Mls · resolved market
Seattle Sounders FC vs. Vancouver Whitecaps FC: O/U 0.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x097210ec7d63535e918cede4e891a39026a19e44c9c2d17745b21a4725cf41bc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $37,816
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $43,788
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $37,816 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 27 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Mls | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 37c | 9,434$3,483 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,483.16 | 1,444 | 36.8%532 W · 912 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Under | 3c | 6,955$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.74 | 483 | 44.9%217 W · 266 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x368c…9f72backed Over | 58c | 4,477$2,613 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,864.6 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +55.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf148…0b4fbacked Under | 30c | 2,872$860 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$859.63 | 38 | 36.8%14 W · 24 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Under | 5c | 1,152$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.08 | 1,262 | 45.2%571 W · 691 L | -28.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc464…5139backed Under | 19c | 594$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.78 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 67c | 589.22$395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.6 | 993 | 40.1%398 W · 595 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3901…8f65backed Over | 50c | 500$251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249.5 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +72.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Over | 72c | 497.79$361 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.26 | 128 | 39.8%51 W · 77 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Under | 10c | 380.76$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.32 | 989 | 45.4%449 W · 540 L | -23.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 19c | 354.11$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.02 | 3,012 | 43.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L | -29.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc785…4ef2backed Under | 4c | 324.85$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.08 | 172 | 44.8%77 W · 95 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x709d…f749backed Over | 75c | 302.86$226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.23 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.18per pick | 57cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc2c8…142bbacked Under | 5c | 280$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 58 | 13.8%8 W · 50 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 14cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x138b…0467backed Under | 5c | 273.2$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.66 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb624…3d80backed Under | 44c | 229.27$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ae5…4f22backed Over | 70c | 200$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | -1.6wins | -0.08per pick | 69cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5833…4893backed Over | 75c | 140$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 22 | 77.3%17 W · 5 L | +1.8wins | +0.08per pick | 69cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x39c9…7debbacked Under | 49c | 133.82$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe398…ee2ebacked Over | 80c | 130$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 70cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc2a…6f9cbacked Over | 60c | 122.91$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.41 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +67.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Over | 80c | 109.99$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.54 | 366 | 46.7%171 W · 195 L | -7.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 28c | 97.36$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.45 | 820 | 44.5%365 W · 455 L | -16.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Over | 76c | 83.29$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.1 | 352 | 47.7%168 W · 184 L | -6.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa5fd…6f17backed Over | 50c | 80$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.92 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x63fc…4a6cbacked Over | 54c | 33.47$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.47 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecf2…ef5ebacked Over | 68c | 21.67$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.98 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 19 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Seattle Sounders FC vs. Vancouver Whitecaps FC: O/U 0.5this page
- Seattle Sounders FC vs. Vancouver Whitecaps FC: 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Seattle Sounders FC vs. Vancouver Whitecaps FC: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Seattle Sounders FC vs. Vancouver Whitecaps FC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Seattle Sounders FC vs. Vancouver Whitecaps FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Seattle Sounders FC vs. Vancouver Whitecaps FC: O/U 2.5Under won
- Seattle Sounders FC vs. Vancouver Whitecaps FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Seattle Sounders FC vs. Vancouver Whitecaps FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Seattle Sounders FC vs. Vancouver Whitecaps FC: O/U 5.5Under won
- Seattle Sounders FC vs. Vancouver Whitecaps FC: Seattle Sounders FC 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Seattle Sounders FC vs. Vancouver Whitecaps FC: Seattle Sounders FC O/U 0.5Under won
- Seattle Sounders FC vs. Vancouver Whitecaps FC: Vancouver Whitecaps FC 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Seattle Sounders FC vs. Vancouver Whitecaps FC: Vancouver Whitecaps FC O/U 0.5Over won
- Seattle Sounders FC vs. Vancouver Whitecaps FC: Vancouver Whitecaps FC O/U 1.5Over won
- Seattle Sounders FC vs. Vancouver Whitecaps FC: Vancouver Whitecaps FC O/U 2.5Under won
- Spread: Seattle Sounders FC (-1.5)Vancouver Whitecaps FC won
- Spread: Seattle Sounders FC (-2.5)Vancouver Whitecaps FC won
- Spread: Vancouver Whitecaps FC (-1.5)Vancouver Whitecaps FC won
- Spread: Vancouver Whitecaps FC (-2.5)Seattle Sounders FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.