Premier League · resolved market
Norwich City FC vs. Sheffield United FC: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x19158c3f9072339a59abe00d448d3136bc76d814ae14319121aa6b8cc90d7c2b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,172
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,172 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 28 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 22c | 415.1$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.93 | 2,558 | 47.7%1,221 W · 1,337 L | +44.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6619…703ebacked Over | 78c | 384.62$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.62 | 321 | 64.5%207 W · 114 L | -9.1wins | -0.03per pick | 67cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 21c | 365.2$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.39 | 4,768 | 41.8%1,993 W · 2,775 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8929…733ebacked Under | 12c | 306$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.28 | 56 | 23.2%13 W · 43 L | -7.5wins | -0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -56%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xdc91…0fdbbacked Over | 80c | 251.55$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.55 | 182 | 65.9%120 W · 62 L | +7.9wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4cac…1695backed Under | 31c | 246.34$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.6 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +1.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +29.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 27c | 177.02$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.86 | 320 | 49.1%157 W · 163 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf715…bbf0backed Under | 20c | 127.82$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.56 | 101 | 12.9%13 W · 88 L | -7.1wins | -0.07per pick | 20cpaid | -46.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 21c | 125$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.25 | 1,074 | 45%483 W · 591 L | -20.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 68c | 117.43$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.13 | 2,212 | 49.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Over | 71c | 100$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29 | 596 | 45.5%271 W · 325 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Over | 74c | 91.95$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.49 | 827 | 63%521 W · 306 L | +113.2wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +41.9%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x0079…b852backed Over | 80c | 87.5$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.5 | 57 | 57.9%33 W · 24 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f14…c845backed Under | 25c | 80$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 65 | 50.8%33 W · 32 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9075…cfe8backed Over | 64c | 78.13$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.13 | 257 | 50.2%129 W · 128 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5f2…d72dbacked Over | 77c | 65.27$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.27 | 26 | 69.2%18 W · 8 L | +2.5wins | +0.10per pick | 60cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeb76…7ffebacked Under | 22c | 56$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.32 | 171 | 38.6%66 W · 105 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2463…f5b5backed Over | 66c | 50$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17 | 99 | 53.5%53 W · 46 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3880…ab7dbacked Over | 77c | 32.47$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.47 | 286 | 54.2%155 W · 131 L | -11.3wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd418…d11fbacked Under | 38c | 30.42$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.56 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -2.6wins | -0.20per pick | 58cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x26d0…a77abacked Over | 75c | 29.87$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.47 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -31%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b14…b151backed Over | 77c | 25.97$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.97 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c78…e29bbacked Over | 67c | 25$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.25 | 62 | 62.9%39 W · 23 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 66cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Over | 75c | 22.2$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.55 | 964 | 43.7%421 W · 543 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c6d…e91cbacked Over | 67c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.6 | 29 | 72.4%21 W · 8 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 67cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5037…a863backed Over | 75c | 16$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.9wins | +0.23per pick | 52cpaid | +47.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5773…ac11backed Over | 77c | 15.58$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.58 | 399 | 48.4%193 W · 206 L | +9.1wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfacd…d470backed Over | 75c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.75 | 42 | 66.7%28 W · 14 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 72cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Norwich City FC vs. Sheffield United FC: O/U 1.5this page
- Norwich City FC vs. Sheffield United FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Norwich City FC vs. Sheffield United FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Norwich City FC vs. Sheffield United FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Norwich City FC vs. Sheffield United FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Norwich City FC (-1.5)Sheffield United FC won
- Spread: Norwich City FC (-2.5)Sheffield United FC won
- Spread: Sheffield United FC (-1.5)Norwich City FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.