Mls · resolved market
New York City FC vs. Philadelphia Union: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xed247a6218c8d968e78015066b4ca816fc2ae311de32489832ab7ebf90148a8f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,000
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,088
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,000 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 43 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Mls | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 63c | 4,634$2,919 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,714.52 | 734 | 38.1%280 W · 454 L | -7.5wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x65b5…aa71backed Yes | 64c | 2,551$1,633 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$918.48 | 140 | 62.1%87 W · 53 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 37c | 1,943$713 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$712.79 | 3,012 | 43.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L | -29.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 36c | 1,719$627 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$626.67 | 1,880 | 36.6%688 W · 1,192 L | -7.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Yes | 62c | 1,529$948 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$581.02 | 355 | 50.4%179 W · 176 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 36c | 967$348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$348.12 | 1,444 | 36.8%532 W · 912 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed No | 37c | 675$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.75 | 200 | 43%86 W · 114 L | +7.3wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5213…6a35backed No | 37c | 630.63$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233.33 | 104 | 50%52 W · 52 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 37c | 609.04$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.61 | 1,270 | 48%610 W · 660 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 38c | 492.47$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.14 | 728 | 50.7%369 W · 359 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeaac…d71dbacked No | 37c | 450.45$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.67 | 121 | 46.3%56 W · 65 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Yes | 63c | 430.29$269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.79 | 394 | 35.8%141 W · 253 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked No | 37c | 316$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118 | 99 | 44.4%44 W · 55 L | -5.6wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -19%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed No | 37c | 300$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111 | 264 | 50%132 W · 132 L | -5.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5659…7a6bbacked No | 37c | 276$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.12 | 529 | 23.8%126 W · 403 L | -25.8wins | -0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -18%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked No | 32c | 265.39$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.15 | 366 | 46.7%171 W · 195 L | -7.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e0b…f166backed Yes | 63c | 246.73$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.29 | 24 | 66.7%16 W · 8 L | +2.7wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed No | 37c | 195.98$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.33 | 1,262 | 45.2%571 W · 691 L | -28.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6534…7cc7backed No | 39c | 190$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.1 | 201 | 33.3%67 W · 134 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b7d…22c1backed No | 24c | 126.67$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 37c | 100$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 685 | 50.5%346 W · 339 L | +10.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 37c | 100$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 915 | 53%485 W · 430 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d93…fdefbacked No | 32c | 81$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.14 | 43 | 58.1%25 W · 18 L | +3.3wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbbdd…bd60backed No | 37c | 73$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.01 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3da8…be26backed No | 37c | 72$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.64 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked No | 36c | 66$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.76 | 184 | 56.5%104 W · 80 L | +5.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0ac5…f963backed No | 33c | 60.38$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.7 | 128 | 48.4%62 W · 66 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed No | 38c | 52.2$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.81 | 128 | 50%64 W · 64 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe84f…b777backed No | 38c | 50.63$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.21 | 123 | 56.9%70 W · 53 L | +4.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc33d…0d40backed No | 28c | 50$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 102 | 49%50 W · 52 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Yes | 71c | 47.67$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.85 | 714 | 43.7%312 W · 402 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked No | 32c | 43$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.84 | 820 | 44.5%365 W · 455 L | -16.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2892…e9d7backed No | 38c | 38.77$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.73 | 93 | 46.2%43 W · 50 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3654…1b78backed No | 37c | 36.75$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.58 | 102 | 57.8%59 W · 43 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1985…51abbacked Yes | 75c | 33.5$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.37 | 29 | 69%20 W · 9 L | +5.3wins | +0.18per pick | 51cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed No | 36c | 33.23$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.96 | 120 | 58.3%70 W · 50 L | +6.7wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9028…8608backed No | 36c | 33.22$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.96 | 59 | 66.1%39 W · 20 L | +4.9wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Yes | 62c | 30$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.4 | 204 | 49%100 W · 104 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Yes | 80c | 28.6$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.72 | 967 | 56.8%549 W · 418 L | +73.1wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3fb4…d481backed Yes | 62c | 27.08$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.29 | 36 | 61.1%22 W · 14 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f2b…ccedbacked Yes | 62c | 20.97$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.97 | 62 | 46.8%29 W · 33 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Yes | 61c | 20.95$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.17 | 681 | 50.8%346 W · 335 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54e8…5e6bbacked Yes | 62c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.6 | 44 | 70.5%31 W · 13 L | +4.3wins | +0.10per pick | 61cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- New York City FC vs. Philadelphia Union: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- New York City FC vs. Philadelphia Union: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- New York City FC vs. Philadelphia Union: 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
- New York City FC vs. Philadelphia Union: Both Teams to Score in First HalfNo won
- New York City FC vs. Philadelphia Union: New York City FC O/U 2.5Under won
- New York City FC vs. Philadelphia Union: O/U 0.5Over won
- New York City FC vs. Philadelphia Union: O/U 1.5Over won
- New York City FC vs. Philadelphia Union: O/U 2.5Over won
- New York City FC vs. Philadelphia Union: O/U 3.5Over won
- New York City FC vs. Philadelphia Union: O/U 4.5Over won
- New York City FC vs. Philadelphia Union: O/U 5.5Under won
- New York City FC vs. Philadelphia Union: Philadelphia Union O/U 0.5Over won
- New York City FC vs. Philadelphia Union: Philadelphia Union O/U 1.5Over won
- Spread: New York City FC (-1.5)Philadelphia Union won
- Spread: New York City FC (-2.5)Philadelphia Union won
- Spread: Philadelphia Union (-1.5)New York City FC won
- Spread: Philadelphia Union (-2.5)New York City FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.