TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Mls · resolved market

Seattle Sounders FC vs. Vancouver Whitecaps FC: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$54,569
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$56,911

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $54,569 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 87 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Mls
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xb4c8…8f5abacked Under48c8,712$4,210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,501.47250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Under70c5,596$3,923 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,673.2998945.4%449 W · 540 L-23.9wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-13.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Over48c4,560$2,194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,194.4999340.1%398 W · 595 L+11.8wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x224a…a3d5backed Under40c3,443$1,377 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,065.9512951.2%66 W · 63 L+0.2wins0.00per pick51cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xff80…9b4dbacked Over60c3,262$1,957 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,957.161258.3%7 W · 5 L+0.8wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+10.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xff94…8c4bbacked Under45c3,196$1,438 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,758.01333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.09per pick42cpaid-25.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4488…e319backed Under40c3,000$1,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,80017740.7%72 W · 105 L-4.1wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-11.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Over50c2,777$1,397 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,396.671443.7%312 W · 402 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-6.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x4f42…8bbcbacked Over22c2,727$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60019044.7%85 W · 105 L+9.4wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+14.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Over39c2,677$1,041 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,040.911,88036.6%688 W · 1,192 L-7.3wins0.00per pick37cpaid-8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1a93…c3eabacked Over38c2,632$997 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$997.352133.3%7 W · 14 L-1.7wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-18.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Over29c2,417$705 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$705.361,44436.8%532 W · 912 L-12.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-17.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x56ac…d77ebacked Over60c2,291$1,375 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,374.726349.2%31 W · 32 L0.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid-6.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x91fe…c1c6backed Over10c1,877$188 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$187.6838246.1%176 W · 206 L+13.2wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+10.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xdc41…dd7ebacked Under40c1,877$743 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,133.9335550.4%179 W · 176 L+9.0wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-2.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Under39c1,189$464 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$725.4433346.8%156 W · 177 L-14.0wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-10.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x191f…4a8dbacked Over35c1,015$355 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$354.5514652.1%76 W · 70 L+5.6wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+4.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xad0b…a514backed Over53c1,010$535 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$535.33735.1%13 W · 24 L-4.8wins-0.13per pick48cpaid-26.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Over61c960.11$586 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$585.6770249.7%349 W · 353 L-7.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf148…0b4fbacked Over24c833.38$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2003836.8%14 W · 24 L-2.3wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-11.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2918…fe4abacked Over11c755.3$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.083551.4%18 W · 17 L+2.9wins+0.08per pick43cpaid+4.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x61f1…7aefbacked Over60c687.37$412 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$412.42825%2 W · 6 L-2.3wins-0.29per pick54cpaid-47.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x3453…8524backed Over60c687.37$412 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$412.422142.9%9 W · 12 L-1.7wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-15.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xcb7b…5aa5backed Under51c588.24$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$288.241100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Over16c570.93$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.81,00946.2%466 W · 543 L+11.2wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-7.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3f46…7a71backed Under70c458.62$323 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$135.56666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick62cpaid+6.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed Over60c431.07$259 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$259.0339435.8%141 W · 253 L-6.0wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-10.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6534…7cc7backed Under41c422.33$173 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$249.5620133.3%67 W · 134 L+0.3wins0.00per pick33cpaid-16.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc464…5139backed Over32c406.07$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1301650%8 W · 8 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-7.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc4cf…2224backed Over61c327.87$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20010%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.61per pick61cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xfb0c…8c72backed Over61c300$183 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18326450%132 W · 132 L-5.3wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-7.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Over30c272$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.6935247.7%168 W · 184 L-6.3wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-10.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9900…5cc9backed Over53c269.46$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$143.666944.9%31 W · 38 L-2.4wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-8.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x65b5…aa71backed Under79c221.88$175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.5914062.1%87 W · 53 L-0.5wins0.00per pick62cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over35c221.72$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.981,26245.2%571 W · 691 L-28.1wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-21.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Over20c204.72$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.9936247.2%171 W · 191 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-10%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x912f…b25bbacked Over16c183.83$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.317038.6%27 W · 43 L-3.3wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-19.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Over11c166.35$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.3428721.6%62 W · 225 L-29.9wins-0.10per pick32cpaid-44.8%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked Under40c165.98$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.39944.4%44 W · 55 L-5.6wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-19%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3b5f…7b99backed Under39c127.5$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.771816.7%3 W · 15 L-4.8wins-0.27per pick43cpaid-60.5%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x1346…0448backed Under71c123.79$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.9955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.9wins+0.10per pick45cpaid-2.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc785…4ef2backed Over15c120.15$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.8517244.8%77 W · 95 L-3.7wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-21.