TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Mls · resolved market

Spread: New York City FC (-1.5)

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Philadelphia Unionof New York City FC, Philadelphia Union
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$10,897
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$12,238

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,897 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 22 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Mls
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xb4d2…ce99backed Philadelphia Union79c1,255$991 inWon+$263.5552639.5%208 W · 318 L-11.9wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-13.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x851b…961ebacked New York City FC18c1,074$191 inLost-$1912133.3%7 W · 14 L0.0wins0.00per pick33cpaid-12.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7203…795abacked New York City FC21c976.13$207 inLost-$207.2815676.9%120 W · 36 L+32.7wins+0.21per pick56cpaid+43.9%equal weight70+0.18 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Philadelphia Union58c935.11$545 inWon+$390.399340.1%398 W · 595 L+11.8wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed New York City FC47c683.94$318 inLost-$318.3298945.4%449 W · 540 L-23.9wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-13.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9b78…473dbacked New York City FC21c475.33$100 inLost-$99.8222269.4%154 W · 68 L+31.4wins+0.14per pick55cpaid+33.1%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0x91fe…c1c6backed Philadelphia Union53c451.62$239 inWon+$212.4738246.1%176 W · 206 L+13.2wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+10.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xbd93…56c0backed New York City FC22c288.52$65 inLost-$64.6118774.3%139 W · 48 L+33.5wins+0.18per pick56cpaid+39.4%equal weight68+0.16 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked New York City FC48c264.72$127 inLost-$127.0792346.6%430 W · 493 L-9.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-6.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked New York City FC29c237.07$69 inLost-$68.7546156.2%259 W · 202 L+13.4wins+0.03per pick53cpaid-0.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked New York City FC56c226.46$127 inLost-$126.8271443.7%312 W · 402 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-6.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed New York City FC16c187.55$29 inLost-$29.11,44436.8%532 W · 912 L-12.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-17.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x739f…e091backed Philadelphia Union78c171$133 inWon+$38.09366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick61cpaid-8.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5659…7a6bbacked New York City FC22c149.94$34 inLost-$33.7452923.8%126 W · 403 L-25.8wins-0.05per pick29cpaid-18%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked New York City FC21c120$25 inLost-$25.212839.8%51 W · 77 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-19.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Philadelphia Union79c116.66$92 inWon+$24.23,01243.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L-29.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Philadelphia Union78c73$57 inWon+$15.9244350.6%224 W · 219 L-6.1wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdaee…8559backed New York City FC23c52.58$12 inLost-$12.146653%35 W · 31 L-0.3wins0.00per pick53cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Philadelphia Union69c44$30 inWon+$13.6480249.8%399 W · 403 L+8.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9991…b2cebacked New York City FC59c33.93$20 inLost-$20.021030%3 W · 7 L-1.5wins-0.15per pick45cpaid-25.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2ee3…2e6abacked Philadelphia Union72c22.92$16 inWon+$6.422630.8%8 W · 18 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick34cpaid+9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Philadelphia Union79c19.95$16 inWon+$4.271,88036.6%688 W · 1,192 L-7.3wins0.00per pick37cpaid-8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.