Mls · resolved market
New York Red Bulls vs. Nashville SC: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7f7fe67cb030cf8c6f2a0b2c2cabd6236b7e54084f73b33df3650e8dbcc1e856
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $130,522
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $135,997
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $130,522 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 104 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Mls | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7ad7…42aabacked Over | 43c | 108,141$46,085 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46,084.79 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 57c | 19,774$11,299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,475.07 | 3,012 | 43.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L | -29.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under | 57c | 17,500$9,975 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,525 | 88 | 45.5%40 W · 48 L | -4.9wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 58c | 15,749$9,064 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,685.07 | 1,444 | 36.8%532 W · 912 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Under | 57c | 8,884$5,064 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,820.13 | 355 | 50.4%179 W · 176 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 59c | 7,000$4,095 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,905 | 263 | 45.2%119 W · 144 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Over | 40c | 6,065$2,426 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,425.88 | 278 | 37.8%105 W · 173 L | +6.6wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Under | 60c | 6,000$3,585 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,415.03 | 177 | 40.7%72 W · 105 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 58c | 3,251$1,871 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,380.65 | 1,270 | 48%610 W · 660 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Under | 60c | 3,248$1,933 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,315.28 | 43 | 48.8%21 W · 22 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f15…bdb3backed Under | 58c | 3,104$1,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,303.67 | 62 | 50%31 W · 31 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x885f…8ed9backed Under | 57c | 2,539$1,447 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,091.77 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | -3.6wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Under | 57c | 2,500$1,425 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,075 | 118 | 54.2%64 W · 54 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb07…e2ccbacked Under | 58c | 2,500$1,445 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,055 | 47 | 51.1%24 W · 23 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Under | 57c | 2,000$1,140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$860 | 526 | 39.5%208 W · 318 L | -11.9wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7236…ea53backed Under | 57c | 2,000$1,140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$860 | 172 | 58.1%100 W · 72 L | +6.2wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x47c7…cac7backed Under | 58c | 1,568$909 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$658.56 | 94 | 57.4%54 W · 40 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7091…96f8backed Under | 57c | 1,526$870 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$656.32 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d60…453dbacked Under | 71c | 1,416$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$416.09 | 127 | 51.2%65 W · 62 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x65b5…aa71backed Under | 60c | 1,000$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400 | 140 | 62.1%87 W · 53 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e39…352cbacked Under | 60c | 991.8$595 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$396.72 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 18c | 982.22$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.08 | 993 | 40.1%398 W · 595 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Under | 57c | 884.92$504 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$380.51 | 362 | 47.2%171 W · 191 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 18c | 657.54$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.36 | 1,880 | 36.6%688 W · 1,192 L | -7.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Under | 57c | 657$374 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282.51 | 215 | 47.9%103 W · 112 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under | 57c | 650$374 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.28 | 557 | 50.1%279 W · 278 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Under | 57c | 623.91$356 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$268.28 | 228 | 41.7%95 W · 133 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Under | 59c | 600$352 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248 | 702 | 49.7%349 W · 353 L | -7.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb13…5946backed Under | 58c | 600$348 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252 | 158 | 58.2%92 W · 66 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed Under | 59c | 531$312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.79 | 200 | 43%86 W · 114 L | +7.3wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x191f…4a8dbacked Under | 60c | 500$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 146 | 52.1%76 W · 70 L | +5.6wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked Under | 57c | 474$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.82 | 184 | 56.5%104 W · 80 L | +5.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Under | 59c | 473.48$278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.07 | 728 | 50.7%369 W · 359 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Under | 57c | 461$263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.23 | 139 | 48.9%68 W · 71 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3654…1b78backed Under | 57c | 402$229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.86 | 102 | 57.8%59 W · 43 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca89…7bc4backed Under | 58c | 400$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168 | 143 | 59.4%85 W · 58 L | +8.5wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x92f5…52a2backed Under | 57c | 393$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.99 | 72 | 56.9%41 W · 31 L | +5.7wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x24ce…da46backed Under | 57c | 327.14$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.67 | 55 | 58.2%32 W · 23 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 58c | 324$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.14 | 915 | 53%485 W · 430 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Under | 58c | 302.12$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.95 | 685 | 50.5%346 W · 339 L | +10.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Under | 60c | 300$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 264 | 50%132 W · 132 L | -5.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Under | 57c | 298$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.92 | 149 | 57.7%86 W · 63 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Under | 60c | 228.12$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.25 | 714 | 43.7%312 W · 402 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Under | 58c | 227.4$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.6 | 1,262 | 45.2%571 W · 691 L | -28.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f6a…a7bfbacked Under | 58c | 200$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 150 | 60%90 W · 60 L | +7.6wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x60ab…e297backed Under | 58c | 200$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 144 | 59.7%86 W · 58 L | +7.4wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe75e…4b67backed Under | 57c | 200$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86 | 131 | 58.8%77 W · 54 L | +6.9wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x288a…0048backed Under | 58c | 200$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 142 | 57.7%82 W · 60 L | +4.5wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe904…44e9backed Under | 57c | 192.25$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.67 | 97 | 42.3%41 W · 56 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a03…92d3backed Under | 65c | 175$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.25 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91fe…c1c6backed Over | 35c | 175$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.25 | 382 | 46.1%176 W · 206 L | +13.2wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6feb…c082backed Under | 57c | 161.3$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.36 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Under | 59c | 157.23$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.43 | 351 | 49.6%174 W · 177 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa494…4a1fbacked Under | 58c | 156$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.52 | 90 | 58.9%53 W · 37 L | +5.1wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0464…67dabacked Under | 57c | 141.6$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.89 | 76 | 59.2%45 W · 31 L | +4.6wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5659…7a6bbacked Over | 39c | 141.39$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.14 | 529 | 23.8%126 W · 403 L | -25.8wins | -0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -18%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeaac…d71dbacked Under | 59c | 135.59$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.59 | 121 | 46.3%56 W · 65 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaf90…fa11backed Over | 44c | 134.62$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.18 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.24per pick | 52cpaid | -49.