Mls · resolved market
New York Red Bulls vs. Nashville SC: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb062b73726ffe6a6f624b19758221d47507806ff0012c5b30446aab39c1dc73d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,410
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,237
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,410 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 44 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Mls | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4488…e319backed No | 35c | 4,922$1,731 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,190.7 | 177 | 40.7%72 W · 105 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 65c | 1,810$1,168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,168.23 | 3,012 | 43.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L | -29.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91fe…c1c6backed Yes | 4c | 1,489$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.57 | 382 | 46.1%176 W · 206 L | +13.2wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 66c | 891.44$587 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$586.65 | 734 | 38.1%280 W · 454 L | -7.5wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Yes | 63c | 431.86$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270.17 | 526 | 39.5%208 W · 318 L | -11.9wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Yes | 48c | 328.56$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.81 | 362 | 47.2%171 W · 191 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Yes | 64c | 278.11$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.94 | 681 | 50.8%346 W · 335 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Yes | 56c | 249.03$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.58 | 1,262 | 45.2%571 W · 691 L | -28.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6534…7cc7backed No | 37c | 246$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.98 | 201 | 33.3%67 W · 134 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Yes | 64c | 218$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.6 | 355 | 50.4%179 W · 176 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Yes | 65c | 167$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.55 | 915 | 53%485 W · 430 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x65b5…aa71backed Yes | 63c | 162$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.06 | 140 | 62.1%87 W · 53 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Yes | 39c | 148.4$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.7 | 967 | 56.8%549 W · 418 L | +73.1wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked No | 43c | 118.17$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67 | 461 | 56.2%259 W · 202 L | +13.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc785…4ef2backed Yes | 34c | 113$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.61 | 172 | 44.8%77 W · 95 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Yes | 65c | 110.45$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.41 | 394 | 35.8%141 W · 253 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 34c | 100$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66 | 702 | 49.7%349 W · 353 L | -7.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6db…3155backed Yes | 65c | 100$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 169 | 48.5%82 W · 87 L | -7.6wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7655…f0b2backed Yes | 62c | 99.99$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Yes | 17c | 60.71$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.45 | 287 | 21.6%62 W · 225 L | -29.9wins | -0.10per pick | 32cpaid | -44.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked No | 35c | 60$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.3 | 204 | 49%100 W · 104 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ac5…f963backed No | 46c | 58.78$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.61 | 128 | 48.4%62 W · 66 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x92f5…52a2backed Yes | 64c | 58.2$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.34 | 72 | 56.9%41 W · 31 L | +5.7wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked Yes | 65c | 51$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.15 | 184 | 56.5%104 W · 80 L | +5.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ee…9e81backed Yes | 29c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 273 | 44.3%121 W · 152 L | -8.3wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x430b…f9e0backed Yes | 64c | 49.99$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.99 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +1.9wins | +0.19per pick | 61cpaid | +31.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x633e…d305backed Yes | 65c | 45.42$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.52 | 44 | 40.9%18 W · 26 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Yes | 49c | 39.64$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.33 | 352 | 47.7%168 W · 184 L | -6.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Yes | 65c | 37$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.94 | 444 | 47.3%210 W · 234 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5659…7a6bbacked No | 34c | 36.06$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.8 | 529 | 23.8%126 W · 403 L | -25.8wins | -0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -18%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked No | 48c | 35$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.32 | 820 | 44.5%365 W · 455 L | -16.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1045…06c8backed Yes | 56c | 34.98$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.59 | 53 | 62.3%33 W · 20 L | +6.8wins | +0.13per pick | 49cpaid | +31.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3654…1b78backed Yes | 65c | 34$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.98 | 102 | 57.8%59 W · 43 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x88c5…4815backed Yes | 64c | 30.03$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.22 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Yes | 66c | 30$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 328 | 48.8%160 W · 168 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked Yes | 64c | 29$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.7 | 198 | 52.5%104 W · 94 L | -8.5wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Yes | 66c | 28.71$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.95 | 333 | 46.8%156 W · 177 L | -14.0wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Yes | 76c | 26.14$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.87 | 530 | 40.6%215 W · 315 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 65c | 25.35$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.48 | 1,444 | 36.8%532 W · 912 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24ce…da46backed Yes | 66c | 23.28$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.36 | 55 | 58.2%32 W · 23 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30f6…004fbacked No | 67c | 22.91$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.56 | 70 | 45.7%32 W · 38 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Yes | 63c | 22$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.86 | 1,301 | 51.2%666 W · 635 L | -19.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd75a…d264backed No | 67c | 21$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.93 | 39 | 46.2%18 W · 21 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4015…56b6backed Yes | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- New York Red Bulls vs. Nashville SC: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- New York Red Bulls vs. Nashville SC: 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- New York Red Bulls vs. Nashville SC: Nashville SC O/U 0.5Over won
- New York Red Bulls vs. Nashville SC: Nashville SC O/U 1.5Under won
- New York Red Bulls vs. Nashville SC: Nashville SC O/U 2.5Under won
- New York Red Bulls vs. Nashville SC: O/U 0.5Over won
- New York Red Bulls vs. Nashville SC: O/U 1.5Under won
- New York Red Bulls vs. Nashville SC: O/U 2.5Under won
- New York Red Bulls vs. Nashville SC: O/U 3.5Under won
- New York Red Bulls vs. Nashville SC: O/U 4.5Under won
- New York Red Bulls vs. Nashville SC: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: Nashville SC (-1.5)New York Red Bulls won
- Spread: New York Red Bulls (-1.5)Nashville SC won
- Spread: New York Red Bulls (-2.5)Nashville SC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.