Mls · resolved market
Seattle Sounders FC vs. Vancouver Whitecaps FC: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xeb0ff5c748065c55484f6463baf23139b63b6ce0d95e82bf90c08a29bde6c79e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $18,165
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $18,500
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,165 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 50 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Mls | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 30c | 2,207$654 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$653.83 | 1,880 | 36.6%688 W · 1,192 L | -7.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 61c | 1,742$1,061 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$681.19 | 1,444 | 36.8%532 W · 912 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Yes | 63c | 1,369$863 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$862.72 | 394 | 35.8%141 W · 253 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x65b5…aa71backed Yes | 60c | 1,035$623 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$623.17 | 140 | 62.1%87 W · 53 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 44c | 978.45$429 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$549.13 | 3,012 | 43.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L | -29.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 37c | 644.2$238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$405.84 | 728 | 50.7%369 W · 359 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked No | 38c | 591$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$366.35 | 355 | 50.4%179 W · 176 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6534…7cc7backed No | 40c | 422$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.3 | 201 | 33.3%67 W · 134 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed No | 74c | 332.71$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.49 | 1,262 | 45.2%571 W · 691 L | -28.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Yes | 62c | 297.97$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.39 | 264 | 50%132 W · 132 L | -5.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Yes | 62c | 285.11$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.93 | 915 | 53%485 W · 430 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked No | 67c | 268.51$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.29 | 444 | 47.3%210 W · 234 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x91fe…c1c6backed Yes | 47c | 237$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.34 | 382 | 46.1%176 W · 206 L | +13.2wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe731…98c5backed No | 53c | 235.85$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.85 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Yes | 22c | 227.31$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.05 | 362 | 47.2%171 W · 191 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e0b…f166backed Yes | 63c | 220.63$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139 | 24 | 66.7%16 W · 8 L | +2.7wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed No | 56c | 209.89$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.28 | 352 | 47.7%168 W · 184 L | -6.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Yes | 63c | 189.55$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.34 | 333 | 46.8%156 W · 177 L | -14.0wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5f56…348abacked No | 70c | 187$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.24 | 55 | 52.7%29 W · 26 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Yes | 61c | 172.37$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.15 | 685 | 50.5%346 W · 339 L | +10.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Yes | 62c | 172.16$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.71 | 702 | 49.7%349 W · 353 L | -7.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Yes | 63c | 152$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.76 | 328 | 48.8%160 W · 168 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 60c | 150$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 1,270 | 48%610 W · 660 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Yes | 19c | 138.83$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.41 | 802 | 49.8%399 W · 403 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ac5…f963backed No | 57c | 137.64$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.3 | 128 | 48.4%62 W · 66 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 39c | 135.4$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.59 | 681 | 50.8%346 W · 335 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked No | 48c | 123.51$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.62 | 366 | 46.7%171 W · 195 L | -7.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf15e…80b5backed No | 39c | 122.6$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.79 | 39 | 28.2%11 W · 28 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 63c | 118.99$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.49 | 734 | 38.1%280 W · 454 L | -7.5wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbbdd…bd60backed No | 37c | 99.99$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.99 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x912f…b25bbacked Yes | 18c | 99$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.82 | 70 | 38.6%27 W · 43 L | -3.3wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yes | 21c | 94.62$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.24 | 483 | 44.9%217 W · 266 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0576…6232backed No | 36c | 64.03$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.98 | 81 | 29.6%24 W · 57 L | -10.9wins | -0.13per pick | 43cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4348…f08abacked No | 63c | 61.36$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.63 | 54 | 50%27 W · 27 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5659…7a6bbacked No | 38c | 54.9$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.23 | 529 | 23.8%126 W · 403 L | -25.8wins | -0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -18%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked No | 63c | 53$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.39 | 461 | 56.2%259 W · 202 L | +13.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Yes | 24c | 52$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.36 | 443 | 50.6%224 W · 219 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Yes | 52c | 48$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.96 | 967 | 56.8%549 W · 418 L | +73.1wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2892…e9d7backed Yes | 62c | 45$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.9 | 93 | 46.2%43 W · 50 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f2b…ccedbacked Yes | 63c | 42.06$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.5 | 62 | 46.8%29 W · 33 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f1…5b7fbacked Yes | 63c | 39.68$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +2.2wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +16%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Yes | 39c | 37.83$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.84 | 287 | 21.6%62 W · 225 L | -29.9wins | -0.10per pick | 32cpaid | -44.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x551c…fe91backed No | 70c | 36.03$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.89 | 258 | 51.2%132 W · 126 L | +16.2wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xff2a…3319backed Yes | 63c | 31.75$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 37c | 29$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.27 | 1,301 | 51.2%666 W · 635 L | -19.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Yes | 61c | 27.52$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.89 | 99 | 44.4%44 W · 55 L | -5.6wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -19%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3fb4…d481backed Yes | 62c | 25.97$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.1 | 36 | 61.1%22 W · 14 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked No | 67c | 23.36$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.71 | 128 | 39.8%51 W · 77 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed No | 63c | 22.67$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.39 | 196 | 41.3%81 W · 115 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54e8…5e6bbacked Yes | 62c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.4 | 44 | 70.5%31 W · 13 L | +4.3wins | +0.10per pick | 61cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 19 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Seattle Sounders FC vs. Vancouver Whitecaps FC: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Seattle Sounders FC vs. Vancouver Whitecaps FC: 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Seattle Sounders FC vs. Vancouver Whitecaps FC: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Seattle Sounders FC vs. Vancouver Whitecaps FC: O/U 0.5Over won
- Seattle Sounders FC vs. Vancouver Whitecaps FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Seattle Sounders FC vs. Vancouver Whitecaps FC: O/U 2.5Under won
- Seattle Sounders FC vs. Vancouver Whitecaps FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Seattle Sounders FC vs. Vancouver Whitecaps FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Seattle Sounders FC vs. Vancouver Whitecaps FC: O/U 5.5Under won
- Seattle Sounders FC vs. Vancouver Whitecaps FC: Seattle Sounders FC 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Seattle Sounders FC vs. Vancouver Whitecaps FC: Seattle Sounders FC O/U 0.5Under won
- Seattle Sounders FC vs. Vancouver Whitecaps FC: Vancouver Whitecaps FC 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Seattle Sounders FC vs. Vancouver Whitecaps FC: Vancouver Whitecaps FC O/U 0.5Over won
- Seattle Sounders FC vs. Vancouver Whitecaps FC: Vancouver Whitecaps FC O/U 1.5Over won
- Seattle Sounders FC vs. Vancouver Whitecaps FC: Vancouver Whitecaps FC O/U 2.5Under won
- Spread: Seattle Sounders FC (-1.5)Vancouver Whitecaps FC won
- Spread: Seattle Sounders FC (-2.5)Vancouver Whitecaps FC won
- Spread: Vancouver Whitecaps FC (-1.5)Vancouver Whitecaps FC won
- Spread: Vancouver Whitecaps FC (-2.5)Seattle Sounders FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.