Premier League · resolved market
Norwich City FC vs. Sheffield United FC: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfda0f1586c1d18c55f0956a7df147511539b226edabae65d7020d8b2b5a96d43
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,086
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,086 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 42 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4592…49b6backed Under | 67c | 1,529$1,024 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$504.5 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.22per pick | 56cpaid | -50.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1375…a070backed Over | 33c | 1,529$504 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$504.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 23c | 728.55$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.2 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6619…703ebacked Under | 71c | 535.21$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.21 | 321 | 64.5%207 W · 114 L | -9.1wins | -0.03per pick | 67cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1792…99d0backed Under | 69c | 402.83$278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.88 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.34per pick | 67cpaid | +50.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc91…0fdbbacked Under | 70c | 286.29$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.29 | 182 | 65.9%120 W · 62 L | +7.9wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x963a…c341backed Under | 69c | 284$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.04 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf715…bbf0backed Over | 30c | 278$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.4 | 101 | 12.9%13 W · 88 L | -7.1wins | -0.07per pick | 20cpaid | -46.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc0d9…ac72backed Under | 69c | 225$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.75 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20bf…d14dbacked Under | 69c | 224$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.44 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebcc…39f4backed Over | 31c | 207$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.17 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9330…f692backed Under | 69c | 202$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.62 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed Under | 71c | 200$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58 | 233 | 53.6%125 W · 108 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9725…eff2backed Under | 69c | 190$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.9 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8162…387dbacked Over | 31c | 178$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.18 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ff9…0c14backed Under | 69c | 173$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.63 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01fe…738dbacked Over | 31c | 170$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7cc9…18c4backed Under | 70c | 168.89$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.67 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -1.9wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 77c | 160.35$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.35 | 1,409 | 44.5%627 W · 782 L | -6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefa6…8cb2backed Over | 31c | 149$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.19 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb205…d31ebacked Over | 31c | 146$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.26 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcba1…ac74backed Over | 31c | 139$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.09 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6bfd…ff86backed Over | 31c | 137.63$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.67 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd410…bce5backed Over | 31c | 132.78$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3e0…3c1ebacked Over | 31c | 132.42$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.05 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc884…aeecbacked Over | 31c | 130$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1813…4dfebacked Over | 30c | 129.16$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.75 | 365 | 54.5%199 W · 166 L | +13.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4d58…2073backed Under | 68c | 115$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.8 | 351 | 57.8%203 W · 148 L | +18.1wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Over | 32c | 110.29$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.29 | 964 | 43.7%421 W · 543 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3bcf…402abacked Over | 13c | 100$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 85 | 16.5%14 W · 71 L | -5.2wins | -0.06per pick | 23cpaid | -25%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8a17…1d51backed Over | 31c | 97$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.07 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb76…7ffebacked Over | 30c | 95$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.5 | 171 | 38.6%66 W · 105 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa14…26edbacked Over | 31c | 82$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.42 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6404…2a20backed Under | 68c | 60$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.45 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -2.5wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3746…a99fbacked Over | 18c | 60$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.93 | 24 | 16.7%4 W · 20 L | -5.0wins | -0.21per pick | 37cpaid | -74.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Over | 32c | 35$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.15 | 660 | 31.2%206 W · 454 L | -13.0wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8afa…28f0backed Under | 62c | 28$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.64 | 42 | 45.2%19 W · 23 L | -2.5wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -19%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x216b…fe46backed Over | 38c | 28$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.64 | 138 | 42.8%59 W · 79 L | -7.1wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6f14…c845backed Under | 72c | 27.78$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.78 | 65 | 50.8%33 W · 32 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Under | 72c | 26$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.33 | 240 | 44.2%106 W · 134 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe601…c728backed Under | 68c | 24.7$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.9 | 269 | 59.9%161 W · 108 L | +13.6wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x26d0…a77abacked Under | 70c | 24.04$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.21 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -31%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Norwich City FC vs. Sheffield United FC: O/U 3.5this page
- Norwich City FC vs. Sheffield United FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Norwich City FC vs. Sheffield United FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Norwich City FC vs. Sheffield United FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Norwich City FC vs. Sheffield United FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Norwich City FC (-1.5)Sheffield United FC won
- Spread: Norwich City FC (-2.5)Sheffield United FC won
- Spread: Sheffield United FC (-1.5)Norwich City FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.