Mls · resolved market
Seattle Sounders FC vs. Vancouver Whitecaps FC: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd677a25e523fce7f6f370d26cd0c2424e372d9767a48b18d074769a4fa65b9c1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $34,828
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $34,511
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $34,828 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 48 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Mls | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 16c | 3,670$576 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$575.5 | 993 | 40.1%398 W · 595 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Over | 8c | 3,208$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.72 | 989 | 45.4%449 W · 540 L | -23.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Under | 62c | 3,000$1,860 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,139.99 | 177 | 40.7%72 W · 105 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a93…c3eabacked Over | 36c | 2,660$970 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$970.07 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -1.7wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd0be…540abacked Under | 66c | 1,783$1,169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$613.67 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +52.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Under | 61c | 1,766$1,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$685.95 | 728 | 50.7%369 W · 359 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Over | 38c | 1,762$669 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$669.44 | 333 | 46.8%156 W · 177 L | -14.0wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Under | 61c | 1,278$780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$497.75 | 702 | 49.7%349 W · 353 L | -7.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x800a…0b4dbacked Over | 39c | 1,186$463 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$462.72 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb964…033ebacked Over | 2c | 1,161$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.8 | 54 | 46.3%25 W · 29 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Over | 13c | 1,138$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.89 | 483 | 44.9%217 W · 266 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 13c | 1,025$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.21 | 1,880 | 36.6%688 W · 1,192 L | -7.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 35c | 1,001$351 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350.68 | 3,012 | 43.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L | -29.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a2c…3c32backed Under | 63c | 867.88$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$317.88 | 37 | 75.7%28 W · 9 L | +4.2wins | +0.11per pick | 64cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfd66…fb6dbacked Over | 38c | 700$266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266 | 66 | 25.8%17 W · 49 L | -8.1wins | -0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x91fe…c1c6backed Over | 13c | 699.37$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.48 | 382 | 46.1%176 W · 206 L | +13.2wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb13…5946backed Over | 37c | 600$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222 | 158 | 58.2%92 W · 66 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x156e…cf6fbacked Under | 63c | 476.19$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.19 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.7wins | -0.27per pick | 57cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Over | 38c | 473$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.74 | 355 | 50.4%179 W · 176 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Under | 62c | 386$238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.34 | 99 | 44.4%44 W · 55 L | -5.6wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -19%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x19d8…965abacked Over | 6c | 352.91$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.28 | 86 | 24.4%21 W · 65 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 37c | 300.21$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.08 | 1,270 | 48%610 W · 660 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Over | 37c | 300$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111 | 264 | 50%132 W · 132 L | -5.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6534…7cc7backed Under | 63c | 278$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.86 | 201 | 33.3%67 W · 134 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5659…7a6bbacked Over | 37c | 276$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.12 | 529 | 23.8%126 W · 403 L | -25.8wins | -0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -18%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Over | 35c | 267.96$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.64 | 196 | 41.3%81 W · 115 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d42…eb8ebacked Over | 39c | 256.41$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd91a…211cbacked Over | 37c | 239.27$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.53 | 53 | 37.7%20 W · 33 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa1…1ea8backed Over | 17c | 200$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb904…3ef8backed Under | 70c | 200$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.25 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Over | 37c | 128.19$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.43 | 915 | 53%485 W · 430 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Over | 21c | 117$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.67 | 967 | 56.8%549 W · 418 L | +73.1wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Under | 75c | 114.59$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.01 | 444 | 47.3%210 W · 234 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa87b…968bbacked Over | 15c | 95.51$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 21 | 19%4 W · 17 L | -2.8wins | -0.13per pick | 32cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Over | 39c | 93$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.05 | 394 | 35.8%141 W · 253 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a98…dc9cbacked Under | 77c | 71.43$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.43 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +51.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Over | 37c | 51$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.87 | 1,301 | 51.2%666 W · 635 L | -19.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x277b…31fabacked Under | 79c | 50$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.5 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | +2.2wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +28.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Under | 64c | 48$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.08 | 314 | 46.5%146 W · 168 L | -10.7wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Over | 36c | 46$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.56 | 392 | 34.4%135 W · 257 L | -47.2wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -31%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x191f…4a8dbacked Under | 61c | 45$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.55 | 146 | 52.1%76 W · 70 L | +5.6wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe84f…b777backed Over | 39c | 34.63$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.51 | 123 | 56.9%70 W · 53 L | +4.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Over | 37c | 31.62$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.7 | 351 | 49.6%174 W · 177 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed Over | 37c | 30.35$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.23 | 128 | 50%64 W · 64 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcc7…4d38backed Over | 37c | 27.79$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.28 | 47 | 55.3%26 W · 21 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x077c…5df1backed Under | 62c | 25$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.5 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb4c…612bbacked Under | 63c | 25$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.25 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 66cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde63…99c1backed Under | 63c | 22.21$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.22 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -2.5wins | -0.50per pick | 70cpaid | -68.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 19 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Seattle Sounders FC vs. Vancouver Whitecaps FC: O/U 3.5this page
- Seattle Sounders FC vs. Vancouver Whitecaps FC: 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Seattle Sounders FC vs. Vancouver Whitecaps FC: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Seattle Sounders FC vs. Vancouver Whitecaps FC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Seattle Sounders FC vs. Vancouver Whitecaps FC: O/U 0.5Over won
- Seattle Sounders FC vs. Vancouver Whitecaps FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Seattle Sounders FC vs. Vancouver Whitecaps FC: O/U 2.5Under won
- Seattle Sounders FC vs. Vancouver Whitecaps FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Seattle Sounders FC vs. Vancouver Whitecaps FC: O/U 5.5Under won
- Seattle Sounders FC vs. Vancouver Whitecaps FC: Seattle Sounders FC 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Seattle Sounders FC vs. Vancouver Whitecaps FC: Seattle Sounders FC O/U 0.5Under won
- Seattle Sounders FC vs. Vancouver Whitecaps FC: Vancouver Whitecaps FC 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Seattle Sounders FC vs. Vancouver Whitecaps FC: Vancouver Whitecaps FC O/U 0.5Over won
- Seattle Sounders FC vs. Vancouver Whitecaps FC: Vancouver Whitecaps FC O/U 1.5Over won
- Seattle Sounders FC vs. Vancouver Whitecaps FC: Vancouver Whitecaps FC O/U 2.5Under won
- Spread: Seattle Sounders FC (-1.5)Vancouver Whitecaps FC won
- Spread: Seattle Sounders FC (-2.5)Vancouver Whitecaps FC won
- Spread: Vancouver Whitecaps FC (-1.5)Vancouver Whitecaps FC won
- Spread: Vancouver Whitecaps FC (-2.5)Seattle Sounders FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.