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Over | 32c | 134.6$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.56 | 967 | 56.8%549 W · 418 L | +73.1wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 61c | 132.8$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.66 | 820 | 44.5%365 W · 455 L | -16.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Under | 60c | 128$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.2 | 270 | 47%127 W · 143 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe2ab…0dc8backed Over | 40c | 125$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -2.1wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4a55…a82abacked Under | 57c | 122.81$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.81 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfcc7…4d38backed Under | 60c | 112.36$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.94 | 47 | 55.3%26 W · 21 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6db…3155backed Under | 59c | 100$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41 | 169 | 48.5%82 W · 87 L | -7.6wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x04a5…d093backed Under | 58c | 100$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 134 | 61.2%82 W · 52 L | +9.5wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1bec…8d52backed Under | 58c | 93$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.06 | 61 | 63.9%39 W · 22 L | +5.4wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Under | 60c | 90$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.3 | 204 | 49%100 W · 104 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5213…6a35backed Under | 59c | 84.74$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.74 | 104 | 50%52 W · 52 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…e421backed Under | 57c | 70.37$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.26 | 108 | 48.1%52 W · 56 L | +5.0wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Under | 58c | 70.08$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.54 | 100 | 42%42 W · 58 L | -8.9wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0d5f…1171backed Under | 57c | 68.84$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.6 | 96 | 54.2%52 W · 44 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdebb…eedbbacked Under | 57c | 66.38$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.54 | 49 | 49%24 W · 25 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Under | 60c | 59.13$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.4 | 734 | 38.1%280 W · 454 L | -7.5wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9663…5b70backed Under | 57c | 58$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.94 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe90f…a908backed Under | 57c | 53.93$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.19 | 31 | 64.5%20 W · 11 L | +2.1wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x884b…c480backed Under | 57c | 52.63$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.63 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 60c | 52$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.96 | 1,301 | 51.2%666 W · 635 L | -19.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc846…c413backed Under | 57c | 50$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.5 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.7wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +209.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 72c | 49.4$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.83 | 871 | 54.6%476 W · 395 L | +34.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3fb4…d481backed Over | 44c | 47.11$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.73 | 36 | 61.1%22 W · 14 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a06…248abacked Under | 57c | 45.37$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.51 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Under | 56c | 45$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.8 | 1,009 | 46.2%466 W · 543 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfeef…4b1fbacked Under | 57c | 43.86$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.86 | 44 | 59.1%26 W · 18 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ed3…274cbacked Under | 57c | 43.86$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.86 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +1.5wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x360a…1098backed Under | 57c | 43$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.49 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x657c…66a3backed Under | 57c | 42$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.06 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6f81…2bb7backed Under | 58c | 40$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.8 | 152 | 59.9%91 W · 61 L | +8.6wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdd59…2e2fbacked Under | 57c | 40$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.2 | 135 | 60.7%82 W · 53 L | +7.9wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x515e…90adbacked Under | 61c | 39.88$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.55 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +84.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0576…6232backed Under | 58c | 38.69$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.25 | 81 | 29.6%24 W · 57 L | -10.9wins | -0.13per pick | 43cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x775e…e94abacked Under | 57c | 34$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.62 | 9 | 88.9%8 W · 1 L | +3.4wins | +0.38per pick | 51cpaid | +78.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7b18…dd26backed Over | 39c | 29.84$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.64 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | -3.6wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0ac5…f963backed Under | 58c | 29.54$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.41 | 128 | 48.4%62 W · 66 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Over | 44c | 27.48$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.09 | 394 | 35.8%141 W · 253 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Under | 64c | 25.85$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.34 | 196 | 41.3%81 W · 115 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x099c…e42cbacked Under | 57c | 22.81$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.81 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44dc…802dbacked Under | 60c | 21.67$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.67 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0eba…cb3dbacked Under | 57c | 20.86$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.97 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1e0…041bbacked Under | 58c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 146 | 60.3%88 W · 58 L | +8.9wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +12%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- New York Red Bulls vs. Nashville SC: O/U 3.5this page
- New York Red Bulls vs. Nashville SC: 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- New York Red Bulls vs. Nashville SC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- New York Red Bulls vs. Nashville SC: Nashville SC O/U 0.5Over won
- New York Red Bulls vs. Nashville SC: Nashville SC O/U 1.5Under won
- New York Red Bulls vs. Nashville SC: Nashville SC O/U 2.5Under won
- New York Red Bulls vs. Nashville SC: O/U 0.5Over won
- New York Red Bulls vs. Nashville SC: O/U 1.5Under won
- New York Red Bulls vs. Nashville SC: O/U 2.5Under won
- New York Red Bulls vs. Nashville SC: O/U 4.5Under won
- New York Red Bulls vs. Nashville SC: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: Nashville SC (-1.5)New York Red Bulls won
- Spread: New York Red Bulls (-1.5)Nashville SC won
- Spread: New York Red Bulls (-2.5)Nashville SC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.