Asian League · resolved market
Chengdu Rongcheng FC vs. Beijing Guoan FC: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe7da5897130f0102f1cbcbfa186c766f19488a932eb9f04b414f23de42022848
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $16,356
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $20,449
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,356 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 28 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 49c | 6,316$3,103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,102.74 | 5,910 | 46.2%2,730 W · 3,180 L | +50.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe7e…6d00backed Yes | 61c | 3,268$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,268.24 | 78 | 34.6%27 W · 51 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9dd…b525backed Yes | 47c | 3,000$1,410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,589.96 | 81 | 32.1%26 W · 55 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Yes | 43c | 1,432$616 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$815.74 | 229 | 49.8%114 W · 115 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 39c | 994.1$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390.07 | 2,499 | 42.3%1,057 W · 1,442 L | +52.8wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 65c | 796.79$518 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$278.95 | 1,434 | 35.2%505 W · 929 L | -36.2wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe00f…71e9backed Yes | 39c | 769.99$297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$473.19 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 37c | 750$278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$277.5 | 922 | 35.1%324 W · 598 L | -20.3wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf788…6f86backed Yes | 61c | 218$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86 | 56 | 64.3%36 W · 20 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 68cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4bad…1e9ebacked Yes | 55c | 200$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed No | 55c | 173.68$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.11 | 371 | 53.9%200 W · 171 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2dd7…28d2backed Yes | 65c | 153.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.85 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked No | 37c | 111$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.07 | 1,354 | 45.4%615 W · 739 L | +14.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d67…3667backed No | 45c | 106.77$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.2 | 192 | 61.5%118 W · 74 L | +17.1wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7c31…5380backed No | 37c | 101.54$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.37 | 36 | 41.7%15 W · 21 L | -4.2wins | -0.12per pick | 53cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0977…53ccbacked No | 36c | 100$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 76 | 47.4%36 W · 40 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ef9…11b4backed Yes | 60c | 83.33$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.33 | 67 | 65.7%44 W · 23 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 68cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a62…4ab9backed Yes | 65c | 83.08$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.08 | 56 | 32.1%18 W · 38 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Yes | 63c | 55.54$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.55 | 363 | 52.9%192 W · 171 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcbb7…0acebacked No | 44c | 50$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Yes | 64c | 49.98$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.1 | 539 | 46.9%253 W · 286 L | -14.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f2b…ccedbacked Yes | 65c | 41.54$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.54 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +1.5wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed No | 52c | 41.07$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.39 | 313 | 59.7%187 W · 126 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8543…ff1bbacked No | 57c | 35.54$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.34 | 65 | 47.7%31 W · 34 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe84f…b777backed No | 36c | 28.61$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.3 | 236 | 60.2%142 W · 94 L | +17.2wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x12c8…20d5backed Yes | 60c | 25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 70cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked No | 55c | 22$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.1 | 434 | 52.1%226 W · 208 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x35a4…f440backed Yes | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Chengdu Rongcheng FC vs. Beijing Guoan FC: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Chengdu Rongcheng FC vs. Beijing Guoan FC: 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Chengdu Rongcheng FC vs. Beijing Guoan FC: Beijing Guoan FC O/U 1.5Over won
- Chengdu Rongcheng FC vs. Beijing Guoan FC: Chengdu Rongcheng FC O/U 1.5Over won
- Chengdu Rongcheng FC vs. Beijing Guoan FC: O/U 0.5Over won
- Chengdu Rongcheng FC vs. Beijing Guoan FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Chengdu Rongcheng FC vs. Beijing Guoan FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Chengdu Rongcheng FC vs. Beijing Guoan FC: O/U 3.5Over won
- Chengdu Rongcheng FC vs. Beijing Guoan FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Chengdu Rongcheng FC vs. Beijing Guoan FC: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: Beijing Guoan FC (-1.5)Chengdu Rongcheng FC won
- Spread: Beijing Guoan FC (-2.5)Chengdu Rongcheng FC won
- Spread: Chengdu Rongcheng FC (-1.5)Beijing Guoan FC won
- Spread: Chengdu Rongcheng FC (-2.5)Beijing Guoan FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.