sheffield United FC won
- Spread: Sheffield United FC (-1.5)Norwich City FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.