Mls · resolved market
Seattle Sounders FC vs. Vancouver Whitecaps FC: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x77b5e763831d620edeea47c6d77c143f1100114c2d1a42cea8904949bcfa0bc5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $44,197
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $47,875
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $44,197 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 69 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Mls | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Under | 56c | 9,683$5,392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,391.82 | 989 | 45.4%449 W · 540 L | -23.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19ae…395cbacked Under | 45c | 4,432$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 56c | 3,742$2,101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,640.07 | 993 | 40.1%398 W · 595 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…04fabacked Over | 32c | 3,718$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,518.29 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Under | 18c | 3,000$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540 | 177 | 40.7%72 W · 105 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Over | 35c | 2,684$937 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,746.59 | 714 | 43.7%312 W · 402 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d3e…986cbacked Over | 49c | 2,200$1,078 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,122 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +53.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5f37…281bbacked Over | 20c | 2,000$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,600 | 38 | 21.1%8 W · 30 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a93…c3eabacked Over | 49c | 1,991$976 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,015.57 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -1.7wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb4c8…8f5abacked Under | 41c | 1,650$677 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$676.55 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x191f…4a8dbacked Over | 61c | 1,500$915 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$585 | 146 | 52.1%76 W · 70 L | +5.6wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd93b…cd48backed Under | 51c | 1,352$690 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$689.77 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x65b5…aa71backed Under | 51c | 1,000$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510 | 140 | 62.1%87 W · 53 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Under | 7c | 888.02$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.11 | 228 | 41.7%95 W · 133 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2918…fe4abacked Over | 65c | 754.4$489 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.08 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | +2.9wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6534…7cc7backed Under | 19c | 691$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.29 | 201 | 33.3%67 W · 134 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x768f…8a9bbacked Under | 52c | 615.38$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd871…6bbabacked Over | 49c | 593.88$291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$302.88 | 42 | 28.6%12 W · 30 L | -6.1wins | -0.14per pick | 43cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Under | 11c | 546.6$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.95 | 196 | 41.3%81 W · 115 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Under | 56c | 539.14$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$302.15 | 352 | 47.7%168 W · 184 L | -6.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb964…033ebacked Over | 72c | 418.18$301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.39 | 54 | 46.3%25 W · 29 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x539c…29b1backed Over | 78c | 400$312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa891…a1c1backed Over | 37c | 392.98$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.85 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +69.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 25c | 373.8$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.29 | 1,444 | 36.8%532 W · 912 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 25c | 370.5$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$278.37 | 1,880 | 36.6%688 W · 1,192 L | -7.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0ac5…f963backed Over | 39c | 316.91$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.83 | 128 | 48.4%62 W · 66 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91fe…c1c6backed Over | 68c | 315.12$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.03 | 382 | 46.1%176 W · 206 L | +13.2wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 49c | 290.41$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.27 | 3,012 | 43.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L | -29.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4bc5…e563backed Over | 35c | 285.71$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.71 | 63 | 41.3%26 W · 37 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc785…4ef2backed Under | 4c | 278.45$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.06 | 172 | 44.8%77 W · 95 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffd…7821backed Under | 59c | 245.75$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.32 | 240 | 46.7%112 W · 128 L | -15.4wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6e8d…3a3dbacked Over | 44c | 227.68$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.68 | 36 | 58.3%21 W · 15 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5659…7a6bbacked Under | 18c | 215.04$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.48 | 529 | 23.8%126 W · 403 L | -25.8wins | -0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -18%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Under | 20c | 205$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 1,009 | 46.2%466 W · 543 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb8b…646dbacked Over | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.08 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d93…fdefbacked Under | 64c | 191$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.6 | 43 | 58.1%25 W · 18 L | +3.3wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over | 65c | 183.99$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.2 | 1,262 | 45.2%571 W · 691 L | -28.