Asian League · resolved market
Chengdu Rongcheng FC vs. Beijing Guoan FC: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8ac8ec00821ac2a5d99f177f2b54296272991445022c3033c98323d72c4cc810
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $35,302
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $43,042
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $35,302 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 56 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe6ee…b3aabacked Under | 55c | 5,219$2,896 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,896.04 | 58 | 46.6%27 W · 31 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb0b…3790backed Under | 1c | 3,589$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.89 | 68 | 35.3%24 W · 44 L | +14.4wins | +0.21per pick | 14cpaid | +170%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 48c | 3,381$1,638 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,742.7 | 2,528 | 42.2%1,067 W · 1,461 L | +53.0wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Under | 40c | 2,497$1,009 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,009.11 | 2,520 | 39.8%1,002 W · 1,518 L | -21.2wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07ea…a6babacked Over | 61c | 2,454$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$954.22 | 88 | 43.2%38 W · 50 L | -6.1wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Over | 39c | 2,411$946 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,465.7 | 229 | 49.8%114 W · 115 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Over | 48c | 2,076$1,004 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,072.22 | 968 | 46.1%446 W · 522 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa704…11c1backed Over | 63c | 1,589$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$588.56 | 34 | 61.8%21 W · 13 L | -3.2wins | -0.09per pick | 71cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 54c | 1,578$858 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$857.87 | 5,963 | 46%2,744 W · 3,219 L | +46.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad5…62ffbacked Over | 48c | 989.92$479 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$511.16 | 108 | 37%40 W · 68 L | -5.7wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -25%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd239…2083backed Under | 59c | 661.11$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390 | 43 | 39.5%17 W · 26 L | -3.5wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2983…4eb2backed Under | 47c | 640.04$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 63 | 39.7%25 W · 38 L | -4.9wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa7c2…73bfbacked Under | 38c | 599.99$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228 | 117 | 31.6%37 W · 80 L | -6.7wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -21%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2d67…3667backed Over | 50c | 465.95$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231.91 | 192 | 61.5%118 W · 74 L | +17.1wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x34a1…7622backed Under | 47c | 427$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.59 | 129 | 39.5%51 W · 78 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad0b…a514backed Over | 55c | 400$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180 | 89 | 55.1%49 W · 40 L | +6.7wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +15%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe5f6…73fabacked Over | 63c | 349.21$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.21 | 27 | 63%17 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5f…7b99backed Under | 38c | 300$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114 | 185 | 43.8%81 W · 104 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc464…5139backed Over | 64c | 231.78$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.72 | 69 | 50.7%35 W · 34 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb13b…5f1abacked Under | 49c | 204.28$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 34 | 32.4%11 W · 23 L | -2.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaaeb…9ec2backed Under | 37c | 199.99$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -1.5wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe18a…fd87backed Under | 56c | 193.7$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.32 | 201 | 38.3%77 W · 124 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Under | 61c | 176.8$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.57 | 371 | 53.9%200 W · 171 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae8c…b99bbacked Under | 38c | 168.03$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.85 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ee7…f36ebacked Under | 71c | 140.85$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 49 | 61.2%30 W · 19 L | -2.9wins | -0.06per pick | 67cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5981…3934backed Over | 52c | 117.01$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.26 | 201 | 50.7%102 W · 99 L | +14.3wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb1c8…023abacked Over | 62c | 110$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.8 | 31 | 64.5%20 W · 11 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf5d…df19backed Under | 50c | 100.19$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -2.7wins | -0.17per pick | 48cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7157…7ba4backed Over | 45c | 100$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55 | 46 | 56.5%26 W · 20 L | +2.9wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0977…53ccbacked Under | 39c | 100$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 76 | 47.4%36 W · 40 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8152…5b51backed Under | 61c | 100$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61 | 96 | 39.6%38 W · 58 L | -10.1wins | -0.11per pick | 50cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb891…969bbacked Over | 41c | 99.99$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.99 | 150 | 35.3%53 W · 97 L | -6.5wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1016…b09bbacked Over | 49c | 97$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.83 | 66 | 53%35 W · 31 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4732…f40dbacked Over | 49c | 87.06$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.09 | 36 | 58.3%21 W · 15 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffd…7821backed Under | 44c | 76$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.6 | 131 | 48.1%63 W · 68 L | -9.1wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb70d…5925backed Over | 62c | 68.31$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.96 | 41 | 58.5%24 W · 17 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2217…1660backed Over | 62c | 57$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.66 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebe3…71d4backed Under | 38c | 52.63$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb89…82aabacked Under | 38c | 51.1$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.46 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Over | 62c | 51.03$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.39 | 1,991 | 54.1%1,078 W · 913 L | +29.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15cf…4d9bbacked Over | 61c | 50$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.5 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.8wins | -0.37per pick | 57cpaid | -67.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb428…74c8backed Under | 52c | 48.08$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 118 | 39.8%47 W · 71 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x056b…5a03backed Under | 37c | 44.97$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.64 | 64 | 37.5%24 W · 40 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x352b…abd8backed Under | 44c | 44$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.36 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Under | 52c | 41.17$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.54 | 320 | 60%192 W · 128 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x882c…5d07backed Under | 59c | 40$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.6 | 208 | 38.9%81 W · 127 L | -14.1wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -24%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked Over | 45c | 40$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 193 | 54.4%105 W · 88 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8543…ff1bbacked Under | 48c | 39.95$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.33 | 65 | 47.7%31 W · 34 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Under | 37c | 35.49$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.13 | 547 | 46.8%256 W · 291 L | -16.4wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2654…b45fbacked Over | 51c | 32.97$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.2 | 51 | 62.7%32 W · 19 L | +3.5wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…c3bdbacked Under | 65c | 30$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 52 | 44.2%23 W · 29 L | -3.3wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3f34…ed6abacked Under | 65c | 30$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 42 | 38.1%16 W · 26 L | -5.0wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb435…b97cbacked Over | 55c | 26.82$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.1 | 30 | 70%21 W · 9 L | +5.0wins | +0.17per pick | 53cpaid | +31.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2f53…d5abbacked Over | 63c | 24$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.88 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3fb4…d481backed Over | 42c | 23.81$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.81 | 63 | 60.3%38 W · 25 L | +3.5wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf689…3e3fbacked Under | 77c | 21.54$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.59 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Chengdu Rongcheng FC vs. Beijing Guoan FC: O/U 2.5this page
- Chengdu Rongcheng FC vs. Beijing Guoan FC: 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Chengdu Rongcheng FC vs. Beijing Guoan FC: Beijing Guoan FC O/U 1.5Over won
- Chengdu Rongcheng FC vs. Beijing Guoan FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Chengdu Rongcheng FC vs. Beijing Guoan FC: Chengdu Rongcheng FC O/U 1.5Over won
- Chengdu Rongcheng FC vs. Beijing Guoan FC: O/U 0.5Over won
- Chengdu Rongcheng FC vs. Beijing Guoan FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Chengdu Rongcheng FC vs. Beijing Guoan FC: O/U 3.5Over won
- Chengdu Rongcheng FC vs. Beijing Guoan FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Chengdu Rongcheng FC vs. Beijing Guoan FC: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: Beijing Guoan FC (-1.5)Chengdu Rongcheng FC won
- Spread: Beijing Guoan FC (-2.5)Chengdu Rongcheng FC won
- Spread: Chengdu Rongcheng FC (-1.5)Beijing Guoan FC won
- Spread: Chengdu Rongcheng FC (-2.5)Beijing Guoan FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.