Asian League · resolved market
Chengdu Rongcheng FC vs. Beijing Guoan FC: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xef832c286cd2276aaeeac18f54241b299ff79b96e230387eaf7a285921e36722
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $39,861
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $47,432
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $39,861 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 61 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Over | 11c | 6,469$697 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,771.81 | 344 | 47.4%163 W · 181 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb0b…3790backed Under | 1c | 2,909$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.09 | 66 | 34.8%23 W · 43 L | +13.5wins | +0.20per pick | 14cpaid | +156.5%equal weight | 66+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x9f8a…01cdbacked Under | 57c | 1,734$992 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$992.02 | 62 | 43.5%27 W · 35 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Over | 27c | 1,538$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,117.7 | 229 | 49.8%114 W · 115 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Over | 43c | 1,512$650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$861.7 | 1,022 | 41.5%424 W · 598 L | -33.2wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb13b…5f1abacked Under | 68c | 1,471$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 34 | 32.4%11 W · 23 L | -2.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 78c | 1,355$1,057 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,056.81 | 1,306 | 56.9%743 W · 563 L | +67.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2ec5…fd53backed Under | 73c | 1,348$983 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$983.13 | 52 | 42.3%22 W · 30 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb89…82aabacked Under | 66c | 1,053$699 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$698.59 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb76b…d1f0backed Under | 55c | 622.2$344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$343.74 | 36 | 30.6%11 W · 25 L | -2.6wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -43.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x882c…5d07backed Under | 77c | 568.97$438 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$438.09 | 202 | 38.6%78 W · 124 L | -14.5wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 14c | 542.63$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$464.11 | 2,499 | 42.3%1,057 W · 1,442 L | +52.8wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x976a…e8ecbacked Over | 39c | 502.71$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$307.74 | 261 | 48.7%127 W · 134 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +20%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Under | 60c | 432.49$259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.49 | 1,434 | 35.2%505 W · 929 L | -36.2wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaaeb…9ec2backed Under | 75c | 415.32$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312.11 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -1.5wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad5…62ffbacked Under | 60c | 388.54$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234.97 | 108 | 37%40 W · 68 L | -5.7wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -25%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f39…311abacked Over | 9c | 300$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$273 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +80%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x44c5…8d45backed Under | 67c | 297.57$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.71 | 177 | 53.1%94 W · 83 L | +17.3wins | +0.10per pick | 43cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 77c | 288.36$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.04 | 692 | 52.3%362 W · 330 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb41a…0a9bbacked Under | 52c | 277.45$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.27 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Under | 17c | 234.4$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.99 | 93 | 39.8%37 W · 56 L | +9.0wins | +0.10per pick | 30cpaid | +50.2%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Over | 43c | 228.75$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.32 | 922 | 35.1%324 W · 598 L | -20.3wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd966…8136backed Under | 63c | 222.39$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.2 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +4.1wins | +0.17per pick | 41cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Over | 8c | 211.81$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.87 | 1,214 | 50.2%610 W · 604 L | +12.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Under | 62c | 200$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124 | 263 | 36.5%96 W · 167 L | -13.0wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb891…969bbacked Over | 21c | 199.98$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.99 | 150 | 35.3%53 W · 97 L | -6.5wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdd03…df4abacked Over | 29c | 170$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.7 | 32 | 31.3%10 W · 22 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8543…ff1bbacked Under | 74c | 162.52$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.71 | 65 | 47.7%31 W · 34 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19d8…965abacked Over | 13c | 153.86$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.04 | 87 | 36.8%32 W · 55 L | +7.2wins | +0.08per pick | 29cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Over | 73c | 139.18$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.45 | 206 | 51.5%106 W · 100 L | +6.