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a3b…b968backed Under | 23c | 173.91$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 21 | 71.4%15 W · 6 L | +2.9wins | +0.14per pick | 58cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe2ab…0dc8backed Over | 75c | 173.33$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.33 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -2.1wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3824…e756backed Under | 66c | 149.5$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.52 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | -2.6wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Under | 17c | 134.28$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.83 | 99 | 44.4%44 W · 55 L | -5.6wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -19%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x91c7…808fbacked Over | 43c | 126.66$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.66 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.15per pick | 55cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x53de…409abacked Under | 52c | 121.15$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf651…554ebacked Under | 46c | 118.7$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.6 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.27per pick | 52cpaid | -57.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d8a…24c2backed Over | 44c | 104.34$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.58 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe18a…fd87backed Under | 26c | 100$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 102 | 43.1%44 W · 58 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Under | 54c | 82.66$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.25 | 444 | 47.3%210 W · 234 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…c208backed Over | 40c | 80$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde28…8d20backed Over | 24c | 70$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8955…3a83backed Over | 43c | 63.28$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.07 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.6wins | +0.15per pick | 49cpaid | +28.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9bda…d4a0backed Over | 80c | 60$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.9wins | -0.48per pick | 73cpaid | -68.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Under | 30c | 55$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 802 | 49.8%399 W · 403 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked Over | 49c | 53$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.03 | 184 | 56.5%104 W · 80 L | +5.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Under | 42c | 50$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.03 | 443 | 50.6%224 W · 219 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 55c | 45.44$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.99 | 820 | 44.5%365 W · 455 L | -16.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8bc1…eebebacked Over | 38c | 45$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.95 | 37 | 40.5%15 W · 22 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Over | 66c | 43.6$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.67 | 967 | 56.8%549 W · 418 L | +73.1wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa146…6163backed Over | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.82 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7179…7d79backed Over | 43c | 35.62$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.3 | 125 | 51.2%64 W · 61 L | +9.7wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Over | 49c | 32.37$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.45 | 120 | 58.3%70 W · 50 L | +6.7wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf148…0b4fbacked Under | 58c | 30$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.4 | 38 | 36.8%14 W · 24 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9028…8608backed Over | 49c | 26.88$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.71 | 59 | 66.1%39 W · 20 L | +4.9wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdcbb…07d9backed Over | 55c | 26.76$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.04 | 44 | 70.5%31 W · 13 L | +5.4wins | +0.12per pick | 58cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3654…1b78backed Over | 49c | 25.45$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.95 | 102 | 57.8%59 W · 43 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Over | 64c | 25$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.12 | 366 | 46.7%171 W · 195 L | -7.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Over | 52c | 22.02$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.56 | 307 | 35.2%108 W · 199 L | -32.1wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x92f5…52a2backed Over | 49c | 22$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.22 | 72 | 56.9%41 W · 31 L | +5.7wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfeef…4b1fbacked Over | 49c | 21.49$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.96 | 44 | 59.1%26 W · 18 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab35…118dbacked Under | 51c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 19 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Seattle Sounders FC vs. Vancouver Whitecaps FC: O/U 1.5this page
- Seattle Sounders FC vs. Vancouver Whitecaps FC: 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Seattle Sounders FC vs. Vancouver Whitecaps FC: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Seattle Sounders FC vs. Vancouver Whitecaps FC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Seattle Sounders FC vs. Vancouver Whitecaps FC: O/U 0.5Over won
- Seattle Sounders FC vs. Vancouver Whitecaps FC: O/U 2.5Under won
- Seattle Sounders FC vs. Vancouver Whitecaps FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Seattle Sounders FC vs. Vancouver Whitecaps FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Seattle Sounders FC vs. Vancouver Whitecaps FC: O/U 5.5Under won
- Seattle Sounders FC vs. Vancouver Whitecaps FC: Seattle Sounders FC 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Seattle Sounders FC vs. Vancouver Whitecaps FC: Seattle Sounders FC O/U 0.5Under won
- Seattle Sounders FC vs. Vancouver Whitecaps FC: Vancouver Whitecaps FC 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Seattle Sounders FC vs. Vancouver Whitecaps FC: Vancouver Whitecaps FC O/U 0.5Over won
- Seattle Sounders FC vs. Vancouver Whitecaps FC: Vancouver Whitecaps FC O/U 1.5Over won
- Seattle Sounders FC vs. Vancouver Whitecaps FC: Vancouver Whitecaps FC O/U 2.5Under won
- Spread: Seattle Sounders FC (-1.5)Vancouver Whitecaps FC won
- Spread: Seattle Sounders FC (-2.5)Vancouver Whitecaps FC won
- Spread: Vancouver Whitecaps FC (-1.5)Vancouver Whitecaps FC won
- Spread: Vancouver Whitecaps FC (-2.5)Seattle Sounders FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.