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over61c115.21$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.4673438.1%280 W · 454 L-7.5wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x551c…fe91backed Under45c101.86$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.6625851.2%132 W · 126 L+16.2wins+0.06per pick45cpaid+11.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Over61c101$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.311,30151.2%666 W · 635 L-19.6wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-3.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe18a…fd87backed Under52c100$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4810243.1%44 W · 58 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick42cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa8b8…36ddbacked Under40c100$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$601258.3%7 W · 5 L-1.4wins-0.11per pick70cpaid-8.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2aa1…1ea8backed Over21c99.98$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$213644.4%16 W · 20 L-2.1wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-18.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x79fd…78cebacked Under71c99.5$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.863161.3%19 W · 12 L+3.7wins+0.12per pick49cpaid+13.7%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x1ba2…d212backed Under76c96.81$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.2519641.3%81 W · 115 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-17.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Over59c91.84$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.181,27048%610 W · 660 L-7.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x26f7…3ea6backed Under39c90$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.9475%3 W · 1 L+1.5wins+0.36per pick39cpaid+82%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7e66…6d36backed Over61c81.97$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50560%3 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+12.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa3d1…de26backed Under62c80.65$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.655658.9%33 W · 23 L+4.4wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+31.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x26da…3b4cbacked Under79c80.28$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.72100%2 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.21per pick79cpaid+27.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa4d3…4b1fbacked Over60c77.85$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.712133.3%7 W · 14 L-3.5wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-43.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked Over24c76.72$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.4612839.8%51 W · 77 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-19.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under71c67.79$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.6646156.2%259 W · 202 L+13.4wins+0.03per pick53cpaid-0.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2892…e9d7backed Over61c67.5$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.189346.2%43 W · 50 L-3.9wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-10.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2c46…dac9backed Over43c66.8$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.0496756.8%549 W · 418 L+73.1wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+12.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xb964…033ebacked Under63c65.14$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.15446.3%25 W · 29 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x60e5…ce36backed Under41c60.79$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.991100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.59per pick41cpaid+145.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x19d8…965abacked Over31c59.04$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.088624.4%21 W · 65 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick27cpaid-16.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Over30c56.98$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.2244447.3%210 W · 234 L-1.6wins0.00per pick48cpaid-10.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x50e5…e39fbacked Over21c54$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.3418456.5%104 W · 80 L+5.9wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+6.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3c52…99e1backed Under79c50.63$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.636100%6 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+30.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7d93…fdefbacked Under53c50$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.724358.1%25 W · 18 L+3.3wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+18.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5be1…3371backed Over60c50$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301723.5%4 W · 13 L-5.6wins-0.33per pick57cpaid-62.7%equal weight35-0.13 edge/pick
0x63fc…4a6cbacked Over61c49.18$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30850%4 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-0.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2396…9485backed Over60c45.82$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.493844.7%17 W · 21 L-2.9wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-20%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe84f…b777backed Under79c43.99$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.1112356.9%70 W · 53 L+4.4wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4ffd…7821backed Under67c43.89$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.424046.7%112 W · 128 L-15.4wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-19.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x3ca9…424abacked Under75c38.23$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.5619852.5%104 W · 94 L-8.5wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-17.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Over61c37.46$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.8572850.7%369 W · 359 L-4.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed Over61c36$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.9632848.8%160 W · 168 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+8.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4473…f873backed Under41c36$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.241100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.59per pick41cpaid+143.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8bc1…eebebacked Over31c34.86$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.763740.5%15 W · 22 L-1.6wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-16%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over59c33.67$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.8797146.1%448 W · 523 L-6.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc5e8…6d91backed Over45c33.33$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15850%4 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-6.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked Over39c32.06$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.5630735.2%108 W · 199 L-32.1wins-0.10per pick46cpaid-34.7%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x0fa1…bf73backed Over49c32$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.6810249%50 W · 52 L-4.5wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-9.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under78c29$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.383,01243.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L-29.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0e7d…7161backed Under79c25.32$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.32580%4 W · 1 L+1.3wins+0.27per pick53cpaid+30.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x077c…5df1backed Under40c25$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$152065%13 W · 7 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick64cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x54e8…5e6bbacked Over60c20$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124470.5%31 W · 13 L+4.3wins+0.10per pick61cpaid+15.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x3b4c…b93bbacked Over58c19.59$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.3610%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Under79c16$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.3980249.8%399 W · 403 L+8.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 19 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.