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6701…d7d2backed Under | 78c | 132.99$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.68 | 45 | 46.7%21 W · 24 L | -2.6wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x41f6…bc0dbacked Over | 41c | 121.95$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.95 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -1.8wins | -0.13per pick | 41cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5981…3934backed Over | 41c | 110.27$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.06 | 194 | 51.5%100 W · 94 L | +14.1wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3e…5a7abacked Over | 39c | 99.28$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.56 | 104 | 54.8%57 W · 47 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Under | 68c | 96.08$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.12 | 371 | 53.9%200 W · 171 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c31…5380backed Under | 60c | 95.57$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.34 | 36 | 41.7%15 W · 21 L | -4.2wins | -0.12per pick | 53cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4d1c…8408backed Under | 72c | 91.69$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -2.8wins | -0.15per pick | 52cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3daf…19ebbacked Over | 41c | 90$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.1 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef41…2473backed Over | 20c | 89.86$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.89 | 99 | 42.4%42 W · 57 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d67…3667backed Over | 15c | 68.94$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.37 | 192 | 61.5%118 W · 74 L | +17.1wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0a60…7b81backed Over | 17c | 64.37$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.29 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +54%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e49…5166backed Over | 78c | 64.1$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.1 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +1.7wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +42.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Over | 40c | 59.8$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.88 | 363 | 52.9%192 W · 171 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x03c9…d8c1backed Over | 27c | 56.88$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.3 | 45 | 62.2%28 W · 17 L | +6.5wins | +0.15per pick | 48cpaid | +44.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Under | 76c | 51.36$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.83 | 313 | 59.7%187 W · 126 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Under | 62c | 51$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.62 | 720 | 44.2%318 W · 402 L | -28.9wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x37e9…ab9fbacked Over | 20c | 50$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +1.4wins | +0.15per pick | 18cpaid | +45.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Under | 63c | 43.89$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.86 | 582 | 43%250 W · 332 L | -26.2wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe0…cc67backed Under | 80c | 37$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.6 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0977…53ccbacked Over | 41c | 36$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.24 | 76 | 47.4%36 W · 40 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked Under | 61c | 32.01$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.43 | 87 | 6.9%6 W · 81 L | -21.4wins | -0.25per pick | 31cpaid | -77.7%equal weight | 29-0.19 edge/pick |
| 0xe748…c645backed Under | 41c | 31.87$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.03 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +2.2wins | +0.28per pick | 47cpaid | +82.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f2…131dbacked Under | 60c | 31.67$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | -4.8wins | -0.13per pick | 52cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3f34…ed6abacked Under | 63c | 30$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.9 | 42 | 38.1%16 W · 26 L | -5.0wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked Under | 71c | 30$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.3 | 189 | 55%104 W · 85 L | +6.7wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Over | 39c | 29.99$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.29 | 139 | 49.6%69 W · 70 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…c3bdbacked Under | 60c | 29.53$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.73 | 52 | 44.2%23 W · 29 L | -3.3wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Over | 49c | 25$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.75 | 434 | 52.1%226 W · 208 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29d4…5d18backed Under | 69c | 24.62$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.02 | 27 | 70.4%19 W · 8 L | +3.1wins | +0.11per pick | 59cpaid | +22%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf504…0111backed Under | 74c | 23.28$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.23 | 73 | 56.2%41 W · 32 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffd…7821backed Under | 79c | 19.92$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.74 | 128 | 49.2%63 W · 65 L | -7.3wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Chengdu Rongcheng FC vs. Beijing Guoan FC: O/U 3.5this page
- Chengdu Rongcheng FC vs. Beijing Guoan FC: 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Chengdu Rongcheng FC vs. Beijing Guoan FC: Beijing Guoan FC O/U 1.5Over won
- Chengdu Rongcheng FC vs. Beijing Guoan FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Chengdu Rongcheng FC vs. Beijing Guoan FC: Chengdu Rongcheng FC O/U 1.5Over won
- Chengdu Rongcheng FC vs. Beijing Guoan FC: O/U 0.5Over won
- Chengdu Rongcheng FC vs. Beijing Guoan FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Chengdu Rongcheng FC vs. Beijing Guoan FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Chengdu Rongcheng FC vs. Beijing Guoan FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Chengdu Rongcheng FC vs. Beijing Guoan FC: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: Beijing Guoan FC (-1.5)Chengdu Rongcheng FC won
- Spread: Beijing Guoan FC (-2.5)Chengdu Rongcheng FC won
- Spread: Chengdu Rongcheng FC (-1.5)Beijing Guoan FC won
- Spread: Chengdu Rongcheng FC (-2.5)Beijing Guoan FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.